The NFL playoff field is set and the fantasy football season has ended. Through the end of the season, The Art of Creative Misfortune will feature playoff power rankings on Thursdays and playoff game predictions on Fridays until the week of the Super Bowl.
Happy New Year!
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Creative Misfortune's Fantasy Bowl IV Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
Happy New Year!
Creative Misfortune's fourth "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." season has come to an end.
While AFC Champion New England Patriots struggled in week 16 against their rivals, the New York Jets, the NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks rolled to a 35-6 victory over their division rivals, the Arizona Cardinals. Victory for the Seahawks in Fantasy Bowl IV may seem like a foregone conclusion, but in fantasy football, a team can lose in real life and still be victorious if the numbers add up properly.
CREATIVE MISFORTUNE'S FANTASY BOWL IV ~
New England Patriots (11-2)
(AFC #1 playing at New York Jets)
vs
Seattle Seahawks (11-2)
(NFC #1 playing at Arizona Cardinals)
Complete Fantasy Bowl IV Scoreboard Result ~
Congratulations to the Seattle Seahawks, 2014's Creative Misfortune "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Champions! Now we will see if their fantasy success translates into true Super Bowl glory!
Creative Misfortune Fantasy Playoff Seeds
AFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. New England Patriots (9-2, 975 pts)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 924 pts)
3. Denver Broncos (7-4, 1,029 pts)
4. Indianapolis Colts (7-4, 990 pts)
Wild Cards ~
5. Cleveland Browns (8-3, 775 pts)
6. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3, 748 pts)
NFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. Seattle Seahawks (9-2, 801 pts)
2. Green Bay Packers (8-3, 995 pts)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4, 949 pts)
4. New Orleans Saints (7-4, 864 points)
Wild Cards ~
5. Arizona Cardinals (8-3, 782 pts)
6. Dallas Cowboys (7-4, 882 pts)
Wild Card Game Results - Week 13
AFC #6 Cincinnati Bengals (playing at Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing at Kansas City Chiefs)
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 90, Cincinnati Bengals 50
Cincinnati's Key Performers: A.J. Green (11), Andy Dalton (11), Defense (7)
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Connor Barth (17), Peyton Manning (13)
AFC #5 Cleveland Browns (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing vs Washington Redskins)
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 129, Cleveland Browns 37
Cleveland's Key Performers: Miles Austin (8), Josh Gordan (7), Defense (6)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (32), Donte Moncrief (25), Coby Fleener (24)
NFC #6 Dallas Cowboys (playing vs Philadelphia Eagles) at
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing at Dallas Cowboys)
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 96, Dallas Cowboys 36
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Dez Bryant (7), Dan Bailey (4)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (20), LeSean McCoy (19), Cody Parkey (15)
NFC #5 Arizona Cardinals (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing at Pittsburgh Steelers)
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 97, Arizona Cardinals 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (11), Stepfan Taylor (8), Jaron Brown (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (30), Kenny Stills (22), Mark Ingram (12)
Top Seeds Playing for Bye-Week Advantage*
AFC #1 - New England Patriots (playing at Green Bay Packers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 61
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (17), Brandon LaFell (15), Rob Gronkowski (9)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 61/4 = 15.25 = +15 points
AFC #2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (playing vs New Orleans Saints)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 100
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (30), Ben Roethlisberger (25), Antonio Brown (23)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 100/4 = 25.0 = +25 points
NFC #1 - Seattle Seahawks (playing at San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 78
Seattle's Key Performers: Defense (17), Russell Wilson (16), Steven Hauschka (14)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 78/4 = 19.5 = +19 points
NFC #2 - Green Bay Packers (playing vs New England Patriots)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 91
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (24), Mason Crosby (13), Davante Adams (12)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 91/4 = 22.75 = +22 points
*Bye-week Advantage - To reflect the benefit gained by the top 2 seeds in each conference getting a bye week before they host Divisional Playoff games, the four teams who earn these bye weeks in the fantasy standings will play Week 13 to gain bonus points that will be added to their score in the Divisional Playoff round. For every 4 points they score in their Week 13 game, they will receive 1 bonus point in their Divisional round matchup.
Since there are no bye weeks between the Divisional games and the Championship Games, bonus points will only be a factor in the Divisional playoff games.
Divisional Game Results - Week 14
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing at Cleveland Browns) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (BWA*: +15) (playing at San Diego Chargers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Indianapolis Colts 77
Indianapolis' Key Performers: T.Y. Hilton (25), Andrew Luck (22), Adam Vinatieri (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Julian Edelman (20), Tom Brady (18), Bye-Week Advantage (15), Rob Gronkowski (14)
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing vs Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (BWA*: +25) (playing at Cincinnati Bengals)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 150, Denver Broncos 65
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Defense (11), Wes Welker (8)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (41), Ben Roethlisberger (28), Bye-Week Advantage (25), Martavis Bryant (16)
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing vs Carolina Panthers) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (BWA*: +19) (playing at Philadelphia Eagles)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 101, New Orleans Saints 33
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (11), Marques Colston (7), Benjamin Watson (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (28), Bye-Week Advantage (19), Doug Baldwin (15), Marshawn Lynch (14)
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing vs Seattle Seahawks) at
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (BWA*: +22) (playing vs Atlanta Falcons)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay 135, Philadelphia Eagles 39
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (9), Zach Ertz (9), Jeremy Maclin (8)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Eddie Lacy (22), Bye-Week Advantage (22)
Conference Championship Game Results - Week 15
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (playing vs Miami Dolphins)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Pittsburgh Steelers 81
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (23), Ben Roethlisberger (14), Antonio Brown (12)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (20), Tom Brady (18), Rob Gronkowski (15)
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (playing vs San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 64, Green Bay Packers 50
Green Bay's Key Performers: Eddie Lacy (16), Randall Cobb (10), Mason Crosby (7)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (15), Defense (10), Russell Wilson (10)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Playoff Power Rankings.
Creative Misfortune's fourth "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." season has come to an end.
