Traveling this week, so no prediction stat recaps will be posted. The prediction standings will be updated sometime this week.
All systems, save the blind Home Team Wins formula, favor the Miami Dolphins to win tonight by an average score of 10 points.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 18
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Dolphins by 6.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 17. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.219
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 12. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-48
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphisn better at 6-5
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Week 13 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Wild Card results will be posted on Wednesday. Which teams advanced to the divisional round games?
Showing posts with label Miami Dolphins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Miami Dolphins. Show all posts
Monday, December 1, 2014
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 11 (2014)
Second place in the AFC East is on the line tonight as two "on-the-cusp" teams square off. All systems favor the Dolphins to win at home tonight in a close game.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 6. Dolphins by 5.5, Over/under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.662 - 0.529
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 73-62
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Both teams at 5-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 11 slate...
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 6. Dolphins by 5.5, Over/under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.662 - 0.529
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 73-62
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Both teams at 5-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 11 slate...
Thursday, March 6, 2014
Season Recap - 2013 Miami Dolphins
Final Record: 8-8
Finished: 3rd Place in the AFC East
2014 Draft Position: 19th
Preseason Ranking: 23
Week 1: Defeated the Cleveland Browns, 23-10
Ranked - 7
Can the Dolphins actually play- both offense and defense? Sure, they went up against the Browns, but they'll take any win they can get these days.
Week 2: Defeated the Indianapolis Colts, 24-20
Ranked - 8
Could the Dolphins be for real? Their defense is certainly playing well enough for them to make the playoffs. If the offense can stay relatively mistake free, they may have a chance to do big things.
Week 3: Defeated the Atlanta Falcons, 27-23
Ranked - 7
Huge win over Atlanta on Sunday. The defense keeps the Dolphins in games and now it looks like the offense can actually win them.
Week 4: Lost at the New Orleans Saints, 38-17
Ranked - 10
Tough matchup on the road Monday Night, but Miami still keeps showing a lot of promise and potential.
Week 5: Lost to the Baltimore Ravens, 26-23
Ranked - 15
Two straight losses have the Dolphins reeling a bit, but they are still very much alive in a competitive division. They could easily come out of the bye week in first place if the Patriots and Jets both stumble.
Week 6: BYE WEEK
Ranked - 12
Chasing the Patriots out of the bye week, Miami still is very much alive in the AFC East.
Week 7: Lost to the Buffalo Bills, 23-21
Ranked - 17
You are supposed to win home games coming out of the bye week, Miami. Not lose them to division rivals.
Week 8: Lost at the New England Patriots, 27-17
Ranked - 19
Losses in the division are going to kill Miami's playoff hopes.
Week 9: Defeated the Cincinnati Bengals, 22-20
Ranked - 18
A season of possibility has turned into a season of turmoil. Let's hope something far greater comes out of the Incognito issue than a few wins and losses by a football team on a scoresheet.
Week 10: Lost at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 22-19
Ranked - 22
The off-field issues have impacted Miami's on-field ability to win games.
Week 11: Defeated the San Diego Chargers, 20-16
Ranked - 16
Despite their off-field issues, the Dolphins managed to win a much-needed game.
Week 12: Lost to the Carolina Panthers, 20-16
Ranked - 20
The Dolphins lost a heartbreaker against Carolina and are now fading fast in the AFC East division race.
Week 13: Defeated the New York Jets, 23-3
Ranked - 14
Second place in the AFC East is theirs. Can they turn that into a Wild Card spot?
Week 14: Defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers, 34-28
Ranked - 14
Miami has a huge, possible make-or-break test against the Patriots this week. Win, and they will likely make the playoffs. Lose, and all bets are off.
Week 15: Defeated the New England Patriots, 24-20
Ranked - 11
Outstanding win by the Dolphins over the Patriots last weekend. Now that they know they can beat the Patriots, who knows how far they can go… if they can just make the playoffs.
Week 16: Lost at the Buffalo Bills, 19-0
Ranked - 12
The Dolphins can sneak into the playoffs as a wild card if they win and Baltimore loses or if they win and the Chargers win.
Week 17: Lost to the New York Jets, 20-7
Final Ranking: 16
Tomorrow, the 2013 Arizona Cardinals...
Thursday, February 23, 2012
Season Recap - 2011 Miami Dolphins
Finished: 4th Place in the AFC East
2012 Draft Position: 9th
Preseason Ranking: 23
Week 1: Lost to the New England Patriots, 38-24
Ranked - 27
Try as they might, the Dolphins just can’t win a shoot-out against the Brady-led Patriots.
Week 2: Lost to the Houston Texans, 23-13
Ranked - 28
Before the season started, if you had to guess which AFC East team would be 0-2 after two weeks, few people would have picked the Dolphins. Further burying them deep in the division cellar is that they are the only AFC East team to lose a game yet this season. That changes this week when the Bills and Patriots square off, but that's little consolation for Miami.
