If I had to sum up the 2010 AFC-NFC Pro Bowl in one word, that word would be – Olé!
Final Score: National Football Conference 55, American Football Conference 41.
Congratulations to the NFC players on their victory and for playing slightly harder than their AFC counterparts in this glorified flag-football contest.
Check back tomorrow as Creative Misfortune's Super Bowl preview gets underway...
Monday, January 31, 2011
Friday, January 28, 2011
The Curious Matter of the NFL’s Pro Bowl
The NFL kicks off its annual all-star game – the AFC-NFC Pro Bowl – on Sunday evening beneath the warmth of Hawaii
The Pro Bowl is played simply as another means to get more money from fans without providing any real entertainment. Players saddled with the “Pro Bowl” honor, as voted by fans after only three quarters of the season have been played, are expected to make the trip to Hawaii Honolulu
These same stars will still gladly embrace the “Pro Bowl” label for contract and endorsement purposes. Getting named to the Pro Bowl is far more significant than actually playing in the Pro Bowl. Nobody cares if the player actually made the trip to Hawaii
The NFL should do away with the Pro Bowl game, plain and simple. All-Star games in other, less violent sports, like basketball and baseball, are fun events (though don’t get me started on MLB’s inane decision to determine home-field advantage in the World Series based on the winner of their exhibition contest). However, football players, more so than any other major sport, are closer to being one play away from a career-ending injury. When careers are so short to begin with, why should the NFL risk further damaging their players? Without the players, there is no league of any significance, a fact the owners should remember as they continue to debate a lockout in the coming months.
The league has made it a point of emphasis this season to penalize and fine players for late hits and to sit down players still suffering from the after-effects of concussions quite common in the violent game. The NFL should take their publicly-voiced concern one step further and do away with the Pro Bowl entirely.
But since the game will still be played, here is my prediction of Creative Misfortune:
American Football Conference 37
National Football Conference 31
I, however, will not be watching this weekend.
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Super Bowl Preview
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis. If your team’s ranking remains unchanged for 4 hours or more, please consult with your doctor, as serious side effects may occur.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged, The Remarkably Average and The Fortunate Seven. They know what they've done.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
Green Bay made the Bears pay for not knocking the Packers out of the playoffs back in Week 17 when they had a chance. Despite looking brilliant, both offensively and defensively, against Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Packers came back to earth against their rivals. With Chicago reduced to back-up quarterbacks in the second half, Green Bay could not put them away. Had they blown out the Bears 35-7, they might have remained Creative Misfortune's favorite.
# 1 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 2)
The Steelers only needed one solid half to beat the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional game. Against the New York Jets they only needed one solid half to punch their ticket to the Super Bowl. Can you imagine how scary good this team could be if they ever played a full 60 minutes? Why, their appearance in the Super Bowl alone is enough to bring a tear of joy to Scottie V's eye.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite
Pittsburgh Steelers
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged, The Remarkably Average and The Fortunate Seven. They know what they've done.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
Green Bay made the Bears pay for not knocking the Packers out of the playoffs back in Week 17 when they had a chance. Despite looking brilliant, both offensively and defensively, against Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Packers came back to earth against their rivals. With Chicago reduced to back-up quarterbacks in the second half, Green Bay could not put them away. Had they blown out the Bears 35-7, they might have remained Creative Misfortune's favorite.
# 1 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 2)
The Steelers only needed one solid half to beat the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional game. Against the New York Jets they only needed one solid half to punch their ticket to the Super Bowl. Can you imagine how scary good this team could be if they ever played a full 60 minutes? Why, their appearance in the Super Bowl alone is enough to bring a tear of joy to Scottie V's eye.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite
Monday, January 24, 2011
Conference Championship Games - Roundup of Creative Misfortune
And now, only one game of significance is left to be played in the 2010 NFL season...
Conference Championship Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 24-19)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. When two strong defenses collide, the team with the best grind-it-out-and-win-ugly offense will escape with the victory. Between these two teams, I have to give Pittsburgh's offense the edge.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 30-16. The Curtain forces some timely turnovers to bring the 6-seed Jets back down to earth.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-17. Pittsburgh by 3.5, Over/Under 38.5.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-10. Pittsburgh won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
A tale of two halves... and Pittsburgh's dominating first half and 24 point lead was enough to secure victory as the Jets fought back hard after halftime. The Steelers tried as best they could to expand their lead after the break, but Coach Ryan truly had the Jets believing they could come back from the deficit. It took everything Pittsburgh had to hold onto their lead and the game wasn't decided until the Steelers managed to get a few first downs and take the clock down to all naughts. Pittsburgh now can make plans to try and win an NFL-record 7th Super Bowl title. As for the Jets, it was Super Bowl or bust for them and for as talkative as they were, they certainly came close to pulling off an AFC trifecta by knocking out the Colts, Patriots and Steelers. Had the game lasted one more quarter, I doubt Pittsburgh would have been able to hold on and win.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #2 Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Green Bay, 21-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 34-24. The Packers have shown they can thrive in fight-or-flight, survival mode. The low-scoring, 10-3 battle of week 17 will not be repeated with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Green Bay keeps their playoff momentum going and are unfazed by the Chi-town weather.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 24-20. Green Bay by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 23-16. Green Bay 61% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 16-14. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 12-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
The 6th-seeded Green Bay Packers did what the Jets could not do - win three on the road in the playoffs to get to the Super Bowl. Granted, Green Bay's run through Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago is not nearly as impressive as New York's near run through Indianapolis, New England and Pittsburgh, but the Packers defeated the teams placed before them and have been in outright survival mode since the last few games of the regular season. In Chicago, the Packers totally outclassed the Bears. Defensively, both squads played well, but on offense Green Bay clearly had the advantage. Jay Cutler sat out most of the second half injured and Todd Collins played so poorly Coach Lovie Smith only let him throw the ball a couple of times before yanking him for little known, third-string quarterback Caleb Hanie. Hanie finally gave some life to the failing Bears, but it was too little, too late. Green Bay's defense bent for the youngster, but didn't break, and now the Packers are headed to Texas to square off against the Pittsburgh Steelers for the Lombardi trophy.
