Now that baseball has ended, time to get back to just watching football! Happy Halloween!
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals by 3, Over/Under 43
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 6-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Check back tomorrow for predictions on the remaining Week 9 matchups...
Thursday, October 31, 2013
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 8 (2013)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
Nothing says we haven't quit on the season like losing a game 42-10… at home.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 31)
The Bucs aren't nearly as bad as the Jaguars, but I'd be surprised if this team managed to win more than two games this year.
# 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 30)
The QB carousel in Minnesota continues and the defense is starting to buckle under the weight of an offense not going anywhere.
# 29 - New York Giants (previous: 29)
Two straight wins have the Giant faithful thinking playoffs. In a weak division, they definitely aren't out of it.
# 28 - Houston Texans (previous: 28)
Has the much-needed bye week helped the Texans regroup for the second half of the season?
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 27)
Just when you think the Steelers have things figured out, they get run over by Terrelle Pryor and the Oakland Raiders.
# 26 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 24)
It's hard to win football games when you can't even stay competitive with the Cardinals.
# 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 25)
The Redskins were all primed for the major upset and then Peyton Manning happened.
# 24 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 23)
St. Louis shocked everybody last night by almost knocking off the Seahawks. If the defense keeps playing strong, the offense may be able to get into gear and notch a few more wins before the season is over.
# 23 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 21)
Is there a quarterback on this team that can play the full 60 minutes?
# 22 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 22)
Two straight road losses have knocked the Browns down a bit, but with those losses coming to the Packers and Chiefs, they weren't nearly as bad as they could have been.
# 21 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 19)
Buffalo just doesn't have what it takes to stay with the elite NFL teams.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 26)
Terrelle Pryor can run and throw… now if the Raiders can just get some solid personnel around him, he could take this franchise back to its glory days.
# 19 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 17)
Losses in the division are going to kill Miami's playoff hopes.
# 18 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 18)
The Ravens have to come charging out of the bye if they hope to catch Cincinnati.
# 17 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
The Titans probably will miss the playoffs, but they still can surprise some people.
# 16 - New York Jets (previous: 14)
Isn't it just like the Jets to win a great game over their division rivals and then get completely blown out the following week?
# 15 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 20)
Huge win for the Cardinals and a huge day for their running game. Arizona is still overmatched in the tough NFC West, though.
# 14 - Chicago Bears (previous: 13)
Will one week to heal be enough for the Bears?
# 13 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 12)
Despite being third place in the division, the Chargers are primed to push for a playoff spot coming out of their bye week.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 10)
Ugh, Dallas, that was terrible. How can you lose a game like that with just one minute to go when the defense has played so well most of the season? "4-4" translates to "8-8 and missing the playoffs" if Dallas can't stop giving games away.
# 11 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 15)
A big win on Thursday Night and a loss by the Falcons makes the Panthers the only team that can challenge New Orleans for the division title.
# 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 11)
Megatron! 329 yards receiving! Need I say more?
# 9 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 9)
Despite Detroit's prowess, Green Bay remains the team to beat in the NFC North.
# 8 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 4)
That bye week after defeating the Broncos had to be one of the sweetest bye weeks these players have ever experienced. Questions still remain about how they will deal with the loss of Reggie Wayne on the outside.
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 7)
The Patriots are better than average, but are they really good?
# 6 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 8)
Marvin Jones! Four touchdowns to help Cincinnati take a commanding lead in the AFC North.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
The 49ers have quietly won six straight games…
# 4 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 5)
Aside from a terrible sequence in New England, the Saints could be undefeated and they don't show any signs of slowing down.
# 3 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 2)
I think everybody expected more out of Seattle on Monday Night.
# 2 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
Don't make Peyton Manning angry… nobody can erase a 2-touchdown deficit faster.
# 1 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 1)
Still undefeated, still number one. A win this week sends the Chiefs into the bye a perfect 9-0 with the Denver Broncos looming on the other side.
Week 8 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Indianapolis Colts (-4), Dallas Cowboys (-2), New York Jets (-2), Miami Dolphins (-2), Buffalo Bills (-2)
The Biggest Movers - Oakland Raiders (+6), Arizona Cardinals (+5), Carolina Panthers (+4), Cincinnati Bengals (+2), Denver Broncos (+1)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Kansas City Chiefs (1), New England Patriots (7), Green Bay Packers (9), Baltimore Ravens (18), Cleveland Browns (22), Washington Redskins (25), Pittsburgh Steelers (27), Houston Texans (28), New York Giants (29), Minnesota Vikings (30), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 8
Denver Broncos
Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
Nothing says we haven't quit on the season like losing a game 42-10… at home.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 31)
The Bucs aren't nearly as bad as the Jaguars, but I'd be surprised if this team managed to win more than two games this year.
# 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 30)
The QB carousel in Minnesota continues and the defense is starting to buckle under the weight of an offense not going anywhere.
# 29 - New York Giants (previous: 29)
Two straight wins have the Giant faithful thinking playoffs. In a weak division, they definitely aren't out of it.
# 28 - Houston Texans (previous: 28)
Has the much-needed bye week helped the Texans regroup for the second half of the season?
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 27)
Just when you think the Steelers have things figured out, they get run over by Terrelle Pryor and the Oakland Raiders.
# 26 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 24)
It's hard to win football games when you can't even stay competitive with the Cardinals.
# 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 25)
The Redskins were all primed for the major upset and then Peyton Manning happened.
# 24 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 23)
St. Louis shocked everybody last night by almost knocking off the Seahawks. If the defense keeps playing strong, the offense may be able to get into gear and notch a few more wins before the season is over.
# 23 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 21)
Is there a quarterback on this team that can play the full 60 minutes?
# 22 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 22)
Two straight road losses have knocked the Browns down a bit, but with those losses coming to the Packers and Chiefs, they weren't nearly as bad as they could have been.
# 21 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 19)
Buffalo just doesn't have what it takes to stay with the elite NFL teams.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 26)
Terrelle Pryor can run and throw… now if the Raiders can just get some solid personnel around him, he could take this franchise back to its glory days.
# 19 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 17)
Losses in the division are going to kill Miami's playoff hopes.
# 18 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 18)
The Ravens have to come charging out of the bye if they hope to catch Cincinnati.
# 17 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
The Titans probably will miss the playoffs, but they still can surprise some people.
# 16 - New York Jets (previous: 14)
Isn't it just like the Jets to win a great game over their division rivals and then get completely blown out the following week?
# 15 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 20)
Huge win for the Cardinals and a huge day for their running game. Arizona is still overmatched in the tough NFC West, though.
# 14 - Chicago Bears (previous: 13)
Will one week to heal be enough for the Bears?
# 13 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 12)
Despite being third place in the division, the Chargers are primed to push for a playoff spot coming out of their bye week.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 10)
Ugh, Dallas, that was terrible. How can you lose a game like that with just one minute to go when the defense has played so well most of the season? "4-4" translates to "8-8 and missing the playoffs" if Dallas can't stop giving games away.
# 11 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 15)
A big win on Thursday Night and a loss by the Falcons makes the Panthers the only team that can challenge New Orleans for the division title.
# 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 11)
Megatron! 329 yards receiving! Need I say more?
# 9 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 9)
Despite Detroit's prowess, Green Bay remains the team to beat in the NFC North.
# 8 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 4)
That bye week after defeating the Broncos had to be one of the sweetest bye weeks these players have ever experienced. Questions still remain about how they will deal with the loss of Reggie Wayne on the outside.
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 7)
The Patriots are better than average, but are they really good?
