Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Conference Championship Games (2014)

And then there were four...

Championship Game Predictions:

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 7. Seahawks by 7, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 2. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.744 - 0.685
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Both teams at 13-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 7. Patriots by 6.5, Over/Under 53.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 3. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.711 - 0.649
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 13-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3

Check back next week for post-championship game power rankings...

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Divisional Round (2014)

It's the divisional round of the NFL playoffs! The home teams have a huge advantage, but in recent years, the Wild Card teams have been nothing but upset-minded. If your team is still playing for a shot at the title, how will they fare this weekend?

Divisional Round Saturday Game Predictions:

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 7. Patriots by 7, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 2. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.722 - 0.681
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 12-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 11. Seahawks by 10.5, Over/Under 40
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 11. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.739 - 0.462
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 12-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3

Divisional Round Sunday Game Predictions:

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 6. Packers by 6, Over/Under 52.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.688 - 0.659
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 13-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 7. Broncos by 7, Over/Under 53
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 1. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.675 - 0.641
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 12-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

Check back next Thursday for Championship game power rankings and predictions.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Wild Card Weekend (2014)

The NFL playoffs are finally here. Let's get wild, everybody!

Wild Card Game Predictions:

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7. Panthers by 6.5, Over/Under 37.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.508 - 0.442
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 11-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.672 - 0.599
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 11-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts by 3, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.625 - 0.535
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 11-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 7. Cowboys by 6.5, Over/Under 48
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.662 - 0.576
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Fantasy projections not available in the playoffs; If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring season totals used
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 12-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3


Check back next Thursday for Creative Misfortune's post-Wild Card round power rankings.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 16 (2014)

First round byes and division titles are on the line as Denver takes on Cincinnati. Almost all systems favor the Broncos to win, but who knows what Cincinnati team will show up tonight.

Monday Night Game Prediction:

Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos by 3, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.668 - 0.543
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 6. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 85-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 11-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3


"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Fantasy Bowl IV results will be posted on New Year's Eve, because I will be traveling, but results will be based on the games played in Week 16. Happy Holidays, Everybody!

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 16 (2014)

Playoff seeds will be won and lost this weekend. Is your team still fighting for the postseason?

Sunday Game Predictions:

San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1. 49ers by 1, Over/Under 41.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.518 - 0.425
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 1. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 8-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 8. Eagles by 7.5, Over/Under 50
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 12. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.606 - 0.297
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 92-71
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 9-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3

Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 4. Panthers by 3.5, Over/Under 39.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.451 - 0.374
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 7-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 11
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Lions by 7, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 11. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.597 - 0.317
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-60
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 10-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Ravens by 5.5, Over/Under 41
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.692 - 0.592
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 9-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3

Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Dolphins by 6.5, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.549 - 0.459
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-58
     Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 7-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6. Saints by 6, Over/Under 56
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.484 - 0.465
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-87
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 6-8
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3

New England Patriots at New York Jets
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 21
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 10. Patriots by 10, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 20. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.747 - 0.257
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 15. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 96-53
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 11-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.637 - 0.581
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 9-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11. Packers by 10.5, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 15. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.667 - 0.295
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 103-57
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3

New York Giants at St. Louis Rams
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 5, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.460
     Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 6-8
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3

Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys by 3, Over/Under 55
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.588
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 5. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 95-82
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Both teams at 10-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3

Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6. Bills by 6, Over/Under 39.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 16. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.601 - 0.201
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 15. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-41
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 8-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8. Seahawks by 7.5, Over/Under 36.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.690 - 0.595
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-51
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 11-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3


Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 16 (2014)

Is anybody watching this epic battle between a couple of 2-12 teams? I can't even think of a fantasy angle that makes this game relevant.

Thursday Night Game Prediction:

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Jaguars by 3, Over/Under 40.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.224 - 0.203
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 1. Jacksonville Jaguars projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
     Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Both teams at 2-12, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 16 slate...

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 15 (2014)

The 5-8 Saints are still battling for supremacy in the NFC South, while the 5-8 Bears have been eliminated from playoff contention. Almost all systems favor New Orleans to get past Chicago and take sole possession of first place in their division. 

Monday Night Game Prediction:

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 54
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 5. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.456 - 0.331
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 4. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-82
     Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Both teams at 5-8, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3


Week 15 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Conference Championship results will be posted on Wednesday. Who punched their ticket to Fantasy Bowl IV?

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 15 (2014)

Almost every game this week has playoff implications, except for the exciting game between the New York Jets and the Tennessee Titans, featuring two teams with combined 4-22 records, and the game between the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins, a combined 7-19.

Sunday Game Predictions:

Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 54
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.574 - 0.475
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-76
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 8-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 5. Packers by 4.5, Over/Under 50.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 4. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.686 - 0.590
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-72
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 10-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 3, Over/Under 42
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.363 - 0.287
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 4-8-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 1. Bengals by 1, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.513 - 0.483
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 5. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-60
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 8-4-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7. Colts by 6.5, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 2. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.661 - 0.610
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 97-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 9-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Lions by 8, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.598 - 0.461
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-43
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 9-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 15
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 10. Chiefs by 10, Over/Under 41.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 16. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.610 - 0.210
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 13. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-39
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 8. Patriots by 7.5, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 5. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.724 - 0.610
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 10-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3

Washington Redskins at New York Giants
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 7. Giants by 6.5, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 5. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.437 - 0.304
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 7. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-64
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 4-9
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 15
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 14. Ravens by 14, Over/Under 45
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 20. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.688 - 0.201
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 18. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 100-50
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 8-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Jets by 2. Jets by 2, Over/Under 42
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.239 - 0.221
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Jets by 1. New York Jets projected to win by a fantasy score of 67-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3. Both teams at 2-11, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Broncos by 4, Over/Under 50.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 5. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.656 - 0.544
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 8. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-66
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 10-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seahawks by 10, Over/Under 38
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 9. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.678 - 0.445
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 10. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-45
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 9-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 3, Over/Under 55
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 2. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.633 - 0.577
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 93-79
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Both teams at 9-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3


Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 15 (2014)

Since I have both of these defenses starting in various fantasy leagues, I'm really hoping this slugfest goes into overtime with a final score of 16-14. Each team gets two defensive touchdowns and a safety in the extra period wins the game! Hey, it could happen. 