Conference Championship Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Creative Misfortune: 2-0 (season overall: 157-109) *1 Perfect Pick
Scottie V's: 2-0 (season overall: 169-97)
Accuscore: 2-0 (season overall: 170-96)
Vegas Picks: 2-0 (season overall: 173-93) *2 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 1-1 (season overall: 142-124) *1 Perfect Pick
Home Team Wins Pick: 1-1 (season overall: 147-119) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 1-1 (season overall: 154-112) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only two Creative Elite teams remain. Who will be ranked #1?
Conference Championship Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 24-19)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. When two strong defenses collide, the team with the best grind-it-out-and-win-ugly offense will escape with the victory. Between these two teams, I have to give Pittsburgh's offense the edge.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 30-16. The Curtain forces some timely turnovers to bring the 6-seed Jets back down to earth.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-17. Pittsburgh by 3.5, Over/Under 38.5.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-10. Pittsburgh won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
A tale of two halves... and Pittsburgh's dominating first half and 24 point lead was enough to secure victory as the Jets fought back hard after halftime. The Steelers tried as best they could to expand their lead after the break, but Coach Ryan truly had the Jets believing they could come back from the deficit. It took everything Pittsburgh had to hold onto their lead and the game wasn't decided until the Steelers managed to get a few first downs and take the clock down to all naughts. Pittsburgh now can make plans to try and win an NFL-record 7th Super Bowl title. As for the Jets, it was Super Bowl or bust for them and for as talkative as they were, they certainly came close to pulling off an AFC trifecta by knocking out the Colts, Patriots and Steelers. Had the game lasted one more quarter, I doubt Pittsburgh would have been able to hold on and win.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #2 Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Green Bay, 21-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 34-24. The Packers have shown they can thrive in fight-or-flight, survival mode. The low-scoring, 10-3 battle of week 17 will not be repeated with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Green Bay keeps their playoff momentum going and are unfazed by the Chi-town weather.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 24-20. Green Bay by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 23-16. Green Bay 61% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 16-14. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 12-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
The 6th-seeded Green Bay Packers did what the Jets could not do - win three on the road in the playoffs to get to the Super Bowl. Granted, Green Bay's run through Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago is not nearly as impressive as New York's near run through Indianapolis, New England and Pittsburgh, but the Packers defeated the teams placed before them and have been in outright survival mode since the last few games of the regular season. In Chicago, the Packers totally outclassed the Bears. Defensively, both squads played well, but on offense Green Bay clearly had the advantage. Jay Cutler sat out most of the second half injured and Todd Collins played so poorly Coach Lovie Smith only let him throw the ball a couple of times before yanking him for little known, third-string quarterback Caleb Hanie. Hanie finally gave some life to the failing Bears, but it was too little, too late. Green Bay's defense bent for the youngster, but didn't break, and now the Packers are headed to Texas to square off against the Pittsburgh Steelers for the Lombardi trophy.
Conference Championship Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Creative Misfortune: 2-0 (season overall: 157-109) *1 Perfect Pick
Scottie V's: 2-0 (season overall: 169-97)
Accuscore: 2-0 (season overall: 170-96)
Vegas Picks: 2-0 (season overall: 173-93) *2 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 1-1 (season overall: 142-124) *1 Perfect Pick
Home Team Wins Pick: 1-1 (season overall: 147-119) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 1-1 (season overall: 154-112) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only two Creative Elite teams remain. Who will be ranked #1?
Friday, January 21, 2011
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Conference Championship Games
The 6th seeds are anything but the worst teams in the postseason. Will the Jets and Packers have what it takes to win three straight on the road? The championship game picks below will tell you which systems believe they can punch their tickets to Super Bowl XLV.
Conference Championship Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. When two strong defenses collide, the team with the best grind-it-out-and-win-ugly offense will escape with the victory. Between these two teams, I have to give Pittsburgh's offense the edge.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 30-16. The Curtain forces some timely turnovers to bring the 6-seed Jets back down to earth.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-17. Pittsburgh by 3.5, Over/Under 38.5.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-10. Pittsburgh won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #2 Chicago Bears
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 34-24. The Packers have shown they can thrive in fight-or-flight, survival mode. The low-scoring, 10-3 battle of week 17 will not be repeated with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Green Bay keeps their playoff momentum going and are unfazed by the Chi-town weather.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 24-20. Green Bay by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 23-16. Green Bay 61% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 16-14. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 12-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for both Championship games.
Conference Championship Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. When two strong defenses collide, the team with the best grind-it-out-and-win-ugly offense will escape with the victory. Between these two teams, I have to give Pittsburgh's offense the edge.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 30-16. The Curtain forces some timely turnovers to bring the 6-seed Jets back down to earth.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-17. Pittsburgh by 3.5, Over/Under 38.5.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-10. Pittsburgh won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #2 Chicago Bears
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 34-24. The Packers have shown they can thrive in fight-or-flight, survival mode. The low-scoring, 10-3 battle of week 17 will not be repeated with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Green Bay keeps their playoff momentum going and are unfazed by the Chi-town weather.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 24-20. Green Bay by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 23-16. Green Bay 61% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 16-14. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 12-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for both Championship games.
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Post Divisional Games
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis. If your team’s ranking remains unchanged for 4 hours or more, please consult with your doctor, as serious side effects may occur.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged, The Remarkably Average and The Fortunate Seven. They know what they've done.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 4 - Chicago Bears (previous: 5)
The Bears looked impressive during the first three quarters of their divisional matchup against the Seahawks, but Seattle is far from a championship team. Chicago lost focus up 28-0 and had to scramble in the end to win 35-24 and avoid a historic collapse. Against the Packers, anything less than a full 60 minutes of effort will not be enough to guarantee a trip to Texas.