Week 3: Lost at the Cleveland Browns, 17-16
Ranked - 29
Note to self: If you can’t be part of the solution, complain loudly about the problem. Signed, Reggie Bush.
Week 4: Lost at the San Diego Chargers, 26-16
Ranked - 31
Coach Sparano has been given the kiss of death by Owner Stephen Ross, who says he supports Sparano 100%, despite Miami's winless start. He now has two weeks to prepare for a division matchup with the Jets. A bad loss in that game will probably seal Sparano's fate in Miami once the season ends, if not sooner.
Week 5: BYE WEEK
Ranked - 31
The Dolphins have a new quarterback, but not a new coach. We'll see if that means anything on Monday night when they face off against the reeling Jets.
Week 6: Lost at the New York Jets, 24-6
Ranked - 31 Indiana Jones Style Recap
[The Dolphins Coaching staff wanders around their practice facility, studying the players preparing for their next game]
Coach Sparano: Who knows. Perhaps the key to our first win is waiting in some new offensive scheme for us to discover. Perhaps there's some vital bit of information which eludes us. Perhaps...
Brian Daboll, Offensive Coordinator: [interrupting him] Perhaps Andrew Luck can help us.
Steve Bush, Wide Receivers Coach: My feeling exactly.
Week 7: Lost to the Denver Broncos, 18-15
Ranked - 30
If the last five minutes of the Denver game hasn’t convinced the owners to make a coaching change, nothing will.
Week 8: Lost at the New York Giants, 20-17
Ranked - 31
Make up your mind, Reggie Bush. Do the Dolphins stink or are you guys just having too much fun wallowing in your own winless filth?
Week 9: Defeated the Kansas City Chiefs, 31-3
Ranked - 30
The win over Kansas City probably allowed Coach Sparano to keep his job through the end of the year. A few more will be needed if he hopes to be around in 2012.
Week 10: Defeated the Washington Redskins, 20-9
Ranked - 28
Isn’t it amazing how two straight victories can take the pressure off a team that lost seven in a row to start the season?
Week 11: Defeated the Buffalo Bills, 35-8
Ranked - 21
The Dolphins are suddenly scary good.
Week 12: Lost at the Dallas Cowboys, 20-19
Ranked - 20
Tough break in Dallas on Thanksgiving. The Dolphins should still be on a winning streak.
Week 13: Defeated the Oakland Raiders, 34-14
Ranked - 18
The talk of firing Coach Sparano has died down since Miami's success of late.
Week 14: Lost to the Philadelphia Eagles, 26-10
Ranked - 22
The writing has been on the wall for quite some time now, so it was inevitable that Sparano would be fired, but at this point, why didn't the Dolphins just let him close out the season?
Week 15: Defeated the Buffalo Bills, 30-23
Ranked - 24
The Dolphins have shown flashes of brilliance this season. There is hope for 2012, depending on who ends up being hired as the coach during the offseason.
Week 16: Lost at the New England Patriots, 27-24
Ranked - 24
The Dolphins can put an end to the Jets season once and for all. Too bad Rex Ryan will never shut up.
Week 17: Defeated the New York Jets, 19-17
Final Ranking: 21
Tomorrow, the 2011 Buffalo Bills...
Tuesday, March 1, 2011
Season Recap - 2010 Miami Dolphins
Final Record: 7-9
Finished: 3rd Place in the AFC East
2011 Draft Position: 15th
Preseason Letter of Misfortune:
Wildcat! What happened to the magic last year? In 2008 all anybody could talk about was the emergence of the wildcat offense unveiled to devastating effect against the New England Patriots the third week of the season. Spurred on by the new offense,
With such great success in 2008, 2009 should have been your year. But you faltered. Injuries hurt you badly. Defenses figured out how to slow the wildcat and your own defense broke down and allowed offenses to run all over them.
To succeed against the likes of New England and
With three of your first four games against the likes of
Week 1: Defeated the Buffalo
Ranked – 10
Traveling to Minnesota
Week 2: Defeated the Minnesota
Ranked – 10
Impressive win against an underachieving team on the road. The offense may not have been there enough to move up in the rankings, but the defense played well enough to keep you in the top 10.
Week 3: Lost to New York
Ranked – 19
So close to taking solid possession of the AFC East and now so far away. In a three-way fight, you needed every advantage you can get.
Week 4: Lost to New England Patriots, 41-14
Ranked – 26
After nearly a century of games, it's not easy to make history in the NFL, but the Dolphins did so... and not in a good way. Now Miami has an extra week to chew on the five unique touchdowns New England scored against them.
Week 5: BYE WEEK
Ranked – 20
Idle and improving.
Week 6: Defeated the Green Bay
Ranked – 17
Even if it takes five quarters, it's always difficult to defeat the Packers at Lambeau.