While AFC Champion New England Patriots struggled in week 16 against their rivals, the New York Jets, the NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks rolled to a 35-6 victory over their division rivals, the Arizona Cardinals. Victory for the Seahawks in Fantasy Bowl IV may seem like a foregone conclusion, but in fantasy football, a team can lose in real life and still be victorious if the numbers add up properly.
CREATIVE MISFORTUNE'S FANTASY BOWL IV ~
(AFC #1 playing at New York Jets)
vs
(NFC #1 playing at Arizona Cardinals)
Complete Fantasy Bowl IV Scoreboard Result ~
| New England Patriots | pts | pts | Seattle Seahawks | |||
| Tom Brady | 10 | QB | 35 | Russel Wilson | ||
| Jonas Gray | 6 | RB1 | 23 | Marshawn Lynch | ||
| Shane Vereen | 4 | RB2 | 3 | Robert Turbin | ||
| Brandon LaFell | 6 | WR1 | 11 | Doug Baldwin | ||
| Danny Amendola | 6 | WR2 | 5 | Paul Richardson | ||
| Julian Edelman | 0 | WR3 | 1 | Bryan Walters | ||
| Rob Gronkowski | 9 | TE | 25 | Luke Willson | ||
| Stephen Gostkowski | 5 | K | 2 | Steven Hauschka | ||
| Defense | 7 | DEF | 13 | Defense | ||
| Total | 53 | >>> | 118 | Total |
Congratulations to the Seattle Seahawks, 2014's Creative Misfortune "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Champions! Now we will see if their fantasy success translates into true Super Bowl glory!
Creative Misfortune Fantasy Playoff Seeds
AFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. New England Patriots (9-2, 975 pts)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 924 pts)
3. Denver Broncos (7-4, 1,029 pts)
4. Indianapolis Colts (7-4, 990 pts)
Wild Cards ~
5. Cleveland Browns (8-3, 775 pts)
6. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3, 748 pts)
NFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. Seattle Seahawks (9-2, 801 pts)
2. Green Bay Packers (8-3, 995 pts)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4, 949 pts)
4. New Orleans Saints (7-4, 864 points)
Wild Cards ~
5. Arizona Cardinals (8-3, 782 pts)
6. Dallas Cowboys (7-4, 882 pts)
Wild Card Game Results - Week 13
AFC #6 Cincinnati Bengals (playing at Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing at Kansas City Chiefs)
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 90, Cincinnati Bengals 50
Cincinnati's Key Performers: A.J. Green (11), Andy Dalton (11), Defense (7)
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Connor Barth (17), Peyton Manning (13)
AFC #5 Cleveland Browns (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing vs Washington Redskins)
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 129, Cleveland Browns 37
Cleveland's Key Performers: Miles Austin (8), Josh Gordan (7), Defense (6)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (32), Donte Moncrief (25), Coby Fleener (24)
NFC #6 Dallas Cowboys (playing vs Philadelphia Eagles) at
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing at Dallas Cowboys)
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 96, Dallas Cowboys 36
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Dez Bryant (7), Dan Bailey (4)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (20), LeSean McCoy (19), Cody Parkey (15)
NFC #5 Arizona Cardinals (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing at Pittsburgh Steelers)
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 97, Arizona Cardinals 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (11), Stepfan Taylor (8), Jaron Brown (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (30), Kenny Stills (22), Mark Ingram (12)
Top Seeds Playing for Bye-Week Advantage*
AFC #1 - New England Patriots (playing at Green Bay Packers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 61
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (17), Brandon LaFell (15), Rob Gronkowski (9)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 61/4 = 15.25 = +15 points
AFC #2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (playing vs New Orleans Saints)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 100
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (30), Ben Roethlisberger (25), Antonio Brown (23)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 100/4 = 25.0 = +25 points
NFC #1 - Seattle Seahawks (playing at San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 78
Seattle's Key Performers: Defense (17), Russell Wilson (16), Steven Hauschka (14)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 78/4 = 19.5 = +19 points
NFC #2 - Green Bay Packers (playing vs New England Patriots)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 91
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (24), Mason Crosby (13), Davante Adams (12)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 91/4 = 22.75 = +22 points
*Bye-week Advantage - To reflect the benefit gained by the top 2 seeds in each conference getting a bye week before they host Divisional Playoff games, the four teams who earn these bye weeks in the fantasy standings will play Week 13 to gain bonus points that will be added to their score in the Divisional Playoff round. For every 4 points they score in their Week 13 game, they will receive 1 bonus point in their Divisional round matchup.
Since there are no bye weeks between the Divisional games and the Championship Games, bonus points will only be a factor in the Divisional playoff games.
Divisional Game Results - Week 14
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing at Cleveland Browns) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (BWA*: +15) (playing at San Diego Chargers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Indianapolis Colts 77
Indianapolis' Key Performers: T.Y. Hilton (25), Andrew Luck (22), Adam Vinatieri (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Julian Edelman (20), Tom Brady (18), Bye-Week Advantage (15), Rob Gronkowski (14)
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing vs Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (BWA*: +25) (playing at Cincinnati Bengals)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 150, Denver Broncos 65
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Defense (11), Wes Welker (8)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (41), Ben Roethlisberger (28), Bye-Week Advantage (25), Martavis Bryant (16)
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing vs Carolina Panthers) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (BWA*: +19) (playing at Philadelphia Eagles)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 101, New Orleans Saints 33
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (11), Marques Colston (7), Benjamin Watson (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (28), Bye-Week Advantage (19), Doug Baldwin (15), Marshawn Lynch (14)
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing vs Seattle Seahawks) at
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (BWA*: +22) (playing vs Atlanta Falcons)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay 135, Philadelphia Eagles 39
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (9), Zach Ertz (9), Jeremy Maclin (8)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Eddie Lacy (22), Bye-Week Advantage (22)
Conference Championship Game Results - Week 15
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (playing vs Miami Dolphins)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Pittsburgh Steelers 81
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (23), Ben Roethlisberger (14), Antonio Brown (12)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (20), Tom Brady (18), Rob Gronkowski (15)
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (playing vs San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 64, Green Bay Packers 50
Green Bay's Key Performers: Eddie Lacy (16), Randall Cobb (10), Mason Crosby (7)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (15), Defense (10), Russell Wilson (10)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Playoff Power Rankings.