# 6 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 8)
Marvin Jones! Four touchdowns to help Cincinnati take a commanding lead in the AFC North.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
The 49ers have quietly won six straight games…
# 4 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 5)
Aside from a terrible sequence in New England, the Saints could be undefeated and they don't show any signs of slowing down.
# 3 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 2)
I think everybody expected more out of Seattle on Monday Night.
# 2 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
Don't make Peyton Manning angry… nobody can erase a 2-touchdown deficit faster.
# 1 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 1)
Still undefeated, still number one. A win this week sends the Chiefs into the bye a perfect 9-0 with the Denver Broncos looming on the other side.
Week 8 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Indianapolis Colts (-4), Dallas Cowboys (-2), New York Jets (-2), Miami Dolphins (-2), Buffalo Bills (-2)
The Biggest Movers - Oakland Raiders (+6), Arizona Cardinals (+5), Carolina Panthers (+4), Cincinnati Bengals (+2), Denver Broncos (+1)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Kansas City Chiefs (1), New England Patriots (7), Green Bay Packers (9), Baltimore Ravens (18), Cleveland Browns (22), Washington Redskins (25), Pittsburgh Steelers (27), Houston Texans (28), New York Giants (29), Minnesota Vikings (30), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 8
Denver Broncos
Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
Week 8 Results (2013) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
A full two-thirds of the Creative Misfortune fantasy season has been completed and teams are preparing for their playoff runs... some much better than others.
In week 8, only the Pittsburgh Steelers managed to win a fantasy game they lost in real life. Despite Terrelle Pryor's record run, the Steel Curtain was able to hold Oakland's offense at bay just enough to secure a 62-52 fantasy victory over the Raiders.
High score of the week goes to the Cincinnati Bengals, who scored 122 points as they completely obliterated the New York J-E-T-S JETS! JETS! JETS!
Low score falls to the aforementioned New York Jets, whose 26 fantasy points couldn't even come close to the real 49 points the Bengals scored against them.
Closest Game of the Week: Kansas City Chiefs 73, Cleveland Browns 68. The Chiefs may not be flashy, but their slow and steady approach to both fantasy and real football has them sitting alone with the best record in the NFL.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Calvin Johnson, 36 points; Marvin Jones 36 points. Wide receivers ran wild this weekend and while both players scored 36 points, they got to that number by radically different ways. Megatron's 329 receiving yards ranked as the second all-time receiving performance in NFL history, whereas Marvin Jones used the strength of 4 receiving TDs in order to achieve his score.
PLAYOFF PICTURE
With 4 weeks remaining in the Creative Misfortune fantasy regular season, no teams have clinched a playoff spot yet (weeks 13-16).
The following teams, however, have been eliminated from post-season play (weeks 13-16):
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings
Week 8 Game Results:
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 86, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 54
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (27), Mike Tolbert (11), DeAngelo Williams (10)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Mike Glennon (15), Timothy Wright (10), Rian Lindell (9)
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 100, Dallas Cowboys 78
Dallas' Key Performers: Tony Romo (20), Dez Bryant (19), Dan Bailey (17)
Detroit's Key Performers: Calvin Johnson (36), Matthew Stafford (26), Reggie Bush (16)
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 87, Jacksonville Jaguars 42
San Francisco's Key Performers: Colin Kaepernick (27), Frank Gore (17), Defense (12)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Chad Henne (13), Maurice Jones-Drew (11), Mike Brown (10)
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 73, Cleveland Browns 68
Cleveland's Key Performers: Jason Campbell (20), Josh Gordan (19), Jordan Cameron (8)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex Smith (21), Ryan Succop (12), Dexter McCluster (12)
Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 104, Buffalo Bills 47
Buffalo's Key Performers: Steve Johnson (13), Fred Jackson (10), Scott Chandler (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (33), Kenny Stills (24), Jimmy Graham (15)
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 67, Miami Dolphins 55
Miami's Key Performers: Daniel Thomas (10), Ryan Tannehill (10), Lamar Miller (10)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (15), Stevan Ridley (13), Aaron Dobson (12)
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 70, Philadelphia Eagles 28
New York's Key Performers: Josh Brown (18), Defense (14), Eli Manning (9)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Defense (10), DeSean Jackson (6), Jason Avant (5)
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 122, New York Jets 26
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (13), David Nelson (8), Bilal Powell (3)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Marvin Jones (36), Andy Dalton (31), Defense (24)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 62, Oakland Raiders 52
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Emmanuel Sanders (16), Ben Roethlisberger (11), Le'Von Bell (10)
Oakland's Key Performers: Darren McFadden (19), Terrelle Pryor (15), Defense (9)
Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 81, Atlanta Falcons 53
Atlanta's Key Performers: Drew Davis (13), Harry Douglas (12), Matt Ryan (9)
Arizona's Key Performers: Andre Ellington (21), Defense (16), Carson Palmer (12)
Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 114, Washington Redskins 53
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (15), Jordan Reed (9), Defense (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (22), Defense (19), Knowshon Moreno (18)
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 105, Minnesota Vikings 52
Green Bay's Key Performers: Jordy Nelson (24), Aaron Rodgers (22), Eddie Lacy (16)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Adrian Peterson (14), Christian Ponder (14), Toby Gerhart (8)
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 53, St. Louis Rams 47
Seattle's Key Performers: Golden Tate (21), Russell Wilson (14), Defense (11)
St. Louis' Key Performers: Zac Stacy (13), Greg Zuerlein (8), Defense (8)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
In week 8, only the Pittsburgh Steelers managed to win a fantasy game they lost in real life. Despite Terrelle Pryor's record run, the Steel Curtain was able to hold Oakland's offense at bay just enough to secure a 62-52 fantasy victory over the Raiders.
High score of the week goes to the Cincinnati Bengals, who scored 122 points as they completely obliterated the New York J-E-T-S JETS! JETS! JETS!
Low score falls to the aforementioned New York Jets, whose 26 fantasy points couldn't even come close to the real 49 points the Bengals scored against them.
Closest Game of the Week: Kansas City Chiefs 73, Cleveland Browns 68. The Chiefs may not be flashy, but their slow and steady approach to both fantasy and real football has them sitting alone with the best record in the NFL.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Calvin Johnson, 36 points; Marvin Jones 36 points. Wide receivers ran wild this weekend and while both players scored 36 points, they got to that number by radically different ways. Megatron's 329 receiving yards ranked as the second all-time receiving performance in NFL history, whereas Marvin Jones used the strength of 4 receiving TDs in order to achieve his score.
PLAYOFF PICTURE
With 4 weeks remaining in the Creative Misfortune fantasy regular season, no teams have clinched a playoff spot yet (weeks 13-16).
