Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 32)
The misery of the Colts season continues.
# 31 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 31)
Nothing says "we haven't given up" like scoring 0 points against your division rival.
# 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 30)
If the Vikings could just win half of the games they were leading at some point, just think how good their record could be.
# 29 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 28)
A fired coach. The team up for sale. Despite all that, Jones-Drew continues to put up nice fantasy numbers.
# 28 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 27)
If the Buccaneers can't find some positivity by season's end, they will have to make some significant changes if they want to have any chance in a tough division next year.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 29)
Hail Mary passes don't generally win games at the end of the first half. Maybe Kansas City's luck is about to change for the better.
# 26 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 25)
Three games out of four against the Ravens and the Steelers should put the exclamation point on Cleveland's forgettable 2011 campaign.
# 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 24)
A few suspensions should help the Redskins finish on a 1-12 run after starting 3-0.
# 24 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 26)
A few more wins - and Cincinnati's struggles - should make Cam Newton a lock for Rookie of the Year.
# 23 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 19)
The Eagles are on absolute life support, but with the recent struggles in Dallas and New York, who knows what will happen the next four weeks.
# 22 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 23)
Sometimes the only thing better than calling a timeout is not calling a timeout. It's worked for Andy Reid all these years, it certainly worked for Ken Whisenhunt last Sunday.
# 21 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
The luster is certainly gone from Buffalo's scintillating 4-1 start.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 22)
Marshawn Lynch is finally adding some much needed life to the Seahawks, though it is too little, too late for Seattle.
# 19 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 21)
San Diego made the most of catching Jacksonville at the right time. They'll have to be near perfect in order to catch Oakland and Denver.
# 18 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 20)
The talk of firing Coach Sparano has died down since Miami's success of late.
# 17 - New York Giants (previous: 17)
Despite four straight losses, the Giants still control their own destiny with two games still remaining against division-leading Dallas.
# 16 - Denver Broncos (previous: 16)
The Broncos are winning because they believe they can. Plain and simple.
# 15 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 15)
Oakland's misstep in Miami has shifted control of the division to Denver, but if they can get healthy quick, it is their division to lose.
# 14 - Chicago Bears (previous: 8)
For a while Martz had figured out how to make the Bears offense successful… but the losses of Forte and Cutler have brought back out his pass-wacky style.
# 13 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 11)
Tough losses of late have slowed Cincinnati's surprising run at the playoffs.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - New York Jets (previous: 14)
New York is on the outside looking in at the playoffs after 12 weeks, but if any team has the ability to make a late season run deep into the playoffs, the Jets do.
# 11 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 12)
A loss to the Texans hurts, but doesn't end Atlanta's playoffs hopes after most other NFC hopefuls stumbled last week.
# 10 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 10)
What a unique way to lose – icing your own kicker? Awesome. That has to be some kind of record!
# 9 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 13)
Chris Johnson is suddenly playing like Chris Johnson and the Titans are all the better for it.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 9)
The most undisciplined team in the NFL continues to self-destruct.
# 7 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 7)
Pittsburgh is quietly starting to dominate teams as they solidify their spot in the playoffs.
# 6 - New England Patriots (previous: 3)
Did Belichick call off the dogs against Indianapolis last week after building an early lead or did the Colts actually shut this high-powered offense down in the second half?
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 5)
Until the Saints catch up with the 49ers, Drew Brees has no reason not to keep chasing Dan Marino's passing records.
# 4 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 4)
A power running game and strong defensive play often mean the difference between winning and losing in the playoffs. Baltimore has both.
# 3 - Houston Texans (previous: 2)
When the Texans can defeat a playoff caliber team with a third-string quarterback, you know something is going right in Texas.
# 2 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
San Francisco probably won't be able to catch Green Bay for the best overall record in the NFC, but they should keep hold of their bye-week positioning.
# 1 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
We will know Green Bay is unstoppable if they ever win a game 10-7. Despite being undefeated, are the Packers capable of winning a close, defensive struggle?
Week 13 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Chicago Bears (-6), Philadelphia Eagles (-4), New England Patriots (-3), Buffalo Bills (-3), Cincinnati Bengals (-2)
The Biggest Movers - San Francisco 49ers (+4), Tennessee Titans (+4), New York Jets (+2), Miami Dolphins (+2), San Diego Chargers (+2)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Green Bay Packers (1), Baltimore Ravens (4), New Orleans Saints (5), Pittsburgh Steelers (7), Dallas Cowboys (10), Oakland Raiders (15), Denver Broncos (16), New York Giants (17), Minnesota Vikings (30), St. Louis Rams (31), Indianapolis Colts (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVI Favorite ~ After Week 13
Green Bay Packers
Check back later tonight for Pittsburgh vs Cleveland picks. I don't expect there to be any surprises...
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