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Holiday Note
Because of travel over the holidays, Creative Misfortune will not post Week 16 power rankings or predictions for Week 17 NFL games.
"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Fantasy Bowl IV results will be posted on New Year's Eve.
Postseason Power Rankings will be posted on New Year's Day.
Wild Card game predictions will be posted on Friday, January 2, 2014.
"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Fantasy Bowl IV results will be posted on New Year's Eve.
Postseason Power Rankings will be posted on New Year's Day.
Wild Card game predictions will be posted on Friday, January 2, 2014.
Happy Holidays!
Monday, December 22, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 16 (2014)
First round byes and division titles are on the line as Denver takes on Cincinnati. Almost all systems favor the Broncos to win, but who knows what Cincinnati team will show up tonight.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos by 3, Over/Under 47.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.668 - 0.543
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 6. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 85-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Fantasy Bowl IV results will be posted on New Year's Eve, because I will be traveling, but results will be based on the games played in Week 16. Happy Holidays, Everybody!
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos by 3, Over/Under 47.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.668 - 0.543
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 6. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 85-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Fantasy Bowl IV results will be posted on New Year's Eve, because I will be traveling, but results will be based on the games played in Week 16. Happy Holidays, Everybody!
Friday, December 19, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 16 (2014)
Playoff seeds will be won and lost this weekend. Is your team still fighting for the postseason?
Sunday Game Predictions:
San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1. 49ers by 1, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.518 - 0.425
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 1. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-62
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 8-6
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 8. Eagles by 7.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 12. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.606 - 0.297
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 92-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 4. Panthers by 3.5, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.451 - 0.374
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 7-7
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 11
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Lions by 7, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 11. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.597 - 0.317
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 10-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Ravens by 5.5, Over/Under 41
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.692 - 0.592
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3
Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Dolphins by 6.5, Over/Under 42.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.549 - 0.459
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 7-7
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6. Saints by 6, Over/Under 56
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.484 - 0.465
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-87
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 6-8
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 21
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 10. Patriots by 10, Over/Under 47.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 20. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.747 - 0.257
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 15. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 96-53
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.637 - 0.581
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11. Packers by 10.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 15. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.667 - 0.295
Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 103-57
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
New York Giants at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 5, Over/Under 43.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.460
Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-68
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 6-8
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys by 3, Over/Under 55
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.588
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 5. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 95-82
Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Both teams at 10-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3
Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6. Bills by 6, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 16. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.601 - 0.201
Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-41
Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 8-6
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8. Seahawks by 7.5, Over/Under 36.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.690 - 0.595
Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1. 49ers by 1, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.518 - 0.425
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 1. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-62
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 8-6
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 8. Eagles by 7.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 12. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.606 - 0.297
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 92-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 4. Panthers by 3.5, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.451 - 0.374
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 7-7
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 11
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Lions by 7, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 11. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.597 - 0.317
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 10-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Ravens by 5.5, Over/Under 41
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.692 - 0.592
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3
Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Dolphins by 6.5, Over/Under 42.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.549 - 0.459
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 7-7
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6. Saints by 6, Over/Under 56
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.484 - 0.465
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-87
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 6-8
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 21
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 10. Patriots by 10, Over/Under 47.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 20. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.747 - 0.257
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 15. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 96-53
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.637 - 0.581
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 9-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11. Packers by 10.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 15. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.667 - 0.295
Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 103-57
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
New York Giants at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 5, Over/Under 43.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.460
Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-68
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 6-8
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys by 3, Over/Under 55
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.588
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 5. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 95-82
Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Both teams at 10-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3
Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6. Bills by 6, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 16. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.601 - 0.201
Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-41
Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 8-6
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8. Seahawks by 7.5, Over/Under 36.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.690 - 0.595
Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 11-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, December 18, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 16 (2014)
Is anybody watching this epic battle between a couple of 2-12 teams? I can't even think of a fantasy angle that makes this game relevant.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Jaguars by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.224 - 0.203
Fantasy Projection Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 1. Jacksonville Jaguars projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Both teams at 2-12, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 16 slate...
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Jaguars by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.224 - 0.203
Fantasy Projection Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 1. Jacksonville Jaguars projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Both teams at 2-12, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 16 slate...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 15 (2014)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 32)
The Titans can't even beat the Jets. That's sad.
# 31 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 29)
Now that the 49ers are eliminated, Oakland can start making plans for their new head coach to arrive from across the bay, unless Michigan steals him away first.
# 30 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 31)
The Buccaneers have given up on the division title chase and are now looking at the #1 draft pick in 2015.
# 29 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 30)
The Jaguars just won't quit. They're not beating anybody, but they aren't giving up either.
# 28 - New York Jets (previous: 28)
Too little, too late, but it looks like the Jets are the best of the worst teams in the NFL.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
The Redskins are on the fast track to a 3-13 record.
# 26 - Chicago Bears (previous: 24)
Cutler benched! Without a defense, the Bears at least need to perform on offense, especially at home.
# 25 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 26)
The Panthers remain a half-game back of the Saints.
# 24 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
The Giants rally for a late-season, meaningless win over the Redskins.
# 23 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 22)
If the Falcons win the division, they'll be below .500.
# 22 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 6)
Teddy Bridgewater is close to breaking through for the Vikings. He should give them some hope headed into the offseason.
# 21 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 20)
The Rams are still playing strong defense. Too bad they don't have an offense.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
Funny how when Johnny Football starts, the Browns score 0 points. Really makes you think, doesn't it?
# 19 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 21)
The 49ers are done. Harbaugh can move on to another team now without worrying about it impacting San Francisco's performance in the playoffs.
# 18 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 17)
Miami needed so much more than a 41-13 loss against the Patriots to keep their postseason hopes alive.
# 17 - Houston Texans (previous: 15)
The Texans fell short against the Colts and now their season is over.
# 16 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 23)
New Orleans controls their fate in the NFC South now. Can they win out and take the division with a .500 record?
# 15 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 14)
The Chargers really needed to beat the Broncos last weekend. Now their season is all but over.