The following teams, however, have been eliminated from post-season play (weeks 13-16):
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings
Week 8 Game Results:
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 86, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 54
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (27), Mike Tolbert (11), DeAngelo Williams (10)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Mike Glennon (15), Timothy Wright (10), Rian Lindell (9)
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 100, Dallas Cowboys 78
Dallas' Key Performers: Tony Romo (20), Dez Bryant (19), Dan Bailey (17)
Detroit's Key Performers: Calvin Johnson (36), Matthew Stafford (26), Reggie Bush (16)
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 87, Jacksonville Jaguars 42
San Francisco's Key Performers: Colin Kaepernick (27), Frank Gore (17), Defense (12)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Chad Henne (13), Maurice Jones-Drew (11), Mike Brown (10)
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 73, Cleveland Browns 68
Cleveland's Key Performers: Jason Campbell (20), Josh Gordan (19), Jordan Cameron (8)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex Smith (21), Ryan Succop (12), Dexter McCluster (12)
Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 104, Buffalo Bills 47
Buffalo's Key Performers: Steve Johnson (13), Fred Jackson (10), Scott Chandler (7)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (33), Kenny Stills (24), Jimmy Graham (15)
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 67, Miami Dolphins 55
Miami's Key Performers: Daniel Thomas (10), Ryan Tannehill (10), Lamar Miller (10)
New England's Key Performers: Defense (15), Stevan Ridley (13), Aaron Dobson (12)
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 70, Philadelphia Eagles 28
New York's Key Performers: Josh Brown (18), Defense (14), Eli Manning (9)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Defense (10), DeSean Jackson (6), Jason Avant (5)
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 122, New York Jets 26
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (13), David Nelson (8), Bilal Powell (3)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Marvin Jones (36), Andy Dalton (31), Defense (24)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 62, Oakland Raiders 52
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Emmanuel Sanders (16), Ben Roethlisberger (11), Le'Von Bell (10)
Oakland's Key Performers: Darren McFadden (19), Terrelle Pryor (15), Defense (9)
Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 81, Atlanta Falcons 53
Atlanta's Key Performers: Drew Davis (13), Harry Douglas (12), Matt Ryan (9)
Arizona's Key Performers: Andre Ellington (21), Defense (16), Carson Palmer (12)
Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 114, Washington Redskins 53
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (15), Jordan Reed (9), Defense (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (22), Defense (19), Knowshon Moreno (18)
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 105, Minnesota Vikings 52
Green Bay's Key Performers: Jordy Nelson (24), Aaron Rodgers (22), Eddie Lacy (16)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Adrian Peterson (14), Christian Ponder (14), Toby Gerhart (8)
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 53, St. Louis Rams 47
Seattle's Key Performers: Golden Tate (21), Russell Wilson (14), Defense (11)
St. Louis' Key Performers: Zac Stacy (13), Greg Zuerlein (8), Defense (8)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
Monday, October 28, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 8 (2013)
With one game remaining in week 8, the eighth week of predictions showed impressive results for most systems.
Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the Best Record Wins formula won the week, picking 11 out of 12 games correctly over the weekend for a near-perfect 91.7% accuracy.
The Vegas Lines formula finished third on the week, picking 10 out of 12 games correctly for a very impressive 83.3% accuracy.
The Overall PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas both picked 8 of the 12 games correctly for a slightly above average 66.7% accuracy.
All systems, except the blind Home Team Wins formula, have the Seahawks winning tonight's game easily over the the St. Louis Rams.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 12. Seahawls by 12, Over/Under 43
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 6-1
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Week 8 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the Best Record Wins formula won the week, picking 11 out of 12 games correctly over the weekend for a near-perfect 91.7% accuracy.
The Vegas Lines formula finished third on the week, picking 10 out of 12 games correctly for a very impressive 83.3% accuracy.
The Overall PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas both picked 8 of the 12 games correctly for a slightly above average 66.7% accuracy.
All systems, except the blind Home Team Wins formula, have the Seahawks winning tonight's game easily over the the St. Louis Rams.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 12. Seahawls by 12, Over/Under 43
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 6-1
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
Week 8 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Friday, October 25, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 8 (2013)
With a lot of teams on byes this week, only thirteen games will be played by the NFL. Almost all systems got off to a quick start by taking the Panthers to defeat the Buccaneers on Thursday Night. How will they fare the rest of the week?
Sunday Game Predictions:
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 3, Over/Under 50.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 4-3, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 27
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 17. 49ers by 17, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 16
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 9. Chiefs by 9, Over/Under 39
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12. Saints by 12, Over/Under 49
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 7. Patriots by 7, Over/Under 45
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5. Eagles by 5, Over/Under 51
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 3-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 8
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 7. Bengals by 7, Over/under 41.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Oakland Raiders by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 2.5, Over/Under 40
Best Record Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3. Both teams at 2-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals by 2.5, Over/Under 45
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 3-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 19
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 14
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 13. Broncos by 13, Over/Under 58
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 6-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 10. Packers by 10, Over/Under 47
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 3, Over/Under 50.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 4-3, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 27
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 17. 49ers by 17, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 16
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 9. Chiefs by 9, Over/Under 39
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 12. Saints by 12, Over/Under 49
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 7. Patriots by 7, Over/Under 45
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 5. Eagles by 5, Over/Under 51
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 3-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 8
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 7. Bengals by 7, Over/under 41.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 5-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Oakland Raiders by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 2.5, Over/Under 40
Best Record Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3. Both teams at 2-4, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals by 2.5, Over/Under 45
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 3-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 19
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 14
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 13. Broncos by 13, Over/Under 58
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 6-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 10. Packers by 10, Over/Under 47
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, October 24, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 8 (2013)
Hmmm, World Series Game #2 or the .500 Panthers vs the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 17
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7. Panthers by 6.5, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
Check back tomorrow for predictions on the remaining Week 8 matchups...
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 17
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7. Panthers by 6.5, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
Check back tomorrow for predictions on the remaining Week 8 matchups...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 7 (2013)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars continue to play terrible football. It's as if they try for a half, then give up and just try and get the game over as soon as possible.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 30)
The Bucs remain winless, but showed some life in the second half of their game against the Falcons.
# 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 28)
The Vikings should have started Cassell over Freeman. Freeman just was not ready yet and the Giants easily could have been defeated if the Vikings showed any semblance of competance on the offensive side of the ball.
# 29 - New York Giants (previous: 31)
Congratulations, New York! You beat the Vikings, the only other one-win team in the league starting a quarterback who had only practiced with the team for three weeks. That has to make you feel proud.
# 28 - Houston Texans (previous: 25)
And the news just keeps getting worse and worse for the Texans.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 29)
The Steelers are 2-0 coming out of their bye week after starting 0-4. That says a lot about their pride and character as a football team. It may not translate into a playoff run, but at least they will be good enough to have a say in who makes it to the second season.
# 26 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 24)
Oakland was on a bye week last week and I didn't even notice. That says a lot.
# 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
Washington wins a wild one over the Bears, but their offense can't score 45 points every week. The defense has to play better, especially since Chicago was without their starting quarterback for most of the game.
# 24 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 26)
The Falcons gained a little bit of stability with their win over the Buccaneers, but a solid run of victories will be needed before anybody will forget their early season troubles.
# 23 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 20)
Sam Bradford done for the year and new quarterbacks are being tried out as we speak. That does not bode well for the rest of the season.
# 22 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 17)
The Browns definitely haven't given up on the season. They were just overmatched by a much better Packers team.
# 21 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 18)
The Blur Offense has resulted in injuries to both Vick and Foles. Will either of them finish the season?
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 19)
The combination of Carson Palmer and a suspect running game keeps the Cardinals from soaring.
# 19 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 23)
A big road win over the Dolphins has the Bills thinking they might have a chance. Sure, they are still in last place and still have a losing record, but that doesn't mean they don't have a chance to get back into the division race the way all the other AFC East teams are playing.
# 18 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 16)
The Ravens just can't find the right gear on offense.
# 17 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 12)
You are supposed to win home games coming out of the bye week, Miami. Not lose them to division rivals.
# 16 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 14)
Three straight losses have brought the early overachievers back to where they were expected to be all along - just below .500.
# 15 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 22)
Still undecided if the Panthers are good this year or not.
# 14 - New York Jets (previous: 21)
The only thing, honestly, that surprised me about the Jets upset of the Patriots last week was the number of points scored in the contest. The Jets get an impressive, much-needed win at home over their division rivals.