# 3 - New York Jets (previous: 7)
They've talked and talked and talked and have lived up to their own hype. If the Jets can hold onto their swagger for one more week and complete a perfect circuit of the AFC's elite teams by beating Indianapolis, New England and Pittsburgh on the road, they will have truly earned the right to talk, talk and talk some more over the next two weeks.
# 2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 3)
No team has won more Super Bowls than the Steelers and no AFC team has played in more championship games this decade. Not only can their defense match up with New York's offense, the Pittsburgh offense can play the down and dirty style needed to overcome the Jets' rough and tumble defense.
# 1 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 6)
The Bears may very well rue their week 17 loss to the Packers. Green Bay has already completely outclassed two elite NFC division champions and the Packers are quite familiar with Da Bears. Despite being on the road, Green Bay will be favored by most, including Creative Misfortune, to make another appearance in the Super Bowl.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Divisional Games
Green Bay Packers
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged, The Remarkably Average and The Fortunate Seven. They know what they've done.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 4 - Chicago Bears (previous: 5)
The Bears looked impressive during the first three quarters of their divisional matchup against the Seahawks, but Seattle is far from a championship team. Chicago lost focus up 28-0 and had to scramble in the end to win 35-24 and avoid a historic collapse. Against the Packers, anything less than a full 60 minutes of effort will not be enough to guarantee a trip to Texas.
# 3 - New York Jets (previous: 7)
They've talked and talked and talked and have lived up to their own hype. If the Jets can hold onto their swagger for one more week and complete a perfect circuit of the AFC's elite teams by beating Indianapolis, New England and Pittsburgh on the road, they will have truly earned the right to talk, talk and talk some more over the next two weeks.
# 2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 3)
No team has won more Super Bowls than the Steelers and no AFC team has played in more championship games this decade. Not only can their defense match up with New York's offense, the Pittsburgh offense can play the down and dirty style needed to overcome the Jets' rough and tumble defense.
# 1 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 6)
The Bears may very well rue their week 17 loss to the Packers. Green Bay has already completely outclassed two elite NFC division champions and the Packers are quite familiar with Da Bears. Despite being on the road, Green Bay will be favored by most, including Creative Misfortune, to make another appearance in the Super Bowl.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Divisional Games
Monday, January 17, 2011
Divisional Playoff Games - Roundup of Creative Misfortune
So, what does a bye week and the #1 overall seed in your conference get you? Not much, apparently.
Divisional Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #1 New England Patriots (Actual ~ New York, 28-21)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 27-21. The Patriots are the best team in the league right now and they will rise to the occasion against their "hated" division rival.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-20. Sanchez is still not quite ready for Primetime.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 28-17. New England by 8.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 28-9. New England 78% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 21-20. New York won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 14-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
The talkative Jets, the guys who never want to shut up, finally put their money where their mouths are and knocked the New England Patriots out of the playoffs. New York exploited New England's young defense and miscues on special teams to seize the day and advance to the AFC Championship game for the second straight year. The Patriots played downright flawed and mortal. Special teams failed to execute a fake punt in the first half that ended up being worth seven points to the Jets. The Patriots' offensive line, normally stellar, let Brady get hit and pressured repeatedly. New England missed out on their best chance to win the Super Bowl since going undefeated in the regular season a few season ago.
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 31-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-17. It will be a tough, hard-fought game, but Pittsburgh's extra week of rest will prove the difference late in the fourth quarter.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steel City lives for games like this... Ben makes the plays when it counts.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-17. Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 37.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 62% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 14-10. Baltimore won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
The best black-and-blue battle in the league lived up to the hype as the Steelers and Ravens pounded each other for four solid quarters. Despite being completely outclassed and dominated in the first half, the Steelers rebounded in the third quarter and overcame a 14-point deficit to defeat Baltimore for a second time this season. Pittsburgh, undefeated in the playoffs against division opponents, now gets to host the New York Jets in the AFC Championship game after the Jets upset the #1 seeded New England Patriots on Sunday. This will be Pittsburgh's fifth AFC Championship game in the last decade.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #1 Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Green Bay, 48-21)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Mattie Ice vs Aaron Rodgers. The two rising superstars battle to a draw, but Atlanta's rushing attack will put the Falcons over the top.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 24-23. Aaron Rodgers outduels Matt Ryan thanks to his feisty defense.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Atlanta by 2.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 17-14. Green Bay 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 27-13. Green Bay won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 13-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
Once again the team nobody wanted in the playoffs proved why nobody wanted them in the playoffs. Atlanta hardly looked like a team that had won 13 games during the regular season as the Packers dominated the Falcons in all aspects of the game. Aaron Rodgers played absolutely lights out, missed on only five passes, and finished the game with 366 yards and three touchdowns. The 48 points by the Packers set a postseason record for the storied franchise. Now the Packers take their show to Chicago, where the longest-running rivalry in NFL history will add one more championship chapter.
NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks at NFC #2 Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Chicago, 35-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 24-14. The Seahawks are absolutely terrible on the road... Although they have won in Chicago... Hmmm.
Scottie V's Pick: Chicago, 23-17. The Seahawks put up a fight, but can't get it done down the stretch.
Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 27-16. Chicago by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 28-7. Chicago 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 27-14. Chicago won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Seattle's magical attempt to host the NFC Championship game with a .500 record came crashing to an end in Chicago as the Bears jumped out to an early 21-0 lead and coasted to an easy 35-24 victory. Jay Cutler accounted for all five of Chicago's touchdowns, getting three through the air and running in another two. The Bears defense shut down the Seahawks for three quarters before lapsing into a prevent scheme that allowed Seattle to make the game look interesting on paper. Chicago now gets to host the NFC Championship following Green Bay's upset of Atlanta. The last team Chicago wanted to see in the playoffs was Green Bay. Now the road to the Super Bowl has become an NFC North affair.