# 14 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
On the outside looking in, but still in the hunt, Buffalo still has an outside shot to sneak into the playoffs.
# 13 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 16)
Kansas City has to make it as a Wild Card if they hope to reach the playoffs.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 13)
The Bengals still lead the division by a half-game. They will have to play perfect down the stretch if they hope to stay in first place.
# 11 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 12)
The Steelers win and keep their playoff hopes alive.
# 10 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 11)
Baltimore struggled against the Jaguars more than expected, but managed to win and stay alive in the AFC playoff chase.
# 9 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 8)
The Eagles are suddenly on the oustide looking in. They need to win out and have Dallas stumble at least once in order to win the division now.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 10)
Detroit suddenly finds themselves tied for first in the NFC North. Could they actually win the division? The Lions are, by far, the most overlooked of the 10 win teams in the NFL.
# 7 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 2)
The Packers showed the league they are vulnerable on the road and nigh unstoppable at home.
# 6 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 7)
Seattle can wrest control of the division away from the Cardinals on Sunday night… or lose the division outright if they fail in Arizona.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 9)
A huge win by Dallas in Philadelphia has the Cowboys in control of their own destiny, however they still need to win their final two games in order to guarantee their division title.
# 4 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
The Colts have clinched their division, but have to finish the season and get help if they hope to earn a first-round bye.
# 3 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 4)
Despite their injury woes at quarterback, Arizona is still a force to be reckoned with.
# 2 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
The Broncos are showing they can win without Manning throwing four touchdowns a game. They will need to be a very well-rounded team if they hope to make it to the Super Bowl.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
The Patriots have clinched their division, but they have yet to clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. A win over the Jets should accomplish that for them this weekend.
Week 15 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Minnesota Vikings (-16), Green Bay Packers (-5), Houston Texans (-2), Chicago Bears (-2), Oakland Raiders (-2)
The Biggest Movers - New Orleans Saints (+7), Dallas Cowboys (+4), Buffalo Bills (+4), Kansas City Chiefs (+3), Detroit Lions (+2)
Maintaining The Status Quo - New England Patriots (1), Washington Redskins (27), New York Jets (28), Tennessee Titans (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 15
AFC Favorite:
New England Patriots
NFC Favorite:
Green Bay Packers
Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 32)
The Titans can't even beat the Jets. That's sad.
# 31 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 29)
Now that the 49ers are eliminated, Oakland can start making plans for their new head coach to arrive from across the bay, unless Michigan steals him away first.
# 30 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 31)
The Buccaneers have given up on the division title chase and are now looking at the #1 draft pick in 2015.
# 29 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 30)
The Jaguars just won't quit. They're not beating anybody, but they aren't giving up either.
# 28 - New York Jets (previous: 28)
Too little, too late, but it looks like the Jets are the best of the worst teams in the NFL.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
The Redskins are on the fast track to a 3-13 record.
# 26 - Chicago Bears (previous: 24)
Cutler benched! Without a defense, the Bears at least need to perform on offense, especially at home.
# 25 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 26)
The Panthers remain a half-game back of the Saints.
# 24 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
The Giants rally for a late-season, meaningless win over the Redskins.
# 23 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 22)
If the Falcons win the division, they'll be below .500.
# 22 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 6)
Teddy Bridgewater is close to breaking through for the Vikings. He should give them some hope headed into the offseason.
# 21 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 20)
The Rams are still playing strong defense. Too bad they don't have an offense.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
Funny how when Johnny Football starts, the Browns score 0 points. Really makes you think, doesn't it?
# 19 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 21)
The 49ers are done. Harbaugh can move on to another team now without worrying about it impacting San Francisco's performance in the playoffs.
# 18 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 17)
Miami needed so much more than a 41-13 loss against the Patriots to keep their postseason hopes alive.
# 17 - Houston Texans (previous: 15)
The Texans fell short against the Colts and now their season is over.
# 16 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 23)
New Orleans controls their fate in the NFC South now. Can they win out and take the division with a .500 record?
# 15 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 14)
The Chargers really needed to beat the Broncos last weekend. Now their season is all but over.
# 14 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
On the outside looking in, but still in the hunt, Buffalo still has an outside shot to sneak into the playoffs.
# 13 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 16)
Kansas City has to make it as a Wild Card if they hope to reach the playoffs.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 13)
The Bengals still lead the division by a half-game. They will have to play perfect down the stretch if they hope to stay in first place.
# 11 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 12)
The Steelers win and keep their playoff hopes alive.
# 10 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 11)
Baltimore struggled against the Jaguars more than expected, but managed to win and stay alive in the AFC playoff chase.
# 9 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 8)
The Eagles are suddenly on the oustide looking in. They need to win out and have Dallas stumble at least once in order to win the division now.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 10)
Detroit suddenly finds themselves tied for first in the NFC North. Could they actually win the division? The Lions are, by far, the most overlooked of the 10 win teams in the NFL.
# 7 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 2)
The Packers showed the league they are vulnerable on the road and nigh unstoppable at home.
# 6 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 7)
Seattle can wrest control of the division away from the Cardinals on Sunday night… or lose the division outright if they fail in Arizona.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 9)
A huge win by Dallas in Philadelphia has the Cowboys in control of their own destiny, however they still need to win their final two games in order to guarantee their division title.
# 4 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
The Colts have clinched their division, but have to finish the season and get help if they hope to earn a first-round bye.
# 3 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 4)
Despite their injury woes at quarterback, Arizona is still a force to be reckoned with.
# 2 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
The Broncos are showing they can win without Manning throwing four touchdowns a game. They will need to be a very well-rounded team if they hope to make it to the Super Bowl.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
The Patriots have clinched their division, but they have yet to clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. A win over the Jets should accomplish that for them this weekend.