# 13 - Chicago Bears (previous: 10)
Cutler's injury definitely puts a damper on Chicago's playoff hopes and their defense getting shellacked for 45 points by RGIII and the Redskins can't help their confidence any.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 15)
Denver's loss gives the Chargers hope… especially since the Broncos and Chiefs have yet to play each other this season.
# 11 - Detroit Lions (previous: 8)
Another close loss drops the Lions a half-game behind the Packers and they have already lost to Green Bay once this season.
# 10 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 13)
A huge division win on the road in Philadelphia makes Dallas the team to beat in the woeful NFC East. If they can hold their own against other NFC opponents, they just might gain enough confidence to actually do something in the playoffs this year.
# 9 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 11)
With the Bears, Lions and Vikings all stumbling and beat up now, who doesn't see the Packers taking control of the division during the second half of the season?
# 8 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 9)
The Bengals are playing tough football and starting to break away from the pack in the AFC North.
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 4)
The Patriots are starting to crack under the pressure of playing with a bunch of no-name players. Even the great Gronkowski couldn't bail Brady out this week.
# 6 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 7)
Four straight wins have the 49ers confident again, but they haven't quite got the passing game figured out yet this season.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 5)
Let's see if the Saints learned anything during their bye week after their horrible letdown against the Patriots in week 6.
# 4 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 6)
The Colts have beaten the 49ers, Seahawks and Broncos… but now they will really be tested with the loss of Reggie Wayne for the season.
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 1)
It doesn't do any good for your offense to average 35 points a game if your defense starts giving up 40 points a game.
# 2 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 3)
The Seahawks defense gives them the edge over the Broncos.
# 1 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 2)
How awesome would it be if the Kansas City Chiefs actually ran the table and finished the season a perfect 19-0? Sure, it won't happen, but it would definitely make for a fun story.
Week 7 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Miami Dolphins (-5), Cleveland Browns (-5), New England Patriots (-3), Detroit Lions (-3), Chicago Bears (-3)
The Biggest Movers - New York Jets (+7), Carolina Panthers (+7), Buffalo Bills (+4), Dallas Cowboys (+3), San Diego Chargers (+3)
Maintaining The Status Quo - New Orleans Saints (5), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 7
Seattle Seahawks
Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars continue to play terrible football. It's as if they try for a half, then give up and just try and get the game over as soon as possible.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 30)
The Bucs remain winless, but showed some life in the second half of their game against the Falcons.
# 30 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 28)
The Vikings should have started Cassell over Freeman. Freeman just was not ready yet and the Giants easily could have been defeated if the Vikings showed any semblance of competance on the offensive side of the ball.
# 29 - New York Giants (previous: 31)
Congratulations, New York! You beat the Vikings, the only other one-win team in the league starting a quarterback who had only practiced with the team for three weeks. That has to make you feel proud.
# 28 - Houston Texans (previous: 25)
And the news just keeps getting worse and worse for the Texans.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 29)
The Steelers are 2-0 coming out of their bye week after starting 0-4. That says a lot about their pride and character as a football team. It may not translate into a playoff run, but at least they will be good enough to have a say in who makes it to the second season.
# 26 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 24)
Oakland was on a bye week last week and I didn't even notice. That says a lot.
# 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
Washington wins a wild one over the Bears, but their offense can't score 45 points every week. The defense has to play better, especially since Chicago was without their starting quarterback for most of the game.
# 24 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 26)
The Falcons gained a little bit of stability with their win over the Buccaneers, but a solid run of victories will be needed before anybody will forget their early season troubles.
# 23 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 20)
Sam Bradford done for the year and new quarterbacks are being tried out as we speak. That does not bode well for the rest of the season.
# 22 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 17)
The Browns definitely haven't given up on the season. They were just overmatched by a much better Packers team.
# 21 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 18)
The Blur Offense has resulted in injuries to both Vick and Foles. Will either of them finish the season?
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 19)
The combination of Carson Palmer and a suspect running game keeps the Cardinals from soaring.
# 19 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 23)
A big road win over the Dolphins has the Bills thinking they might have a chance. Sure, they are still in last place and still have a losing record, but that doesn't mean they don't have a chance to get back into the division race the way all the other AFC East teams are playing.
# 18 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 16)
The Ravens just can't find the right gear on offense.
# 17 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 12)
You are supposed to win home games coming out of the bye week, Miami. Not lose them to division rivals.
# 16 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 14)
Three straight losses have brought the early overachievers back to where they were expected to be all along - just below .500.
# 15 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 22)
Still undecided if the Panthers are good this year or not.
# 14 - New York Jets (previous: 21)
The only thing, honestly, that surprised me about the Jets upset of the Patriots last week was the number of points scored in the contest. The Jets get an impressive, much-needed win at home over their division rivals.
# 13 - Chicago Bears (previous: 10)
Cutler's injury definitely puts a damper on Chicago's playoff hopes and their defense getting shellacked for 45 points by RGIII and the Redskins can't help their confidence any.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 15)
Denver's loss gives the Chargers hope… especially since the Broncos and Chiefs have yet to play each other this season.
# 11 - Detroit Lions (previous: 8)
Another close loss drops the Lions a half-game behind the Packers and they have already lost to Green Bay once this season.
# 10 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 13)
A huge division win on the road in Philadelphia makes Dallas the team to beat in the woeful NFC East. If they can hold their own against other NFC opponents, they just might gain enough confidence to actually do something in the playoffs this year.
# 9 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 11)
With the Bears, Lions and Vikings all stumbling and beat up now, who doesn't see the Packers taking control of the division during the second half of the season?
# 8 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 9)
The Bengals are playing tough football and starting to break away from the pack in the AFC North.
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 4)
The Patriots are starting to crack under the pressure of playing with a bunch of no-name players. Even the great Gronkowski couldn't bail Brady out this week.
# 6 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 7)
Four straight wins have the 49ers confident again, but they haven't quite got the passing game figured out yet this season.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 5)
Let's see if the Saints learned anything during their bye week after their horrible letdown against the Patriots in week 6.
# 4 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 6)
The Colts have beaten the 49ers, Seahawks and Broncos… but now they will really be tested with the loss of Reggie Wayne for the season.
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 1)
It doesn't do any good for your offense to average 35 points a game if your defense starts giving up 40 points a game.
# 2 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 3)
The Seahawks defense gives them the edge over the Broncos.
# 1 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 2)
How awesome would it be if the Kansas City Chiefs actually ran the table and finished the season a perfect 19-0? Sure, it won't happen, but it would definitely make for a fun story.
Week 7 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Miami Dolphins (-5), Cleveland Browns (-5), New England Patriots (-3), Detroit Lions (-3), Chicago Bears (-3)
The Biggest Movers - New York Jets (+7), Carolina Panthers (+7), Buffalo Bills (+4), Dallas Cowboys (+3), San Diego Chargers (+3)
Maintaining The Status Quo - New Orleans Saints (5), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 7
Seattle Seahawks
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Week 7 Results (2013) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
A ton of injuries over the weekend impacted the results of both real and fantasy games across the NFL.
In week 7, the Miami Dolphins, Baltimore Ravens and the Houston Texans all managed to win fantasy games they lost in real life. The Houston Texans had the biggest fantasy victory of the weekend, knocking off the lone remaining undefeated team in the fantasy world, the surprising Kansas City Chiefs.
High score of the week goes to the Washington Redskins, who scored 98 points against the Chicago Bears.