Divisional Playoff Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Scottie V's: 3-1 (season overall: 167-97)
Accuscore: 3-1 (season overall: 168-96)
What If Sports: 3-1 (season overall: 141-123) *1 Perfect Pick
Creative Misfortune: 2-2 (season overall: 155-109) *1 Perfect Pick
Vegas Picks: 2-2 (season overall: 171-93) *2 Perfect Picks
Home Team Wins Pick: 2-2 (season overall: 146-118) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 1-3 (season overall: 153-111) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only four Creative Elite teams remain.
Divisional Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #1 New England Patriots (Actual ~ New York, 28-21)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 27-21. The Patriots are the best team in the league right now and they will rise to the occasion against their "hated" division rival.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-20. Sanchez is still not quite ready for Primetime.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 28-17. New England by 8.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 28-9. New England 78% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 21-20. New York won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 14-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
The talkative Jets, the guys who never want to shut up, finally put their money where their mouths are and knocked the New England Patriots out of the playoffs. New York exploited New England's young defense and miscues on special teams to seize the day and advance to the AFC Championship game for the second straight year. The Patriots played downright flawed and mortal. Special teams failed to execute a fake punt in the first half that ended up being worth seven points to the Jets. The Patriots' offensive line, normally stellar, let Brady get hit and pressured repeatedly. New England missed out on their best chance to win the Super Bowl since going undefeated in the regular season a few season ago.
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 31-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-17. It will be a tough, hard-fought game, but Pittsburgh's extra week of rest will prove the difference late in the fourth quarter.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steel City lives for games like this... Ben makes the plays when it counts.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-17. Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 37.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 62% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 14-10. Baltimore won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
The best black-and-blue battle in the league lived up to the hype as the Steelers and Ravens pounded each other for four solid quarters. Despite being completely outclassed and dominated in the first half, the Steelers rebounded in the third quarter and overcame a 14-point deficit to defeat Baltimore for a second time this season. Pittsburgh, undefeated in the playoffs against division opponents, now gets to host the New York Jets in the AFC Championship game after the Jets upset the #1 seeded New England Patriots on Sunday. This will be Pittsburgh's fifth AFC Championship game in the last decade.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #1 Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Green Bay, 48-21)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Mattie Ice vs Aaron Rodgers. The two rising superstars battle to a draw, but Atlanta's rushing attack will put the Falcons over the top.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 24-23. Aaron Rodgers outduels Matt Ryan thanks to his feisty defense.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Atlanta by 2.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 17-14. Green Bay 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 27-13. Green Bay won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 13-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
Once again the team nobody wanted in the playoffs proved why nobody wanted them in the playoffs. Atlanta hardly looked like a team that had won 13 games during the regular season as the Packers dominated the Falcons in all aspects of the game. Aaron Rodgers played absolutely lights out, missed on only five passes, and finished the game with 366 yards and three touchdowns. The 48 points by the Packers set a postseason record for the storied franchise. Now the Packers take their show to Chicago, where the longest-running rivalry in NFL history will add one more championship chapter.
NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks at NFC #2 Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Chicago, 35-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 24-14. The Seahawks are absolutely terrible on the road... Although they have won in Chicago... Hmmm.
Scottie V's Pick: Chicago, 23-17. The Seahawks put up a fight, but can't get it done down the stretch.
Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 27-16. Chicago by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 28-7. Chicago 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 27-14. Chicago won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Seattle's magical attempt to host the NFC Championship game with a .500 record came crashing to an end in Chicago as the Bears jumped out to an early 21-0 lead and coasted to an easy 35-24 victory. Jay Cutler accounted for all five of Chicago's touchdowns, getting three through the air and running in another two. The Bears defense shut down the Seahawks for three quarters before lapsing into a prevent scheme that allowed Seattle to make the game look interesting on paper. Chicago now gets to host the NFC Championship following Green Bay's upset of Atlanta. The last team Chicago wanted to see in the playoffs was Green Bay. Now the road to the Super Bowl has become an NFC North affair.
Divisional Playoff Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Scottie V's: 3-1 (season overall: 167-97)
Accuscore: 3-1 (season overall: 168-96)
What If Sports: 3-1 (season overall: 141-123) *1 Perfect Pick
Creative Misfortune: 2-2 (season overall: 155-109) *1 Perfect Pick
Vegas Picks: 2-2 (season overall: 171-93) *2 Perfect Picks
Home Team Wins Pick: 2-2 (season overall: 146-118) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 1-3 (season overall: 153-111) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only four Creative Elite teams remain.
Friday, January 14, 2011
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Divisional Playoff Games
After a wild Wild Card weekend, the Divisional playoffs kick off tomorrow with a truly divisional feel on the AFC side of the house. Since two games just weren't good enough for the Jets, Patriots, Steelers and Ravens, why not play three?
Divisional Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #1 New England Patriots
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 27-21. The Patriots are the best team in the league right now and they will rise to the occasion against their "hated" division rival.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-20. Sanchez is still not quite ready for Primetime.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 28-17. New England by 8.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 28-9. New England 78% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 21-20. New York won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 14-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-17. It will be a tough, hard-fought game, but Pittsburgh's extra week of rest will prove the difference late in the fourth quarter.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steel City lives for games like this... Ben makes the plays when it counts.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-17. Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 37.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 62% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 14-10. Baltimore won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #1 Atlanta Falcons
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Mattie Ice vs Aaron Rodgers. The two rising superstars battle to a draw, but Atlanta's rushing attack will put the Falcons over the top.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 24-23. Aaron Rodgers outduels Matt Ryan thanks to his feisty defense.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Atlanta by 2.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 17-14. Green Bay 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 27-13. Green Bay won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 13-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks at NFC #2 Chicago Bears
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 24-14. The Seahawks are absolutely terrible on the road... Although they have won in Chicago... Hmmm.