Week 15 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Minnesota Vikings (-16), Green Bay Packers (-5), Houston Texans (-2), Chicago Bears (-2), Oakland Raiders (-2)
The Biggest Movers - New Orleans Saints (+7), Dallas Cowboys (+4), Buffalo Bills (+4), Kansas City Chiefs (+3), Detroit Lions (+2)
Maintaining The Status Quo - New England Patriots (1), Washington Redskins (27), New York Jets (28), Tennessee Titans (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 15
AFC Favorite:
NFC Favorite:
Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Week 15 - Championship Round Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
This holiday weekend, the AFC champion New England Patriots will square off against the NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks to determine the fourth ever "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." championship. Will these two teams face off in Super Bowl XLIX come February 2015? I guess it will depend if Seattle can actually make the real NFL playoffs...
CREATIVE MISFORTUNE'S FANTASY BOWL IV ~
New England Patriots (11-2)
(AFC #1 playing at New York Jets)
vs
Seattle Seahawks (11-2)
(NFC #1 playing at Arizona Cardinals)
Championship Game awards:
High score of Championship weekend goes to the New England Patriots, who scored 99 fantasy points.
Low score falls to the Green Bay Packers at 50 fantasy points.
Closest Game of the Week: The top seeded Seahawks comfortably held off the 2nd-seeded Packers by 14 points to punch their ticket to the Fantasy Bowl.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Le'Veon Bell, 23 points. Bell led all players in scoring this week, but failed to help the Steelers advance to the Fantasy Bowl.
Conference Championship Game Results - Week 15
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (playing vs Miami Dolphins)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Pittsburgh Steelers 81
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (23), Ben Roethlisberger (14), Antonio Brown (12)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (20), Tom Brady (18), Rob Gronkowski (15)
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (playing vs San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 64, Green Bay Packers 50
Green Bay's Key Performers: Eddie Lacy (16), Randall Cobb (10), Mason Crosby (7)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (15), Defense (10), Russell Wilson (10)
Creative Misfortune Fantasy Playoff Seeds
AFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. New England Patriots (9-2, 975 pts)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 924 pts)
3. Denver Broncos (7-4, 1,029 pts)
4. Indianapolis Colts (7-4, 990 pts)
Wild Cards ~
5. Cleveland Browns (8-3, 775 pts)
6. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3, 748 pts)
NFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. Seattle Seahawks (9-2, 801 pts)
2. Green Bay Packers (8-3, 995 pts)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4, 949 pts)
4. New Orleans Saints (7-4, 864 points)
Wild Cards ~
5. Arizona Cardinals (8-3, 782 pts)
6. Dallas Cowboys (7-4, 882 pts)
Wild Card Game Results - Week 13
AFC #6 Cincinnati Bengals (playing at Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing at Kansas City Chiefs)
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 90, Cincinnati Bengals 50
Cincinnati's Key Performers: A.J. Green (11), Andy Dalton (11), Defense (7)
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Connor Barth (17), Peyton Manning (13)
AFC #5 Cleveland Browns (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing vs Washington Redskins)
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 129, Cleveland Browns 37
Cleveland's Key Performers: Miles Austin (8), Josh Gordan (7), Defense (6)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (32), Donte Moncrief (25), Coby Fleener (24)
NFC #6 Dallas Cowboys (playing vs Philadelphia Eagles) at
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing at Dallas Cowboys)
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 96, Dallas Cowboys 36
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Dez Bryant (7), Dan Bailey (4)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (20), LeSean McCoy (19), Cody Parkey (15)
NFC #5 Arizona Cardinals (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing at Pittsburgh Steelers)
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 97, Arizona Cardinals 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (11), Stepfan Taylor (8), Jaron Brown (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (30), Kenny Stills (22), Mark Ingram (12)
Top Seeds Playing for Bye-Week Advantage*
AFC #1 - New England Patriots (playing at Green Bay Packers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 61
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (17), Brandon LaFell (15), Rob Gronkowski (9)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 61/4 = 15.25 = +15 points
AFC #2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (playing vs New Orleans Saints)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 100
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (30), Ben Roethlisberger (25), Antonio Brown (23)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 100/4 = 25.0 = +25 points
NFC #1 - Seattle Seahawks (playing at San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 78
Seattle's Key Performers: Defense (17), Russell Wilson (16), Steven Hauschka (14)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 78/4 = 19.5 = +19 points
NFC #2 - Green Bay Packers (playing vs New England Patriots)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 91
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (24), Mason Crosby (13), Davante Adams (12)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 91/4 = 22.75 = +22 points
*Bye-week Advantage - To reflect the benefit gained by the top 2 seeds in each conference getting a bye week before they host Divisional Playoff games, the four teams who earn these bye weeks in the fantasy standings will play Week 13 to gain bonus points that will be added to their score in the Divisional Playoff round. For every 4 points they score in their Week 13 game, they will receive 1 bonus point in their Divisional round matchup.
Since there are no bye weeks between the Divisional games and the Championship Games, bonus points will only be a factor in the Divisional playoff games.
Divisional Game Results - Week 14
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing at Cleveland Browns) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (BWA*: +15) (playing at San Diego Chargers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Indianapolis Colts 77
Indianapolis' Key Performers: T.Y. Hilton (25), Andrew Luck (22), Adam Vinatieri (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Julian Edelman (20), Tom Brady (18), Bye-Week Advantage (15), Rob Gronkowski (14)
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing vs Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (BWA*: +25) (playing at Cincinnati Bengals)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 150, Denver Broncos 65
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Defense (11), Wes Welker (8)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (41), Ben Roethlisberger (28), Bye-Week Advantage (25), Martavis Bryant (16)
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing vs Carolina Panthers) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (BWA*: +19) (playing at Philadelphia Eagles)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 101, New Orleans Saints 33
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (11), Marques Colston (7), Benjamin Watson (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (28), Bye-Week Advantage (19), Doug Baldwin (15), Marshawn Lynch (14)
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing vs Seattle Seahawks) at
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (BWA*: +22) (playing vs Atlanta Falcons)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay 135, Philadelphia Eagles 39
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (9), Zach Ertz (9), Jeremy Maclin (8)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Eddie Lacy (22), Bye-Week Advantage (22)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings.
CREATIVE MISFORTUNE'S FANTASY BOWL IV ~
(AFC #1 playing at New York Jets)
vs
(NFC #1 playing at Arizona Cardinals)
Championship Game awards:
High score of Championship weekend goes to the New England Patriots, who scored 99 fantasy points.
