Monday, December 2, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 13 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 13, the thirteenth week of predictions ended up being a pretty average week of predictions for most systems.

The Vegas Lines system won the week by picking 11 out of 15 games correctly for a solid 73.3% accuracy.

Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the blind Best Record Wins formula tied for second by picking 9 out of 15 games correctly for an average 60% accuracy.

The blind Home Team Wins formula hit its average result, picking 8 out of 15 games correctly for 53.3% accuracy.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula finished the worst of the week, only picking 6 of the 15 games correctly for a very poor 40% accuracy. I blame Buffalo's "home" game in Toronto for this result!

All systems favor the Seahawks to win at home tonight and take a huge step towards locking down home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Monday Night Game Prediction:

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seahawks by 4.5, Over/Under 47
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 10-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3


"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Wild Card results will be posted on Wednesday. Who advanced to the Divisional round and how many top-seeded teams made the most of their bye-week advantage?

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