Thursday, November 24, 2011

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Week 11 (2011)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.



The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 32)
                    Unfortunately the season is not over yet for the Colts. Although they didn’t lose last week. They have that going for them.

     # 31 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 31)
                    The Rams should have been so much better this year.

     # 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 30)
                    It's surprising to see the Vikings so bad and in search of an identity after all that has happened with this franchise in the past three years.

     # 29 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 23)
                    The Chiefs have gone from bad to better to absolutely terrible.

     # 28 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
                    It's still surprising the Panthers only have two wins after how impressive Cam Newton has been all season.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 26)
                    At least Maurice Jones-Drew is a viable fantasy option, but this offense has nothing else going for it.

     # 26 - Washington Redskins (previous: 25)
                    The Redskins are still on pace to finish 3-13. The overtime game against Dallas last week could very well have been their last chance to win a game this season.

     # 25 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 22)
                    The sophomore slump of the Buccaneers continues.

     # 24 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 21)
                    Who will start for Arizona once Kolb is back to 100%? Does it even matter?

     # 23 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 29)
                    Cleveland's season is all but mathematically over. Barely defeating a struggling Jacksonville team does little to change that perception.

     # 22 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 24)
                    Seattle is still one of the most boring teams in the NFL.

     # 21 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 28)
                    The Dolphins are suddenly scary good.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 19)
                    San Diego just keeps taking underachivement to a whole new level.

     # 19 - Denver Broncos (previous: 20)
                    Tebow has the Broncos in second place after a horrid start. The Wild Card is probably out of the question, but a division title for the Broncos? Stranger things have happened.

     # 18 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 16)
                    Fans in Buffalo must be thinking, "here we go… Buffaloed again."

     # 17 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 18)
                    Too little, too late. The Eagles might just be figuring things out for next year.

     # 16 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 17)
                    Suddenly Oakland is the team to beat in the AFC West.

     # 15 - New York Giants (previous: 15)
                    The Giants are better than they looked against Philadelphia… but the next two games against New Orleans and Green Bay could kill their postseason hopes.

     # 14 - New York Jets (previous: 14)
                    How cool was that to see the vaunted Jets defense lose the game on a two-niute, 95-yard touchdown drive?

     # 13 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 12)
                    The Titans failure to create any kind of running game has them fading quickly out of the playoff race.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 13)
                    Tiebreakers will kill them in the division, by a Wild Card spot is well within their grasp.

     # 11 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 11)
                    If Dallas can get by suddenly hot Miami, the NFC East will be theirs to lose.

     # 10 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 10)
                    The Bengals may be the third best team in their division, but a Wild Card is by no means out of the question.

     # 9 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 9)
                    The Steelers have the experience to emerge from their bye week ready to take control of the division back from Baltimore.

     # 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 8)
                    The Lions have a franchise-defining game against the Packers lined up for Thanksgiving. Win, and all bets are off. Lose, and the Lions fall back into the NFC's Wild Card quagmire.

     # 7 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 7)
                    An extra day of rest should have the Saints ready to make a run for the playoffs.

     # 6 - Chicago Bears (previous: 6)
                    Cutler out. Good thing the Bears are winning with defense, special teams and a solid running game.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 4)
                    Baltimore will have their work cut out for them when the 49ers come to town Thanksgiving Night. If they can win, there should be no stopping them the rest of the season.

     # 4 - New England Patriots (previous: 5)
                    New England seems to have figured out how to play defense. If they could just get their offense back on track…

     # 3 - Houston Texans (previous: 3)
                    The Texans are playing lights out football. We'll see if Leinert can keep them on the right track. Andre Johnson's return to the lineup should help.

     # 2 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 2)
                    San Francisco is playing solid football and, with the division all but wrapped up, securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs should be their goal the remainder of the regular season.

     # 1 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
                    The Packers face their greatest challenge of the season when they travel to Detroit to face the Lions on Thanksgiving Day.



Week 11 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Kansas City Chiefs (-6), Arizona Cardinals (-3), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3), Buffalo Bills (-2), Baltimore Ravens (-1)

The Biggest Movers - Miami Dolphins (+7), Cleveland Browns (+6), Seattle Seahawks (+2), New England Patriots (+1), Atlanta Falcons (+1)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Green Bay Packers (1), San Francisco 49ers (2), Houston Texans (3), Chicago Bears (6), New Orleans Saints (7), Detroit Lions (8), Pittsburgh Steelers (9), Cincinnati Bengals (10), Dallas Cowboys (11), New York Jets (14), New York Giants (15), Minnesota Vikings (30), St. Louis Rams (31), Indianapolis Colts (32)


Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVI Favorite ~ After Week 11

Green Bay Packers


Check back later today for week 12 Thanksgiving Day game predictions.

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