Week 7: Lost to Pittsburgh
Ranked – 17
The refs were right about the replay, but should have been more proactive determining who had the ball at the bottom of the pile before the replays were viewed.
Week 8: Defeated the Cincinnati
Ranked – 15
I have an idea - why don't the Dolphins try and win one at home.
Week 9: Lost at Buffalo
Ranked – 17
The road winning streak has ended and with it hope for an AFC wild card birth has been placed in serious jeopardy.
Week 10: Defeated the Tennessee
Ranked – 16
It's still a two-team race in the AFC East, but the Dolphins are not going quietly into the night. They will not vanish without a fight.
Week 11: Lost to Chicago
Ranked – 19
Any hopes for a late season playoff push were all but crushed by the Bears last Thursday Night. It's never good to be shut out at home.
Week 12: Defeated the Oakland
Ranked – 15
If only all games could be played on the road. Too bad the Dolphins have to return to South Florida , the home of underachieving talent.
Week 13: Lost to Cleveland
Ranked – 18 (ROCKY WEEK!)
[Miami fans, deeply concerned, walk towards the Dolphins on the beach]
Suntanned Fans: Can we talk to you? We wanna ask you something important, and we want you to tell us the truth.
Suntanned Fans: Why'd you come here?
Suntanned Fans: If it's over because you want it to be over, I'm glad.
Suntanned Fans: It's just... you never quit anything since we've known you.
Miami Dolphins: We don't know what you want us to say. I mean, what happened? How did everything that was so good on the road get so bad at home?
Suntanned Fans: What's so bad? Tell us, what?
Miami Dolphins: We wrecked everything by not winning at home. I mean, why couldn't Parcells tell us where we really were right from the start? He didn't have to carry us and lie to us and make us think we were better than we really were when we weren't.
Week 14: Defeated the New York
Ranked – 16
It's difficult enough to play in a tough division without other team's taking cheap shots at your players.
Week 15: Lost to Buffalo
Ranked – 18
The Heat have figured out how to win in South Florida . Why can't the Dolphins?
Week 16: Lost to Detroit
Ranked – 19
A trip out of the state to finish the season is exactly what the Dolphins need. Sure, the game will be in frigid New England against the best team in the league, but at least it won't be in the nightmarish confines of South Florida .
Week 17: Lost at New England Patriots, 38-7
Final Rank - 18
Tomorrow, the 2010 Jacksonville
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
Letters of Misfortune - AFC East, Part II
One of the biggest surprise teams in last year's NFL and the beneficiary of the most gift-wrapped entrance ever into the playoffs, the New York Jets are under a lot of pressure now to repeat their performance from a year ago. Despite their tear through the final games of the season, a lot of questions still linger in New Jersey.
Will quarterback Mark Sanchez continue his brilliant, if sometimes erratic, rookie play or succumb to the dreaded sophomore slump? Will the defense, stellar last season behind the ball-hawking abilities of cornerback Darrelle Revis, be able to play at such a high level once again? Will Revis' holdout impact the defense's cohesiveness once September rolls around?
Not only are their questions surrounding last season, but the addition of older veterans, chief among them Ladainian Tomlinson and Laveranues Coles, also add some interesting possibilities for the high-flying Jets.
At least we can be certain of one thing. Rex Ryan will entertain us, whether or not the Jets are able to continue their success from last year. He's trimmed down during the offseason and signed a two-year extension to coach the team. Brimming with confidence, his fiery attitude should be enough to keep the Jets in position to challenge for the division.
By the time the bye week rolls around in week seven, we will know if the Jets were for real last season or the beneficiaries of better teams laying down and giving them a free pass when they shouldn't have.
Wildcat! What happened to the magic last year? In 2008 all anybody could talk about was the emergence of the wildcat offense unveiled to devastating effect against the New England Patriots the third week of the season. Spurred on by the new offense, Miami stole victories with their energetic, deceptive style of play. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams gave the wildcat offense a devastating 1-2 punch that left the rest of the league in its wake. After surprising the rest of the AFC East and stealing the division, the wildcat run came to a sudden, tragic end against Baltimore during the wild card game.
With such great success in 2008, 2009 should have been your year. But you faltered. Injuries hurt you badly. Defenses figured out how to slow the wildcat and your own defense broke down and allowed offenses to run all over them.
To succeed against the likes of New England and New York in 2010 you will have to reassert your dominance in the running game, with or without the wildcat antics. The maturation of Chad Henne and the addition of Brandon Marshall will only help improve your average passing game. But all the offensive firepower will not matter if the defense continues to work like a sieve and allow opposing teams to move up and down the field at will.
With three of your first four games against the likes of New England, Minnesota and the New York Jets, you will have to hit the ground snarling like a rabid wildcat. Anything less and you’ll be swimming in circles the rest of the season, trying to catch up to the rest of the division.
Tomorrow, letters to the AFC West...
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