Low score falls to the Minnesota Vikings at 30 points, who played absolutely terrible on Monday night against the New York Giants. The Vikings did manage to at least score enough fantasy points to beat the 23 real points the Giants scored against them.
Closest Game of the Week: Baltimore Ravens 54, Pittsburgh Steelers 53. It took every fantasy point the Ravens had in order to steal a fantasy victory from the Steelers.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Andrew Luck, 29 points. Going head-to-head against the Hall of Fame quarterback he replaced in Indianapolis, Luck emerged as this week's highest fantasy scorer, however the victory was marred by the loss of Reggie Wayne to an ACL injury. Unfortunately one of Luck's passes to his number one wide receiver was low and Wayne's knee buckled beneath him when he tried to awkwardly catch the errant throw. A fluke of a play to be sure, but one that will haunt Luck and the Colts the rest of the season.
Week 7 Game Results:
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 87, Arizona Cardinals 59
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (19), Marshawn Lynch (15), Steven Hauschka (13)
Arizona's Key Performers: Jay feely (13), Carson Palmer (10), Jaron Brown (9)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Fantasy Score: Atlanta Falcons 84, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Vincent Jackson (25), Mike Glennon (17), Rian Lindell (12)
Atlanta's Key Performers: Matt Ryan (22), Harry Douglas (20), Jacquizz Rodgers (17)
St. Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 81, St. Louis Rams 49
St. Louis' Key Performers: Zac Stacy (14), Sam Bradford (12), Brian Quick (9)
Carolina's Key Performers: Defense (17), Graham Gano (14), Cam Newton (14)
Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 88, Detroit Lions 86
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Andy Dalton (26), A.J. Green (21), Mike Nugent (11)
Detroit's Key Performers: Calvin Johnson (27), Matthew Stafford (26), Reggie Bush (9)
San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 89, Jacksonville Jaguars 50
San Diego's Key Performers: Ryan Mathews (17), Philip Rivers (15), Defense (15)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Mike Brown (12), Chad Henne (10), Cecil Shorts (8)
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Houston Texans 66, Kansas City Chiefs 62
Houston's Key Performers: Case Keenum (13), DeAndre Hopkins (13), Randy Bullock (13)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex Smith (15), Jamaal Charles (15), Defense (8)
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Fantasy Score: Miami Dolphins 60, Buffalo Bills 58
Buffalo's Key Performers: Defense (14), Fred Jackson (13), Dan Carpenter (11)
Miami's Key Performers: Brandon Gibson (16), Ryan Tannehill (13), Mike Wallace (8)
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: New York Jets 84, New England Patriots 64
New England's Key Performers: Rob Gronkowski (11), Stevan Ridley (11), Stephen Gostkowski (10)
New York's Key Performers: Geno Smith (20), Jeremy Kerley (15), Nick Folk (13)
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 80, Philadelphia Eagles 37
Dallas' Key Performers: Defense (16), Terrance Williams (13), Tony Romo (12)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Riley Cooper (8), LeSean McCoy (7), Defense (7)
Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 98, Chicago Bears 67
Chicago's Key Performers: Matt Forte (28), Robbie Gould (12), Alshon Jeffrey (11)
Washington's Key Performers: Robert Griffin III (25), Roy Helu (22), Jordan Reed (19)
San Francisco 49ers at Tennessee Titans
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 82, Tennessee Titans 66
San Francisco's Key Performers: Frank Gore (22), Colin Kaepernick (19), Defense (14)
Tennessee's Key Performers: Jake Locker (21), Chris Johnson (16), Delanie Walker (11)
Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 93, Cleveland Browns 38
Cleveland's Key Performers: Jordan Cameron (11), Billy Cundiff (9), Brandon Weeden (9)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (23), Jarrett Boykin (16), Eddie Lacy (16)
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Fantasy Score: Baltimore Ravens 54, Pittsburgh Steelers 53
Baltimore's Key Performers: Joe Flacco (13), Justin Tucker (11), Dallas Clark (6)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Shaun Suisham (14), Ben Roethlisberger (12), Le'Veon Bell (9)
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 96, Denver Broncos 94
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (25), Eric Decker (22), Demaryius Thomas (14)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (29), Adam Vinatieri (16), Darrius Heyward-Bey (13)
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 67, Minnesota Vikings 30
Minnesota's Key Performers: Defense (9), Josh Freeman (5), Greg Jennings (4)
New York's Key Performers: Peyton Hillis (13), Eli Manning (12), Defense (11)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
In week 7, the Miami Dolphins, Baltimore Ravens and the Houston Texans all managed to win fantasy games they lost in real life. The Houston Texans had the biggest fantasy victory of the weekend, knocking off the lone remaining undefeated team in the fantasy world, the surprising Kansas City Chiefs.
High score of the week goes to the Washington Redskins, who scored 98 points against the Chicago Bears.
Low score falls to the Minnesota Vikings at 30 points, who played absolutely terrible on Monday night against the New York Giants. The Vikings did manage to at least score enough fantasy points to beat the 23 real points the Giants scored against them.
Closest Game of the Week: Baltimore Ravens 54, Pittsburgh Steelers 53. It took every fantasy point the Ravens had in order to steal a fantasy victory from the Steelers.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Andrew Luck, 29 points. Going head-to-head against the Hall of Fame quarterback he replaced in Indianapolis, Luck emerged as this week's highest fantasy scorer, however the victory was marred by the loss of Reggie Wayne to an ACL injury. Unfortunately one of Luck's passes to his number one wide receiver was low and Wayne's knee buckled beneath him when he tried to awkwardly catch the errant throw. A fluke of a play to be sure, but one that will haunt Luck and the Colts the rest of the season.
Week 7 Game Results:
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 87, Arizona Cardinals 59
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (19), Marshawn Lynch (15), Steven Hauschka (13)
Arizona's Key Performers: Jay feely (13), Carson Palmer (10), Jaron Brown (9)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Fantasy Score: Atlanta Falcons 84, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Vincent Jackson (25), Mike Glennon (17), Rian Lindell (12)
Atlanta's Key Performers: Matt Ryan (22), Harry Douglas (20), Jacquizz Rodgers (17)
St. Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 81, St. Louis Rams 49
St. Louis' Key Performers: Zac Stacy (14), Sam Bradford (12), Brian Quick (9)
Carolina's Key Performers: Defense (17), Graham Gano (14), Cam Newton (14)
Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 88, Detroit Lions 86
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Andy Dalton (26), A.J. Green (21), Mike Nugent (11)
Detroit's Key Performers: Calvin Johnson (27), Matthew Stafford (26), Reggie Bush (9)
San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 89, Jacksonville Jaguars 50
San Diego's Key Performers: Ryan Mathews (17), Philip Rivers (15), Defense (15)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Mike Brown (12), Chad Henne (10), Cecil Shorts (8)
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Houston Texans 66, Kansas City Chiefs 62
Houston's Key Performers: Case Keenum (13), DeAndre Hopkins (13), Randy Bullock (13)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex Smith (15), Jamaal Charles (15), Defense (8)
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Fantasy Score: Miami Dolphins 60, Buffalo Bills 58
Buffalo's Key Performers: Defense (14), Fred Jackson (13), Dan Carpenter (11)
Miami's Key Performers: Brandon Gibson (16), Ryan Tannehill (13), Mike Wallace (8)
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: New York Jets 84, New England Patriots 64
New England's Key Performers: Rob Gronkowski (11), Stevan Ridley (11), Stephen Gostkowski (10)
New York's Key Performers: Geno Smith (20), Jeremy Kerley (15), Nick Folk (13)
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 80, Philadelphia Eagles 37
Dallas' Key Performers: Defense (16), Terrance Williams (13), Tony Romo (12)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Riley Cooper (8), LeSean McCoy (7), Defense (7)
Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 98, Chicago Bears 67
Chicago's Key Performers: Matt Forte (28), Robbie Gould (12), Alshon Jeffrey (11)
Washington's Key Performers: Robert Griffin III (25), Roy Helu (22), Jordan Reed (19)
San Francisco 49ers at Tennessee Titans
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 82, Tennessee Titans 66
San Francisco's Key Performers: Frank Gore (22), Colin Kaepernick (19), Defense (14)
Tennessee's Key Performers: Jake Locker (21), Chris Johnson (16), Delanie Walker (11)
Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 93, Cleveland Browns 38
Cleveland's Key Performers: Jordan Cameron (11), Billy Cundiff (9), Brandon Weeden (9)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (23), Jarrett Boykin (16), Eddie Lacy (16)
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Fantasy Score: Baltimore Ravens 54, Pittsburgh Steelers 53
Baltimore's Key Performers: Joe Flacco (13), Justin Tucker (11), Dallas Clark (6)
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Shaun Suisham (14), Ben Roethlisberger (12), Le'Veon Bell (9)
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 96, Denver Broncos 94
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (25), Eric Decker (22), Demaryius Thomas (14)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (29), Adam Vinatieri (16), Darrius Heyward-Bey (13)
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 67, Minnesota Vikings 30
Minnesota's Key Performers: Defense (9), Josh Freeman (5), Greg Jennings (4)
New York's Key Performers: Peyton Hillis (13), Eli Manning (12), Defense (11)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
Monday, October 21, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 7 (2013)
With one game remaining in week 7, the seventh week of predictions showed average to below average results for all systems.