Scottie V's Pick: Chicago, 23-17. The Seahawks put up a fight, but can't get it done down the stretch.
Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 27-16. Chicago by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 28-7. Chicago 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 27-14. Chicago won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for all Divisional games.
Divisional Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #1 New England Patriots
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 27-21. The Patriots are the best team in the league right now and they will rise to the occasion against their "hated" division rival.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-20. Sanchez is still not quite ready for Primetime.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 28-17. New England by 8.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 28-9. New England 78% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 21-20. New York won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 14-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #2 Pittsburgh Steelers
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-17. It will be a tough, hard-fought game, but Pittsburgh's extra week of rest will prove the difference late in the fourth quarter.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steel City lives for games like this... Ben makes the plays when it counts.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-17. Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 37.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh 62% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 14-10. Baltimore won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 13-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #1 Atlanta Falcons
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Mattie Ice vs Aaron Rodgers. The two rising superstars battle to a draw, but Atlanta's rushing attack will put the Falcons over the top.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 24-23. Aaron Rodgers outduels Matt Ryan thanks to his feisty defense.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. Atlanta by 2.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 17-14. Green Bay 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 27-13. Green Bay won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 13-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks at NFC #2 Chicago Bears
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 24-14. The Seahawks are absolutely terrible on the road... Although they have won in Chicago... Hmmm.
Scottie V's Pick: Chicago, 23-17. The Seahawks put up a fight, but can't get it done down the stretch.
Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 27-16. Chicago by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 28-7. Chicago 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 27-14. Chicago won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for all Divisional games.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Post Wild Card Weekend
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis. If your team’s ranking remains unchanged for 4 hours or more, please consult with your doctor, as serious side effects may occur.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged and The Remarkably Average. They know what they've done.
The Fortunate Seven (Less Four) ~
The best of those not yet elite
# 8 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 12)
The Seahawks shocked the world last week when they upset the defending champions, but I have a hard time believing they can do they same to a well-rested Bears team, on the road, in a cold-weather game.
# 7 - New York Jets (previous: 11)
The Jets won in spite of Mark Sanchez's erratic arm and poor decision making. If Belichick can make Peyton Manning look the fool with his defensive schemes, how successful can the Sanchize hope to be in New England?
# 6 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 7)
The kids nobody wanted in the dance have already ruined Philadelphia's season. Atlanta's magical run is next on the chopping block as the Packers try to become only the second 6th seed to win a Super Bowl in NFL history.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Chicago Bears (previous: 6)
The Bears cannot afford to overlook Seattle, but their defense should be strong enough to handle any team they face in Chicago. Their offense is the weak link in their Super Bowl quest.
# 4 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 4)
The Ravens may very well be the best team in the AFC, but playing one extra game and the wear-and-tear on their aging defense are two factors that could cut their playoff run short.
# 3 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 3)
Pittsburgh has had a week to get rested up before they take the field against their bitter division rivals in what will most definitely be a hard-hitting, slugfest. The extra rest may prove the difference once the game reaches the fourth quarter.
# 2 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 2)
The Falcons are the best team in the NFC, have all the advantages and now do not have to worry about playing New Orleans this week or next. The Packers are no pushovers, but the Falcons match up well with them and have the running game capable of keeping the Green Bay offense off the field.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
The Patriots begin their title run with a tilt against some old friends, ones they would love to humiliate once again in front of a national audience.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Wild Card Weekend
New England Patriots
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged and The Remarkably Average. They know what they've done.
The Fortunate Seven (Less Four) ~
The best of those not yet elite
# 8 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 12)
The Seahawks shocked the world last week when they upset the defending champions, but I have a hard time believing they can do they same to a well-rested Bears team, on the road, in a cold-weather game.
# 7 - New York Jets (previous: 11)
The Jets won in spite of Mark Sanchez's erratic arm and poor decision making. If Belichick can make Peyton Manning look the fool with his defensive schemes, how successful can the Sanchize hope to be in New England?
# 6 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 7)
The kids nobody wanted in the dance have already ruined Philadelphia's season. Atlanta's magical run is next on the chopping block as the Packers try to become only the second 6th seed to win a Super Bowl in NFL history.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Chicago Bears (previous: 6)
The Bears cannot afford to overlook Seattle, but their defense should be strong enough to handle any team they face in Chicago. Their offense is the weak link in their Super Bowl quest.
# 4 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 4)
The Ravens may very well be the best team in the AFC, but playing one extra game and the wear-and-tear on their aging defense are two factors that could cut their playoff run short.
# 3 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 3)
Pittsburgh has had a week to get rested up before they take the field against their bitter division rivals in what will most definitely be a hard-hitting, slugfest. The extra rest may prove the difference once the game reaches the fourth quarter.
# 2 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 2)
The Falcons are the best team in the NFC, have all the advantages and now do not have to worry about playing New Orleans this week or next. The Packers are no pushovers, but the Falcons match up well with them and have the running game capable of keeping the Green Bay offense off the field.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
The Patriots begin their title run with a tilt against some old friends, ones they would love to humiliate once again in front of a national audience.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Wild Card Weekend
Monday, January 10, 2011
Wild Card Playoff Games - Roundup of Creative Misfortune
The Wild Card games proved to be wild indeed. Both Super Bowl teams from last season are gone and not only are the Seahawks still alive, they still have a losing record. System pick results are shown below.