Low score falls to the Green Bay Packers at 50 fantasy points.
Closest Game of the Week: The top seeded Seahawks comfortably held off the 2nd-seeded Packers by 14 points to punch their ticket to the Fantasy Bowl.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Le'Veon Bell, 23 points. Bell led all players in scoring this week, but failed to help the Steelers advance to the Fantasy Bowl.
Conference Championship Game Results - Week 15
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (playing vs Miami Dolphins)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Pittsburgh Steelers 81
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (23), Ben Roethlisberger (14), Antonio Brown (12)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (20), Tom Brady (18), Rob Gronkowski (15)
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (playing vs San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 64, Green Bay Packers 50
Green Bay's Key Performers: Eddie Lacy (16), Randall Cobb (10), Mason Crosby (7)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (15), Defense (10), Russell Wilson (10)
Creative Misfortune Fantasy Playoff Seeds
AFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. New England Patriots (9-2, 975 pts)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 924 pts)
3. Denver Broncos (7-4, 1,029 pts)
4. Indianapolis Colts (7-4, 990 pts)
Wild Cards ~
5. Cleveland Browns (8-3, 775 pts)
6. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3, 748 pts)
NFC Seeds
Division Champions ~
1. Seattle Seahawks (9-2, 801 pts)
2. Green Bay Packers (8-3, 995 pts)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4, 949 pts)
4. New Orleans Saints (7-4, 864 points)
Wild Cards ~
5. Arizona Cardinals (8-3, 782 pts)
6. Dallas Cowboys (7-4, 882 pts)
Wild Card Game Results - Week 13
AFC #6 Cincinnati Bengals (playing at Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing at Kansas City Chiefs)
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 90, Cincinnati Bengals 50
Cincinnati's Key Performers: A.J. Green (11), Andy Dalton (11), Defense (7)
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Connor Barth (17), Peyton Manning (13)
AFC #5 Cleveland Browns (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing vs Washington Redskins)
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 129, Cleveland Browns 37
Cleveland's Key Performers: Miles Austin (8), Josh Gordan (7), Defense (6)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (32), Donte Moncrief (25), Coby Fleener (24)
NFC #6 Dallas Cowboys (playing vs Philadelphia Eagles) at
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing at Dallas Cowboys)
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 96, Dallas Cowboys 36
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Dez Bryant (7), Dan Bailey (4)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (20), LeSean McCoy (19), Cody Parkey (15)
NFC #5 Arizona Cardinals (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing at Pittsburgh Steelers)
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 97, Arizona Cardinals 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (11), Stepfan Taylor (8), Jaron Brown (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (30), Kenny Stills (22), Mark Ingram (12)
Top Seeds Playing for Bye-Week Advantage*
AFC #1 - New England Patriots (playing at Green Bay Packers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 61
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (17), Brandon LaFell (15), Rob Gronkowski (9)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 61/4 = 15.25 = +15 points
AFC #2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (playing vs New Orleans Saints)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 100
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (30), Ben Roethlisberger (25), Antonio Brown (23)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 100/4 = 25.0 = +25 points
NFC #1 - Seattle Seahawks (playing at San Francisco 49ers)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 78
Seattle's Key Performers: Defense (17), Russell Wilson (16), Steven Hauschka (14)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 78/4 = 19.5 = +19 points
NFC #2 - Green Bay Packers (playing vs New England Patriots)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 91
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (24), Mason Crosby (13), Davante Adams (12)
Divisional Matchup Bye-Week Advantage: 91/4 = 22.75 = +22 points
*Bye-week Advantage - To reflect the benefit gained by the top 2 seeds in each conference getting a bye week before they host Divisional Playoff games, the four teams who earn these bye weeks in the fantasy standings will play Week 13 to gain bonus points that will be added to their score in the Divisional Playoff round. For every 4 points they score in their Week 13 game, they will receive 1 bonus point in their Divisional round matchup.
Since there are no bye weeks between the Divisional games and the Championship Games, bonus points will only be a factor in the Divisional playoff games.
Divisional Game Results - Week 14
AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing at Cleveland Browns) at
AFC #1 New England Patriots (BWA*: +15) (playing at San Diego Chargers)
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 99, Indianapolis Colts 77
Indianapolis' Key Performers: T.Y. Hilton (25), Andrew Luck (22), Adam Vinatieri (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Julian Edelman (20), Tom Brady (18), Bye-Week Advantage (15), Rob Gronkowski (14)
AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing vs Buffalo Bills) at
AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (BWA*: +25) (playing at Cincinnati Bengals)
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 150, Denver Broncos 65
Denver's Key Performers: C.J. Anderson (23), Defense (11), Wes Welker (8)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (41), Ben Roethlisberger (28), Bye-Week Advantage (25), Martavis Bryant (16)
NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing vs Carolina Panthers) at
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks (BWA*: +19) (playing at Philadelphia Eagles)
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 101, New Orleans Saints 33
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (11), Marques Colston (7), Benjamin Watson (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (28), Bye-Week Advantage (19), Doug Baldwin (15), Marshawn Lynch (14)
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing vs Seattle Seahawks) at
NFC #2 Green Bay Packers (BWA*: +22) (playing vs Atlanta Falcons)
Fantasy Score: Green Bay 135, Philadelphia Eagles 39
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Mark Sanchez (9), Zach Ertz (9), Jeremy Maclin (8)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Eddie Lacy (22), Bye-Week Advantage (22)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings.
Monday, December 15, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 15 (2014)
The 5-8 Saints are still battling for supremacy in the NFC South, while the 5-8 Bears have been eliminated from playoff contention. Almost all systems favor New Orleans to get past Chicago and take sole possession of first place in their division.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 54
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 5. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.456 - 0.331
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 4. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-82
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Both teams at 5-8, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Week 15 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Conference Championship results will be posted on Wednesday. Who punched their ticket to Fantasy Bowl IV?
Monday Night Game Prediction:
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 54
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 5. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.456 - 0.331
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 4. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-82
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Both teams at 5-8, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Week 15 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Conference Championship results will be posted on Wednesday. Who punched their ticket to Fantasy Bowl IV?