The Vegas Lines formulas won the week, picking 9 out of 14 games correctly over the weekend for 64.2% accuracy..
The Overall PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas both picked 8 of the 14 games correctly for a very average 57.1% accuracy.
The Home/Away PPY and the Best Record Wins formulas both only managed to get 6 of the 14 games picked correctly for a below average 42.9% accuracy. In a week featuring some minor upsets, both of these systems struggled.
The PPY formulas and the blind Best Record Wins formula have the Vikings victorious in New York, while Vegas and the Home Team Wins formula have the home team winning tonight's contest.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 11
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 4. Giants by 3.5, Over/Under 46.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 1-4
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Week 7 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
The Vegas Lines formulas won the week, picking 9 out of 14 games correctly over the weekend for 64.2% accuracy..
The Overall PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas both picked 8 of the 14 games correctly for a very average 57.1% accuracy.
The Home/Away PPY and the Best Record Wins formulas both only managed to get 6 of the 14 games picked correctly for a below average 42.9% accuracy. In a week featuring some minor upsets, both of these systems struggled.
The PPY formulas and the blind Best Record Wins formula have the Vikings victorious in New York, while Vegas and the Home Team Wins formula have the home team winning tonight's contest.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 11
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 4. Giants by 3.5, Over/Under 46.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 1-4
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Week 7 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Friday, October 18, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 7 (2013)
After mixed predictions last night, only the Overall PPY, Vegas Lines and Best Record Wins systems started week 7 off with a win. Will their luck hold up through the remaining slate of games this weekend?
Sunday Game Predictions:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 9. Falcons by 8.5, Over/Under 43
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 1-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
St. Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7. Panthers by 7, Over/Under 42
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 2.5, Over/Under 47
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 4-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 23
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 16
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 9. Chargers by 9, Over/Under 45.5
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 14
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 7. Chiefs by 7, Over/Under 39.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 6-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 9. Dolphins by 9, Over/Under 42.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 3-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 4. Patriots by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 2.5, Over/Under 54.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Both teams at 3-3, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 7
Vegas Lines Pick: Washington Redskins by 1. Pick Em! (Home Team Wins), Over/Under 50
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Bears better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Tennessee Titans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 4. 49ers by 4, Over/Under 40
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 12. Packers by 11.5, Over/Under 46.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 3-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1. Steelers by 1, Over/Under 41
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 7. Broncos by 7, Over/Under 56
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 6-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 9. Falcons by 8.5, Over/Under 43
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 1-4
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
St. Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7. Panthers by 7, Over/Under 42
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 2.5, Over/Under 47
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 4-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 23
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 16
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 9. Chargers by 9, Over/Under 45.5
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 14
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 7. Chiefs by 7, Over/Under 39.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 6-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 9. Dolphins by 9, Over/Under 42.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 3-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 10
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 4. Patriots by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 2.5, Over/Under 54.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Both teams at 3-3, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 7
Vegas Lines Pick: Washington Redskins by 1. Pick Em! (Home Team Wins), Over/Under 50
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Bears better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Tennessee Titans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 2
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 4. 49ers by 4, Over/Under 40
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 4-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 12. Packers by 11.5, Over/Under 46.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 3-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1. Steelers by 1, Over/Under 41
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 3-3
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 7. Broncos by 7, Over/Under 56
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 6-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, October 17, 2013
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 7 (2013)
We have an aerial battle in the desert to kick of the NFL's week 7 action! Will the Cardinals or the Seahawks claim supremacy of the air before the night is through?
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6. Seahawks by 5.5, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Check back tomorrow for predictions on the remaining Week 7 matchups...
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6. Seahawks by 5.5, Over/Under 40.5
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 5-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Check back tomorrow for predictions on the remaining Week 7 matchups...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 6 (2013)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars beat the biggest spread in NFL history! At least they have that going for them.
# 31 - New York Giants (previous: 31)
Injuries have now added to New York's woes… They will win some games yet this year, but the work on the 2014 season has already started.
# 30 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
Still winless in Tampa, despite the changes at quarterback. Still far too early to tell if releasing Freeman was a good move on their part.
# 29 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 30)
The Steelers come out of the bye week and notch a solid victory on the road. It's still not too late for them to turn their season around.
# 28 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 26)
Tough week for the Vikings to play a game…
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
The Redskins had their moments on Sunday night, but they were outclassed by the Cowboys in almost every facet of the game.
# 26 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 28)
Four games out of first place. We'll see if Atlanta remembered how to win games during their time off.
# 25 - Houston Texans (previous: 23)
This team is falling quickly… Wonder what the record is for most consecutive games with a thrown Pick-6 is?
# 24 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 19)
Oakland stayed with the undefeated Chiefs for a little bit, but then were just over matched by their division rivals.
# 23 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 21)
So close to victory, the Bills drop a tough one at home in overtime.
# 22 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 25)
Now that is how Carolina should have played coming out of the bye week last week. You can't tell me Arizona is a far superior team to Minnesota.
# 21 - New York Jets (previous: 16)
Just when you think they have it all figured out, they lose at home in an ugly game.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 24)
Looks like the Rams have finally recovered from their losses to the Cowboys and 49ers a few weeks back.
# 19 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 14)
An uncharacteristic fumble by Larry Fitzgerald hurt their chances against the 49ers. Even if he holds onto the ball, though, the 49ers would have dropped the Cardinals back to .500.
# 18 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 22)
Is Foles better than Vick? Hard to say, but a big NFC East battle against Dallas next weekend will help answer that question.
# 17 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 10)
The Browns are still an impressive 3-1 since making the Richardson trade.
# 16 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 12)
The Ravens aren't going to repeat as Super Bowl champions if they keep dropping games at home.
# 15 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 20)
The San Diego Chargers are like a box of chocolates… you just never know what you are going to get from week to week.