Wild Card Playoff Results:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #3 Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ New York, 17-16)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts have had to fight to get here, whereas the Jets have just talked their way into this game.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 20-14. I've got no love for the Jets, but I just don't think the Colts have what it takes this year.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 24-21. Indianapolis by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-13. Indianapolis 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 31-14. New York won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
Last season Indianapolis Coach Jim Caldwell was called into question for shutting down his undefeated team at 14-0 in order to keep them fresh for the playoffs instead of going for perfection. This season it will be the ill-fated timeout in the closing seconds of the game that will have everybody talking. Unless the defense was completely out of position, how can you possibly call a timeout while leading with less than one minute to go when the other team is scrambling to get back in the game? As Peyton Manning stewed on the sideline, the Jets caught their breath and went for the juggular. The timeout helped turn a long, 51-yard game-winning field goal into a chip shot after a deep pass to Braylon Edwards capitalized on a breakdown in the Colts' coverage. Indianapolis may need to do some soul-searching during the off-season. As for New York, round three with the Patriots awaits. Will the talkative Jets be able to take their boasting into New England and upset their bitter, division rival?
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #4 Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Baltimore, 30-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 21-17. As much as I'd like to see the Chiefs win, Baltimore has too much playoff experience for the young upstarts to handle.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 23-17. After a hideous game against the Raiders last weekend, KC regroups with the help of a fierce Arrowhead crowd.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 24-20. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 23-14. Baltimore 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 30-17. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 12-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
The lights finally went out on Kansas City's surprising season. A defensive struggle in the first half gave way to an offensive explosion by the Ravens in the second half as Baltimore easily knocked the Chiefs out of the playoffs. The Ravens now pack their bags for a trip to the friendly confines of Heinz Field where another battle with the Pittsburgh Steelers looms on the horizon. For Kansas City, the 2010 season ended in bittersweet fashion. Nobody expected them to be in the playoffs, but once they got there, nobody expected them to be crushed at home in their first playoff game.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Green Bay, 21-16)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-24. The Packers have been in total survival mode for weeks now while the Eagles have stumbled recently. Once the Packers D starts hitting Vick early and often, the Eagles will fall apart before the home crowd.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 23-20. A-Rodg is healthy and the Pack feel at home on Philly's version of the frozen tundra... Vick throws an ill-fated pick in 4th quarter.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 26-20. Philadelphia by 3, Over/Under 46.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 17-14. Philadelphia 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 27-17. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Both records at 10-6, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
Aaron Rodgers added to his legacy and moved further away from Brett Favre's shadow in Green Bay as the Packers upset the Philadelphia Eagles. A strong running game, great passing by Rodgers and a solid defensive stand all contributed to Green Bay's victory. The Eagles once again fail in the playoffs under Andy Reid and Philly's media and fans can now look forward to another long, cold winter of roasting the home team and second-guessing their performance. The Packers now move on to face the NFC's #1 seed, the Atlanta Falcons, next Saturday night.
NFC #5 New Orleans Saints at NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 41-36)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Even on the road in a loud, rocking stadium, the defending champions will not be knocked out of the playoffs by a team with a losing record.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Seattle keeps it close in the first half thanks to their infamous 12th man, but in the end, the Seahawks are bad.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-17. New Orleans by 10, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 30-7. New Orleans 80% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 26-20. New Orleans won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
The upset of the playoffs has tabled most of the talks regarding seeded playoffs in the NFL as the Seahawks, 8-9 overall on the season, took advantage of their home crowd and ended the Saints' championship reign. The entertaining, high-scoring game featured 44 points in the first half and another 33 points in the second half. The Saints defense failed miserably as Matt Hasselbeck looked like an absolute superstar. The defensive woes for New Orleans hit rock bottom with Marshawn Lynch's dynamic, beast of a run, which drove the final nail in the Saints' coffin. No less than eight different Saints defenders failed to take Lynch down as he fought his way for 67 yards and the game-winning touchdown. While the Saints head back to New Orleans a beaten team, Seattle now heads east to face the Chicago Bears.
Wild Card Playoff Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Scottie V's: 2-2 (season overall: 164-96)
Creative Misfortune: 2-2 (season overall: 153-107) *1 Perfect Pick
Best Record Wins Pick: 2-2 (season overall: 152-108) *3 Perfect Picks
Vegas Picks: 1-3 (season overall: 169-91) *2 Perfect Picks
Accuscore: 1-3 (season overall: 165-95)
Home Team Wins Pick: 1-3 (season overall: 144-116) *3 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 1-3 (season overall: 138-122) *1 Perfect Pick
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only eight teams remain.
Wild Card Playoff Results:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #3 Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ New York, 17-16)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts have had to fight to get here, whereas the Jets have just talked their way into this game.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 20-14. I've got no love for the Jets, but I just don't think the Colts have what it takes this year.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 24-21. Indianapolis by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-13. Indianapolis 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 31-14. New York won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
Last season Indianapolis Coach Jim Caldwell was called into question for shutting down his undefeated team at 14-0 in order to keep them fresh for the playoffs instead of going for perfection. This season it will be the ill-fated timeout in the closing seconds of the game that will have everybody talking. Unless the defense was completely out of position, how can you possibly call a timeout while leading with less than one minute to go when the other team is scrambling to get back in the game? As Peyton Manning stewed on the sideline, the Jets caught their breath and went for the juggular. The timeout helped turn a long, 51-yard game-winning field goal into a chip shot after a deep pass to Braylon Edwards capitalized on a breakdown in the Colts' coverage. Indianapolis may need to do some soul-searching during the off-season. As for New York, round three with the Patriots awaits. Will the talkative Jets be able to take their boasting into New England and upset their bitter, division rival?
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #4 Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Baltimore, 30-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 21-17. As much as I'd like to see the Chiefs win, Baltimore has too much playoff experience for the young upstarts to handle.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 23-17. After a hideous game against the Raiders last weekend, KC regroups with the help of a fierce Arrowhead crowd.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 24-20. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 23-14. Baltimore 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 30-17. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 12-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
The lights finally went out on Kansas City's surprising season. A defensive struggle in the first half gave way to an offensive explosion by the Ravens in the second half as Baltimore easily knocked the Chiefs out of the playoffs. The Ravens now pack their bags for a trip to the friendly confines of Heinz Field where another battle with the Pittsburgh Steelers looms on the horizon. For Kansas City, the 2010 season ended in bittersweet fashion. Nobody expected them to be in the playoffs, but once they got there, nobody expected them to be crushed at home in their first playoff game.