Friday, December 12, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 15 (2014)
Almost every game this week has playoff implications, except for the exciting game between the New York Jets and the Tennessee Titans, featuring two teams with combined 4-22 records, and the game between the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins, a combined 7-19.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 54
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.574 - 0.475
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-76
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 8-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5. Packers by 4.5, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 4. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.686 - 0.590
Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 3, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.363 - 0.287
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 4-8-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 1. Bengals by 1, Over/Under 44
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.513 - 0.483
Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 5. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 8-4-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7. Colts by 6.5, Over/Under 49
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 2. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.661 - 0.610
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 97-63
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Lions by 8, Over/Under 43
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.598 - 0.461
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-43
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 11
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 10. Chiefs by 10, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 16. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.610 - 0.210
Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 13. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-39
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-6
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 8. Patriots by 7.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 5. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.724 - 0.610
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-63
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 7. Giants by 6.5, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 5. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.437 - 0.304
Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 7. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-64
Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 4-9
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 14. Ravens by 14, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.688 - 0.201
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 18. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 100-50
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 8-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Jets by 2. Jets by 2, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.239 - 0.221
Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a fantasy score of 67-63
Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3. Both teams at 2-11, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Broncos by 4, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.656 - 0.544
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 8. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-66
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seahawks by 10, Over/Under 38
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 9. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.678 - 0.445
Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-45
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 3, Over/Under 55
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 2. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.633 - 0.577
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-79
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Both teams at 9-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 54
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.574 - 0.475
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-76
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 8-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5. Packers by 4.5, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 4. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.686 - 0.590
Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 3, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.363 - 0.287
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 4-8-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 1. Bengals by 1, Over/Under 44
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.513 - 0.483
Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 5. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 8-4-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7. Colts by 6.5, Over/Under 49
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 2. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.661 - 0.610
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 97-63
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Lions by 8, Over/Under 43
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.598 - 0.461
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-43
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 11
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 10. Chiefs by 10, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 16. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.610 - 0.210
Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 13. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-39
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-6
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 8. Patriots by 7.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 5. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.724 - 0.610
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-63
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 7. Giants by 6.5, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 5. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.437 - 0.304
Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 7. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-64
Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 4-9
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 14. Ravens by 14, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.688 - 0.201
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 18. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 100-50
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 8-5
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Jets by 2. Jets by 2, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.239 - 0.221
Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a fantasy score of 67-63
Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3. Both teams at 2-11, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Broncos by 4, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.656 - 0.544
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 8. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-66
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seahawks by 10, Over/Under 38
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 9. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.678 - 0.445
Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-45
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 9-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 3, Over/Under 55
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 2. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.633 - 0.577
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-79
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Both teams at 9-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, December 11, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 15 (2014)
Since I have both of these defenses starting in various fantasy leagues, I'm really hoping this slugfest goes into overtime with a final score of 16-14. Each team gets two defensive touchdowns and a safety in the extra period wins the game! Hey, it could happen.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 4.5, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.585 - 0.500
Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 15 slate...
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 4.5, Over/Under 39.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.585 - 0.500
Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 10-3
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 15 slate...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 14 (2014)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
I keep expecting more from the Titans than I probably should. I don't know why.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
I think we can finally put to rest the hopes of the Buccaneers making the playoffs as a 5-11 division champion. Even the 2014 NFC South is not that bad.
# 30 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 30)
The Jaguars keep playing with spirit, despite being on the short side of the stick this season.
# 29 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
The Raiders just possibly embarrassed their future head coach if some of the rumors can be believed.
# 28 - New York Jets (previous: 31)
If Rex Ryan survives this season, I'll be shocked.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 26)
The Redskins are done for the year. They should give RGIII the final games of the season to prove himself, otherwise there will be too many questions for them at quarterback heading into 2015.
# 26 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
The Panthers played inspired football on Sunday and showed they weren't ready to give up on the season yet. Here's hoping Cam Newton can recover from his car accident injuries quickly.
# 25 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
Can the Giants win just enough games to keep Coughlin coaching for another season?
# 24 - Chicago Bears (previous: 24)
Chicago needs a defense, plain and simple.
# 23 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
Do the Saints even want to win the division?
# 22 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
The Falcons are the only team still playing with fire in their belly in the lowly NFC South.
# 21 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 19)
Maybe the 49ers would show a bit more focus if there weren't so many rumors swirling around their head coach.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 22)
Defense wins championships. Too bad the Rams couldn't find their groove until the season was already lost.
# 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 18)
With the season on the line the Browns are going back to Johnny Football.
# 18 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 16)
The Bills have to win out and get some help.
# 17 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 10)
The Dolphins may have just lost a chance at making the playoffs. One more loss will most likely be the end of them.
# 16 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 12)
The Chiefs just aren't doing enough to get back into the playoff chase.
# 15 - Houston Texans (previous: 17)
A huge game against Indianapolis this week will let us know just how much fight the Texans have in them.
# 14 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
The Chargers had a golden opportunity to upset the Patriots, but just couldn't make anything happen in the second half.
# 13 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 14)
They are still in first place, but does anybody really think they are the best team in the AFC North?
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 15)
The Steelers crushed the Bengals on Sunday and made the AFC North more competitive than ever with just three games left in the regular season.
# 11 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 13)
Baltimore may be the best all-around team in the competitive AFC North.
# 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 7)
The Lions keep winning, although nobody would be surprised if they dropped a few games to close out the season and just missed getting into the playoffs.
# 9 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 9)
A big win on Thursday night followed by some extra rest before a huge rematch with the Eagles. Dallas' playoff hopes will take a huge step forward or a huge step backward following that game. There is no middle ground for them.
# 8 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 3)
The Eagles were completely shut down at home by the Seahawks. A division-defining matchup with the Cowboys looms on Sunday night.
# 7 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 6)
Power running game and a shutdown defense. Looks like Seattle is returning to its Super Bowl champion form.
