Monday, September 23, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 3 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 3, the third week of predictions showed the following results for our systems...

The blind Best Record Wins formula came out on top in a big way in week 3 - hitting 12 out of 15 games correctly for an impressive 80.00% accuracy percentage. This blind method of picking game winners is now tied with Vegas for the season.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the blind Home Team Wins formula tied for second place getting 10 out of 15 games for a 66.67% accuracy percentage.

Both the Vegas Lines and Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formulas stumbled this week, coming in at 9 out of 15 games picked accurately for a very pedestrian 60.00% accuracy. 

All systems have predicted a big win by the Broncos at home tonight.


Monday Night Game Prediction:

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 17
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 22
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 17. Broncos by 16.5, Over/Under 49
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 2-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

Week 3 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?

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