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Green Bay, 21-16)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-24. The Packers have been in total survival mode for weeks now while the Eagles have stumbled recently. Once the Packers D starts hitting Vick early and often, the Eagles will fall apart before the home crowd.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 23-20. A-Rodg is healthy and the Pack feel at home on Philly's version of the frozen tundra... Vick throws an ill-fated pick in 4th quarter.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 26-20. Philadelphia by 3, Over/Under 46.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 17-14. Philadelphia 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 27-17. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Both records at 10-6, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
Aaron Rodgers added to his legacy and moved further away from Brett Favre's shadow in Green Bay as the Packers upset the Philadelphia Eagles. A strong running game, great passing by Rodgers and a solid defensive stand all contributed to Green Bay's victory. The Eagles once again fail in the playoffs under Andy Reid and Philly's media and fans can now look forward to another long, cold winter of roasting the home team and second-guessing their performance. The Packers now move on to face the NFC's #1 seed, the Atlanta Falcons, next Saturday night.
NFC #5 New Orleans Saints at NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 41-36)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Even on the road in a loud, rocking stadium, the defending champions will not be knocked out of the playoffs by a team with a losing record.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Seattle keeps it close in the first half thanks to their infamous 12th man, but in the end, the Seahawks are bad.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-17. New Orleans by 10, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 30-7. New Orleans 80% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 26-20. New Orleans won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
The upset of the playoffs has tabled most of the talks regarding seeded playoffs in the NFL as the Seahawks, 8-9 overall on the season, took advantage of their home crowd and ended the Saints' championship reign. The entertaining, high-scoring game featured 44 points in the first half and another 33 points in the second half. The Saints defense failed miserably as Matt Hasselbeck looked like an absolute superstar. The defensive woes for New Orleans hit rock bottom with Marshawn Lynch's dynamic, beast of a run, which drove the final nail in the Saints' coffin. No less than eight different Saints defenders failed to take Lynch down as he fought his way for 67 yards and the game-winning touchdown. While the Saints head back to New Orleans a beaten team, Seattle now heads east to face the Chicago Bears.
Wild Card Playoff Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Scottie V's: 2-2 (season overall: 164-96)
Creative Misfortune: 2-2 (season overall: 153-107) *1 Perfect Pick
Best Record Wins Pick: 2-2 (season overall: 152-108) *3 Perfect Picks
Vegas Picks: 1-3 (season overall: 169-91) *2 Perfect Picks
Accuscore: 1-3 (season overall: 165-95)
Home Team Wins Pick: 1-3 (season overall: 144-116) *3 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 1-3 (season overall: 138-122) *1 Perfect Pick
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Power Rankings. Only eight teams remain.
Friday, January 7, 2011
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Wild Card Playoff Games
The playoffs are finally here! Let's get crazy with some Wild Card predictions.
Wild Card Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #3 Indianapolis Colts
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts have had to fight to get here, whereas the Jets have just talked their way into this game.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 20-14. I've got no love for the Jets, but I just don't think the Colts have what it takes this year.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 24-21. Indianapolis by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-13. Indianapolis 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 31-14. New York won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #4 Kansas City Chiefs
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 21-17. As much as I'd like to see the Chiefs win, Baltimore has too much playoff experience for the young upstarts to handle.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 23-17. After a hideous game against the Raiders last weekend, KC regroups with the help of a fierce Arrowhead crowd.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 24-20. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 23-14. Baltimore 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 30-17. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 12-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-24. The Packers have been in total survival mode for weeks now while the Eagles have stumbled recently. Once the Packers D starts hitting Vick early and often, the Eagles will fall apart before the home crowd.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 23-20. A-Rodg is healthy and the Pack feel at home on Philly's version of the frozen tundra... Vick throws an ill-fated pick in 4th quarter.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 26-20. Philadelphia by 3, Over/Under 46.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 17-14. Philadelphia 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 27-17. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Both records at 10-6, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
NFC #5 New Orleans Saints at NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Even on the road in a loud, rocking stadium, the defending champions will not be knocked out of the playoffs by a team with a losing record.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Seattle keeps it close in the first half thanks to their infamous 12th man, but in the end, the Seahawks are bad.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-17. New Orleans by 10, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 30-7. New Orleans 80% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 26-20. New Orleans won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for all Wild Card games.
Wild Card Playoff Predictions:
AFC #6 New York Jets at AFC #3 Indianapolis Colts
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts have had to fight to get here, whereas the Jets have just talked their way into this game.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 20-14. I've got no love for the Jets, but I just don't think the Colts have what it takes this year.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 24-21. Indianapolis by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-13. Indianapolis 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 31-14. New York won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
AFC #5 Baltimore Ravens at AFC #4 Kansas City Chiefs
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 21-17. As much as I'd like to see the Chiefs win, Baltimore has too much playoff experience for the young upstarts to handle.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 23-17. After a hideous game against the Raiders last weekend, KC regroups with the help of a fierce Arrowhead crowd.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 24-20. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 23-14. Baltimore 63% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 30-17. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 12-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
NFC #6 Green Bay Packers at NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-24. The Packers have been in total survival mode for weeks now while the Eagles have stumbled recently. Once the Packers D starts hitting Vick early and often, the Eagles will fall apart before the home crowd.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 23-20. A-Rodg is healthy and the Pack feel at home on Philly's version of the frozen tundra... Vick throws an ill-fated pick in 4th quarter.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 26-20. Philadelphia by 3, Over/Under 46.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 17-14. Philadelphia 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 27-17. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Both records at 10-6, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
NFC #5 New Orleans Saints at NFC #4 Seattle Seahawks
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Even on the road in a loud, rocking stadium, the defending champions will not be knocked out of the playoffs by a team with a losing record.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. Seattle keeps it close in the first half thanks to their infamous 12th man, but in the end, the Seahawks are bad.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-17. New Orleans by 10, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 30-7. New Orleans 80% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 26-20. New Orleans won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and recaps for all Wild Card games.