# 14 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 7)
A close loss on the road to an NFC powerhouse is nothing to hang your head about. The loss by the Colts helps, too.
# 13 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 18)
The offense seems to have it figured out, but the injuries have devastated the defensive line. Will the no-name Cowboys rise up and make themselves known? First chance comes next weekend when they take on the Eagles and their Blur Offense.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 15)
Chasing the Patriots out of the bye week, Miami still is very much alive in the AFC East.
# 11 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 17)
Big wins on the road are always good. The Packers need the wins in the division, though, in order to make it to the playoffs.
# 10 - Chicago Bears (previous: 11)
The Bears nearly let the game against the Giants slip away. You never want to flirt with that late-game Manning magic, but they survived the scare with flying colors.
# 9 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 13)
All alone in first place, the AFC North is theirs to rule for the time being.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 9)
After dropping a couple games recently, Detroit picks up another win to stay even with the Bears atop the NFC North.
# 7 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 8)
Now the 49ers are playing like they did a year ago, but they always seem to make things a bit more difficult than they need to be.
# 6 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 4)
Tough loss during Luck's debut on Monday Night Football. Wonder what the story angles will be this week when Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos come to town?
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 3)
The Saints had the Patriots right until the very end, then they let it all slip away.
# 4 - New England Patriots (previous: 6)
Tom Brady beats Drew Brees for the first time since their college days. Great win by the Patriots, despite continuing to cobble together a receiving corps for Brady to play catch with.
# 3 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 5)
Seattle rebounds from their loss last week with a serviceable win at home.
# 2 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 2)
Can they hold it together and remain undefeated until they face off against the Broncos in week 11? Good news for the Chiefs - they have their bye week in week 10.
# 1 - Denver Broncos (previous: 1)
It might be harder for the Broncos to remain undefeated than for Kansas City to remain undefeated until they face off against the Chiefs in week 11, but I have no reason to believe that both teams won't be 9-0 going into that epic divisional matchup.
Week 6 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Tennessee Titans (-7), Cleveland Browns (-7), Arizona Cardinals (-5), New York Jets (-5), Oakland Raiders (-5)
The Biggest Movers - Green Bay Packers (+6), Dallas Cowboys (+5), San Diego Chargers (+5), Cincinnati Bengals (+4), Philadelphia Eagles (+4)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Denver Broncos (1), Kansas City Chiefs (2), Washington Redskins (27), New York Giants (31), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 6
Denver Broncos
Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars beat the biggest spread in NFL history! At least they have that going for them.
# 31 - New York Giants (previous: 31)
Injuries have now added to New York's woes… They will win some games yet this year, but the work on the 2014 season has already started.
# 30 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
Still winless in Tampa, despite the changes at quarterback. Still far too early to tell if releasing Freeman was a good move on their part.
# 29 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 30)
The Steelers come out of the bye week and notch a solid victory on the road. It's still not too late for them to turn their season around.
# 28 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 26)
Tough week for the Vikings to play a game…
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 27)
The Redskins had their moments on Sunday night, but they were outclassed by the Cowboys in almost every facet of the game.
# 26 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 28)
Four games out of first place. We'll see if Atlanta remembered how to win games during their time off.
# 25 - Houston Texans (previous: 23)
This team is falling quickly… Wonder what the record is for most consecutive games with a thrown Pick-6 is?
# 24 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 19)
Oakland stayed with the undefeated Chiefs for a little bit, but then were just over matched by their division rivals.
# 23 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 21)
So close to victory, the Bills drop a tough one at home in overtime.
# 22 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 25)
Now that is how Carolina should have played coming out of the bye week last week. You can't tell me Arizona is a far superior team to Minnesota.
# 21 - New York Jets (previous: 16)
Just when you think they have it all figured out, they lose at home in an ugly game.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 24)
Looks like the Rams have finally recovered from their losses to the Cowboys and 49ers a few weeks back.
# 19 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 14)
An uncharacteristic fumble by Larry Fitzgerald hurt their chances against the 49ers. Even if he holds onto the ball, though, the 49ers would have dropped the Cardinals back to .500.
# 18 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 22)
Is Foles better than Vick? Hard to say, but a big NFC East battle against Dallas next weekend will help answer that question.
# 17 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 10)
The Browns are still an impressive 3-1 since making the Richardson trade.
# 16 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 12)
The Ravens aren't going to repeat as Super Bowl champions if they keep dropping games at home.
# 15 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 20)
The San Diego Chargers are like a box of chocolates… you just never know what you are going to get from week to week.
# 14 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 7)
A close loss on the road to an NFC powerhouse is nothing to hang your head about. The loss by the Colts helps, too.
# 13 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 18)
The offense seems to have it figured out, but the injuries have devastated the defensive line. Will the no-name Cowboys rise up and make themselves known? First chance comes next weekend when they take on the Eagles and their Blur Offense.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 15)
Chasing the Patriots out of the bye week, Miami still is very much alive in the AFC East.
# 11 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 17)
Big wins on the road are always good. The Packers need the wins in the division, though, in order to make it to the playoffs.
# 10 - Chicago Bears (previous: 11)
The Bears nearly let the game against the Giants slip away. You never want to flirt with that late-game Manning magic, but they survived the scare with flying colors.
# 9 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 13)
All alone in first place, the AFC North is theirs to rule for the time being.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 9)
After dropping a couple games recently, Detroit picks up another win to stay even with the Bears atop the NFC North.
# 7 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 8)
Now the 49ers are playing like they did a year ago, but they always seem to make things a bit more difficult than they need to be.
# 6 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 4)
Tough loss during Luck's debut on Monday Night Football. Wonder what the story angles will be this week when Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos come to town?
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 3)
The Saints had the Patriots right until the very end, then they let it all slip away.
# 4 - New England Patriots (previous: 6)
Tom Brady beats Drew Brees for the first time since their college days. Great win by the Patriots, despite continuing to cobble together a receiving corps for Brady to play catch with.
# 3 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 5)
Seattle rebounds from their loss last week with a serviceable win at home.
# 2 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 2)
Can they hold it together and remain undefeated until they face off against the Broncos in week 11? Good news for the Chiefs - they have their bye week in week 10.
# 1 - Denver Broncos (previous: 1)
It might be harder for the Broncos to remain undefeated than for Kansas City to remain undefeated until they face off against the Chiefs in week 11, but I have no reason to believe that both teams won't be 9-0 going into that epic divisional matchup.
Week 6 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Tennessee Titans (-7), Cleveland Browns (-7), Arizona Cardinals (-5), New York Jets (-5), Oakland Raiders (-5)
The Biggest Movers - Green Bay Packers (+6), Dallas Cowboys (+5), San Diego Chargers (+5), Cincinnati Bengals (+4), Philadelphia Eagles (+4)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Denver Broncos (1), Kansas City Chiefs (2), Washington Redskins (27), New York Giants (31), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 6
Denver Broncos
Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...
Wednesday, October 16, 2013
Week 6 Results (2013) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
Week 6 ended up being pretty tame from a fantasy perspective. No teams won games they lost in real life. No individual performances jumped out. A lot of good play, a lot of bad play, but really just a ho-hum week in the fantasy world.
High score of the week goes to the Cincinnati Bengals and the Carolina Panthers, who both scored 100 points and were the only teams to eclipse the century mark.
Low score falls to the New York Jets at 35 points. And despite a couple low scores this week, no team failed to score more fantasy points than the real number of points scored against them. Ho-hum, indeed.