# 6 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 21)
The Vikings are the first team all season to achieve the rarest of feats - score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD! Normally that would rocket a team to the top of Creative Misfortune's power rankings, but since the Vikings have struggled to a 6-7 record this year, the best I can rank them is 6th overall. For those of you scoring at home, this is what an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD looks like in the play-by-play:
2-4-NYJ 23 (2nd Qtr 13:44) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep middle to 12-Ch.Johnson to NYJ 1 for 22 yards (37-J.Jarrett) [98-Q.Coples]. FUMBLES (37-J.Jarrett), recovered by MIN-42-J.Felton at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
A win is a win, but a lot more was expected out of the Colts in a game versus the Browns.
# 4 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 8)
After a few dropped games, Arizona gets back into the win column to keep some separation between them and the Seahawks.
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 4)
Uh oh, the Broncos can win a game without Peyton Manning throwing a touchdown pass. That could bode well for their playoff run.
# 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
Green Bay's offense is nigh unstoppable. The defense giving up almost 40 points to the Falcons is a bit concerning.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 2)
The Patriots struggled early, but were finally able to put away the Chargers with a big win on the road to maintain their pole position in the AFC playoff chase.
Week 14 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Miami Dolphins (-7), Philadelphia Eagles (-5), Kansas City Chiefs (-4), Tennessee Titans (-4), Detroit Lions (-3)
The Biggest Movers - Minnesota Vikings (+15), Arizona Cardinals (+4), Pittsburgh Steelers (+3), New York Jets (+3), Oakland Raiders (+3)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Indianapolis Colts (5), Dallas Cowboys (9), Chicago Bears (24), New York Giants (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (30)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 14
AFC Favorite:
New England Patriots
NFC Favorite:
Green Bay Packers
Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
I keep expecting more from the Titans than I probably should. I don't know why.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
I think we can finally put to rest the hopes of the Buccaneers making the playoffs as a 5-11 division champion. Even the 2014 NFC South is not that bad.
# 30 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 30)
The Jaguars keep playing with spirit, despite being on the short side of the stick this season.
# 29 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
The Raiders just possibly embarrassed their future head coach if some of the rumors can be believed.
# 28 - New York Jets (previous: 31)
If Rex Ryan survives this season, I'll be shocked.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 26)
The Redskins are done for the year. They should give RGIII the final games of the season to prove himself, otherwise there will be too many questions for them at quarterback heading into 2015.
# 26 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
The Panthers played inspired football on Sunday and showed they weren't ready to give up on the season yet. Here's hoping Cam Newton can recover from his car accident injuries quickly.
# 25 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
Can the Giants win just enough games to keep Coughlin coaching for another season?
# 24 - Chicago Bears (previous: 24)
Chicago needs a defense, plain and simple.
# 23 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
Do the Saints even want to win the division?
# 22 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
The Falcons are the only team still playing with fire in their belly in the lowly NFC South.
# 21 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 19)
Maybe the 49ers would show a bit more focus if there weren't so many rumors swirling around their head coach.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 22)
Defense wins championships. Too bad the Rams couldn't find their groove until the season was already lost.
# 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 18)
With the season on the line the Browns are going back to Johnny Football.
# 18 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 16)
The Bills have to win out and get some help.
# 17 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 10)
The Dolphins may have just lost a chance at making the playoffs. One more loss will most likely be the end of them.
# 16 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 12)
The Chiefs just aren't doing enough to get back into the playoff chase.
# 15 - Houston Texans (previous: 17)
A huge game against Indianapolis this week will let us know just how much fight the Texans have in them.
# 14 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
The Chargers had a golden opportunity to upset the Patriots, but just couldn't make anything happen in the second half.
# 13 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 14)
They are still in first place, but does anybody really think they are the best team in the AFC North?
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 15)
The Steelers crushed the Bengals on Sunday and made the AFC North more competitive than ever with just three games left in the regular season.
# 11 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 13)
Baltimore may be the best all-around team in the competitive AFC North.
# 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 7)
The Lions keep winning, although nobody would be surprised if they dropped a few games to close out the season and just missed getting into the playoffs.
# 9 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 9)
A big win on Thursday night followed by some extra rest before a huge rematch with the Eagles. Dallas' playoff hopes will take a huge step forward or a huge step backward following that game. There is no middle ground for them.
# 8 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 3)
The Eagles were completely shut down at home by the Seahawks. A division-defining matchup with the Cowboys looms on Sunday night.
# 7 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 6)
Power running game and a shutdown defense. Looks like Seattle is returning to its Super Bowl champion form.
# 6 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 21)
The Vikings are the first team all season to achieve the rarest of feats - score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD! Normally that would rocket a team to the top of Creative Misfortune's power rankings, but since the Vikings have struggled to a 6-7 record this year, the best I can rank them is 6th overall. For those of you scoring at home, this is what an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD looks like in the play-by-play:
2-4-NYJ 23 (2nd Qtr 13:44) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep middle to 12-Ch.Johnson to NYJ 1 for 22 yards (37-J.Jarrett) [98-Q.Coples]. FUMBLES (37-J.Jarrett), recovered by MIN-42-J.Felton at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
A win is a win, but a lot more was expected out of the Colts in a game versus the Browns.
# 4 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 8)
After a few dropped games, Arizona gets back into the win column to keep some separation between them and the Seahawks.
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 4)
Uh oh, the Broncos can win a game without Peyton Manning throwing a touchdown pass. That could bode well for their playoff run.
# 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
Green Bay's offense is nigh unstoppable. The defense giving up almost 40 points to the Falcons is a bit concerning.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 2)
The Patriots struggled early, but were finally able to put away the Chargers with a big win on the road to maintain their pole position in the AFC playoff chase.
Week 14 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Miami Dolphins (-7), Philadelphia Eagles (-5), Kansas City Chiefs (-4), Tennessee Titans (-4), Detroit Lions (-3)
The Biggest Movers - Minnesota Vikings (+15), Arizona Cardinals (+4), Pittsburgh Steelers (+3), New York Jets (+3), Oakland Raiders (+3)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Indianapolis Colts (5), Dallas Cowboys (9), Chicago Bears (24), New York Giants (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (30)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 14
AFC Favorite:
NFC Favorite:
Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.
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