Monday, October 28, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 8 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 8, the eighth week of predictions showed impressive results for most systems.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the Best Record Wins formula won the week, picking 11 out of 12 games correctly over the weekend for a near-perfect 91.7% accuracy.

The Vegas Lines formula finished third on the week, picking 10 out of 12 games correctly for a very impressive 83.3% accuracy.

The Overall PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas both picked 8 of the 12 games correctly for a slightly above average 66.7% accuracy.

All systems, except the blind Home Team Wins formula, have the Seahawks winning tonight's game easily over the the St. Louis Rams.


Monday Night Game Prediction:

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 15
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 12. Seahawls by 12, Over/Under 43
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 6-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3

Week 8 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?

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