Closest Game of the Week: Green Bay Packers 82, Baltimore Ravens 77. Green Bay prevails in the closest game of the fantasy weekend by slightly more points than they won by in the real game.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Cam Newton, 30 points; Vernon Davis 30 points. Always nice when somebody other than Peyton Manning or Drew Brees checks in with the highest score of the week.
Week 6 Game Results:
New York Giants at Chicago Bears
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 87, New York Giants 59
New York's Key Performers: Brandon Jacobs (22), Rueben Randle (13), Eli Manning (7)
Chicago's Key Performers: Jay Cutler (20), Brandon Marshall (20), Defense (13)
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 100, Buffalo Bills 71
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Andy Dalton (24), A.J. Green (16), Marvin Jones (16)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Thad Lewis (21), Marquise Goodwin (11), Scott Chandler (10)
Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 90, Cleveland Browns 67
Detroit's Key Performers: Matthew Stafford (23), Joseph Fauria (21), Reggie Bush (18)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Brandon Weeden (16), Chris Ogbonnaya (14), Josh Gordon (12)
St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 78, Houston Texans 45
St. Louis' Key Performers: Defense (29), Sam Bradford (16), Greg Zuerlein (9)
Houston's Key Performers: Arian Foster (19), Andre Johnson (8), Ben Tate (8)
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 66, Oakland Raiders 45
Oakland's Key Performers: Denarius Moore (14), Terrelle Pryor (12), Darren McFadden (8)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Defense (26), Jamaal Charles (24), Alex Smith (7)
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 100, Minnesota Vikings 39
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (30), Mike Tolbert (16), Brandon LaFell (16)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Kyle Rudolph (15), Matt Cassel (9), Adrian Peterson (8)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 80, New York Jets 35
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Ben Roethlisberger (15), Shaun Suisham (15), Defense (14)
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (6), Jeff Cumberland (5), Bilal Powell (5)
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 82, Baltimore Ravens 77
Green Bay's Key Performers: Jordy Nelson (17), Aaron Rodgers (16), Mason Crosby (15)
Baltimore's Key Performers: Joe Flacco (19), Dallas Clark (14), Jacoby Jones (10)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 95, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Nick Foles (29), DeSean Jackson (18), Riley Cooper (18)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Vincent Jackson (23), Mike Glennon (18), Timothy Wright (9)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 87, Jacksonville Jaguars 61
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Justin Blackmon (19), Maurice Jones-Drew (13), Josh Scobee (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Knowshon Moreno (28), Peyton Manning (13), Wes Welker (12)
Tennessee Titans at Seattle Seahawks
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 73, Tennessee Titans 40
Tennessee's Key Performers: Defense (12), Rob Bironas (7), Kendall Wright (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (26), Russell Wilson (16), Defense (11)
New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 80, New Orleans Saints 64
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (16), Kenny Stills (12), Khiry Robinson (11)
New England's Key Performers: Stevan Ridley (22), Stephen Gostkowski (14), Tom Brady (13)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 89, Arizona Cardinals 70
Arizona's Key Performers: Carson Palmer (15), Larry Fitzgerald (15), Andre Ellington (14)
San Francisco's Key Performers: Vernon Davis (30), Colin Kaepernick (15), Phil Dawson (13)
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 67, Washington Redskins 59
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (14), Robert Griffin III (12), Kai Forbath (9)
Dallas' Key Performers: Defense (14), DeMarco Murray (10), Tony Romo (8)
Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 73, Indianapolis Colts 43
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Adam Vinatieri (13), Reggie Wayne (8), Andrew Luck (7)
San Diego's Key Performers: Keenan Allen (16), Nick Novak (15), Philip Rivers (13)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
High score of the week goes to the Cincinnati Bengals and the Carolina Panthers, who both scored 100 points and were the only teams to eclipse the century mark.
Low score falls to the New York Jets at 35 points. And despite a couple low scores this week, no team failed to score more fantasy points than the real number of points scored against them. Ho-hum, indeed.
Closest Game of the Week: Green Bay Packers 82, Baltimore Ravens 77. Green Bay prevails in the closest game of the fantasy weekend by slightly more points than they won by in the real game.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Cam Newton, 30 points; Vernon Davis 30 points. Always nice when somebody other than Peyton Manning or Drew Brees checks in with the highest score of the week.
Week 6 Game Results:
New York Giants at Chicago Bears
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 87, New York Giants 59
New York's Key Performers: Brandon Jacobs (22), Rueben Randle (13), Eli Manning (7)
Chicago's Key Performers: Jay Cutler (20), Brandon Marshall (20), Defense (13)
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 100, Buffalo Bills 71
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Andy Dalton (24), A.J. Green (16), Marvin Jones (16)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Thad Lewis (21), Marquise Goodwin (11), Scott Chandler (10)
Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 90, Cleveland Browns 67
Detroit's Key Performers: Matthew Stafford (23), Joseph Fauria (21), Reggie Bush (18)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Brandon Weeden (16), Chris Ogbonnaya (14), Josh Gordon (12)
St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 78, Houston Texans 45
St. Louis' Key Performers: Defense (29), Sam Bradford (16), Greg Zuerlein (9)
Houston's Key Performers: Arian Foster (19), Andre Johnson (8), Ben Tate (8)
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 66, Oakland Raiders 45
Oakland's Key Performers: Denarius Moore (14), Terrelle Pryor (12), Darren McFadden (8)
Kansas City's Key Performers: Defense (26), Jamaal Charles (24), Alex Smith (7)
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 100, Minnesota Vikings 39
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (30), Mike Tolbert (16), Brandon LaFell (16)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Kyle Rudolph (15), Matt Cassel (9), Adrian Peterson (8)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 80, New York Jets 35
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Ben Roethlisberger (15), Shaun Suisham (15), Defense (14)
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (6), Jeff Cumberland (5), Bilal Powell (5)
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 82, Baltimore Ravens 77
Green Bay's Key Performers: Jordy Nelson (17), Aaron Rodgers (16), Mason Crosby (15)
Baltimore's Key Performers: Joe Flacco (19), Dallas Clark (14), Jacoby Jones (10)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 95, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Nick Foles (29), DeSean Jackson (18), Riley Cooper (18)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Vincent Jackson (23), Mike Glennon (18), Timothy Wright (9)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 87, Jacksonville Jaguars 61
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Justin Blackmon (19), Maurice Jones-Drew (13), Josh Scobee (9)
Denver's Key Performers: Knowshon Moreno (28), Peyton Manning (13), Wes Welker (12)
Tennessee Titans at Seattle Seahawks
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 73, Tennessee Titans 40
Tennessee's Key Performers: Defense (12), Rob Bironas (7), Kendall Wright (6)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (26), Russell Wilson (16), Defense (11)
New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 80, New Orleans Saints 64
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (16), Kenny Stills (12), Khiry Robinson (11)
New England's Key Performers: Stevan Ridley (22), Stephen Gostkowski (14), Tom Brady (13)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 89, Arizona Cardinals 70
Arizona's Key Performers: Carson Palmer (15), Larry Fitzgerald (15), Andre Ellington (14)
San Francisco's Key Performers: Vernon Davis (30), Colin Kaepernick (15), Phil Dawson (13)
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 67, Washington Redskins 59
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (14), Robert Griffin III (12), Kai Forbath (9)
Dallas' Key Performers: Defense (14), DeMarco Murray (10), Tony Romo (8)
Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 73, Indianapolis Colts 43
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Adam Vinatieri (13), Reggie Wayne (8), Andrew Luck (7)
San Diego's Key Performers: Keenan Allen (16), Nick Novak (15), Philip Rivers (13)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
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