Thursday Night Game Prediction:

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 5. Rams by 4.5, Over/Under 39.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.585 - 0.500
     Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-64
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 10-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3

Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 15 slate...

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 14 (2014)

The Falcons have a shot to be in sole possession of first place in the NFC South. They just have to get by a Packers team that is playing lights out football. Hard to think this will be a great game, when all systems favor the Packers by an average score of 10 points, but then again, the Falcons could pull off an upset. That's why they play the games!

Monday Night Game Prediction:

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 16
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 13. Packers by 13, Over/Under 56
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 9. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.698 - 0.484
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 10. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 101-72
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 9-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3


Week 14 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. Divisional round results will be posted on Wednesday. Which teams advanced to the conference championships?

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 14 (2014)

With only four weeks remaining in the regular season, it's anybody's guess as to who which teams will actually make the playoffs in each conference. Every game is critical from here on out. How do the prediction systems think your team will fare this weekend?

Sunday Game Predictions:

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals by 3, Over/Under 47
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.542 - 0.530
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-73
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 8-3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3

Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4. Colts by 3.5, Over/Under 49.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 6. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.671 - 0.517
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 9. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 94-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 8-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Lions by 10, Over/Under 41.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 11. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.565 - 0.301
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 12. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 80-47
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 8-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 15
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 5. Texans by 5, Over/Under 42
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 15. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.588 - 0.206
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 13. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-52
     Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at 6-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.673 - 0.650
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 76-74
     Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Both teams at 7-5, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3

New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 9
     Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 6. Vikings by 5.5, Over/Under 40.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 9. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.442 - 0.227
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 8. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-50
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 5-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 9
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10. Saints by 10, Over/Under 49.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 9. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.509 - 0.292
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 96-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 5-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3

New York Giants at Tennessee Titans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 2. Giants by 1.5, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 5. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.375 - 0.251
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 4. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-72
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 3-9
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams by 3.5, Over/Under 45
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 4. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.448 - 0.341
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Washington Redskins by 1. Washington Redskins projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-74
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 5-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 0. Pick em, Home Team Wins, Over/Under 40.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 2. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.623 - 0.583
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-60
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 9-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 10. Broncos by 10, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.654 - 0.614
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 10. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 85-58
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 9-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1. Eagles by 1, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.670 - 0.657
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-75
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 9-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3

San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 12
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 8. 49ers by 8, Over/Under 40.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 12. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.468 - 0.177
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 11. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 74-42
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 7-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 4. Patriots by 3.5, Over/Under 50.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.721 - 0.567
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 4. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 9-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3

Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 14 (2014)

Both the Bears and the Cowboys were embarrassed last Thursday. Now they have another Thursday night game to redeem themselves.

All systems, save the blind Home Team Wins formula, predict the Cowboys to win by an average of six points.

Thursday Night Game Prediction:

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 4. Cowboys by 3.5, Over/Under 51
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 9. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.560 - 0.336
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 6. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-72
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 8-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3


Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 14 slate...

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 13 (2014)

Traveling this week, so no prediction stat recaps will be posted. The prediction standings will be updated sometime this week.

All systems, save the blind Home Team Wins formula, favor the Miami Dolphins to win tonight by an average score of 10 points.

Monday Night Game Prediction:

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 18
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Dolphins by 6.5, Over/Under 41.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 17. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.219
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 12. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphisn better at 6-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3


Week 13 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Wild Card results will be posted on Wednesday. Which teams advanced to the divisional round games?

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 13 (2014)

The fantasy playoffs have started around the country as the real NFL teams make their final push for the playoffs. Hope everybody is enjoying their long holiday weekend!

Sunday Game Predictions:

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills by 2.5, Over/Under 41
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.582 - 0.559
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 66-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Washington Redskins at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 10. Colts by 9.5, Over/Under 51
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 11. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.367
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 14. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 100-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 6. Texans by 6, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 11. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.540 - 0.269
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 4. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-61
     Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at 5-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3

New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 8
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 7. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.366 - 0.180
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 8. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 3-8
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings by 3, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.390 - 0.312
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 68-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 4-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5. Steelers by 4.5, Over/Under 53.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.554 - 0.504
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-82
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3

Oakland Raiders at St. Louis Rams
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 7. Rams by 7, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.324 - 0.242
     Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 4. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 4-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3

San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Ravens by 5.5, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.696 - 0.574
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Both teams at 7-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 4. Bengals by 4, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 10. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.530 - 0.293
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 79-70
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 7-3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 7. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.621 - 0.459
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 1. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a fantasy score of 68-64
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 9-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3

New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers by 3, Over/Under 58
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 2. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.745 - 0.703
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 1. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-83
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 9-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Broncos by 2, Over/Under 49.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.641
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 76-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 8-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3

Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.