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Week 17
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis. If your team’s ranking remains unchanged for 4 hours or more, please consult with your doctor, as serious side effects may occur.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged and The Remarkably Average. They know what they've done.
The Fortunate Seven ~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 27)
As the first ever playoff team with a losing record, the only way Seattle can justify their existence in the post-season is with a win.
# 11 - New York Jets (previous: 11)
A season of talking has generated nothing more than a 6th seed for the Jets. At least they have a winning record and four more wins will make all the talking worthwhile.
# 10 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 8)
Crawling into the playoffs, beat up and disillusioned, is never a good way to start a Super Bowl run.
# 9 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 7)
Kansas City's surprising season ended with a dud against the Raiders and young teams can't afford any setbacks if they hope to be successful come January.
# 8 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 10)
The Colts had to fight tooth and nail in week 17 for the first time in years. Will that elevate their post-season game to a new level? The opener against the Jets will let us know.
# 7 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 9)
The Wild Card team nobody wants to face has been in survival mode for weeks now. Scary.
# 6 - Chicago Bears (previous: 6)
The Bears should never have allowed the Packers to get into the dance, but the Saints may ultimately prove to be their undoing.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 3)
The defending champs shouldn't be knocked out of the playoffs by a losing team, but New Orleans has struggled at times this season and will need to stop the little mistakes that have cost them in recent weeks.
# 4 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 5)
A Wild Card powerhouse worthy of a division title. They'll give a young Kansas City team all they can handle and more.
# 3 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 4)
Hard-fought victories and veteran leadership will make the Steelers a well-rested, deadly foe once they take the field in two weeks.
# 2 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 2)
The late-season loss to New Orleans did not so much as create doubts in Atlanta as it sounded a wake-up call for the Dirty Birds. The Falcons are the team to beat in the NFC.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
A 14-2 record, numerous statistical records and the mystique of the Evil Empire... The Patriots are the NFL's best team and the pressure is on them to win Super Bowl XLV.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Week 17
New England Patriots
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, winning isn't the only thing, but it is the most important component of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
Only the best teams still playing will continue to be ranked as we countdown to Super Bowl XLV! Say so long to The Forked Few, The Creatively Challenged and The Remarkably Average. They know what they've done.
The Fortunate Seven ~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 27)
As the first ever playoff team with a losing record, the only way Seattle can justify their existence in the post-season is with a win.
# 11 - New York Jets (previous: 11)
A season of talking has generated nothing more than a 6th seed for the Jets. At least they have a winning record and four more wins will make all the talking worthwhile.
# 10 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 8)
Crawling into the playoffs, beat up and disillusioned, is never a good way to start a Super Bowl run.
# 9 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 7)
Kansas City's surprising season ended with a dud against the Raiders and young teams can't afford any setbacks if they hope to be successful come January.
# 8 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 10)
The Colts had to fight tooth and nail in week 17 for the first time in years. Will that elevate their post-season game to a new level? The opener against the Jets will let us know.
# 7 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 9)
The Wild Card team nobody wants to face has been in survival mode for weeks now. Scary.
# 6 - Chicago Bears (previous: 6)
The Bears should never have allowed the Packers to get into the dance, but the Saints may ultimately prove to be their undoing.
The Creative Elite ~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 3)
The defending champs shouldn't be knocked out of the playoffs by a losing team, but New Orleans has struggled at times this season and will need to stop the little mistakes that have cost them in recent weeks.
# 4 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 5)
A Wild Card powerhouse worthy of a division title. They'll give a young Kansas City team all they can handle and more.
# 3 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 4)
Hard-fought victories and veteran leadership will make the Steelers a well-rested, deadly foe once they take the field in two weeks.
# 2 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 2)
The late-season loss to New Orleans did not so much as create doubts in Atlanta as it sounded a wake-up call for the Dirty Birds. The Falcons are the team to beat in the NFC.
# 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
A 14-2 record, numerous statistical records and the mystique of the Evil Empire... The Patriots are the NFL's best team and the pressure is on them to win Super Bowl XLV.
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLV Favorite ~ After Week 17
Monday, January 3, 2011
Week 17 - Roundup of Creative Misfortune
Pick system results have been highlighted below. It's so nice and sunny here, I don't have time to recap each game. Full game recaps will return next Monday following the Wild Card games. I hope everybody is enjoying the New Year!
Sunday Game Results:
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Atlanta, 31-10)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-13. If the Falcons can't beat the Panthers at home they deserve to lose the #1 seed in the NFC and will need to go to St. Louis or Seattle to think about what they've done.
Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 31-13. The Falcons take it to the lowly Panthers.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 28-13. Atlanta by 14, Over/Under 41.
Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 28-9. Atlanta 77% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Atlanta, 30-13. Atlanta won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 12-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 41-9)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-14. The Steelers have so much to gain with a victory and so much to lose with a loss. Despite being on the road, they should win in Cleveland to gain a first-round bye.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steelers stake their claim to the AFC North.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh by 5.5, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-10. Pittsburgh 74% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-12. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (Actual ~ New York, 17-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 28-17. For the Giants it will be too little, too late, but they will outlast the resurgent, Grossman-led Redskins in D.C.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 24-20. The Giants do their part to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 24-20. New York by 3.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-10. New York 69% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 26-17. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 9-6.
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (Actual ~ Baltimore, 13-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 20-14. The Bengals are playing better without T.Ocho, but the Ravens will still come away with the victory.
Scottie V's Pick: Baltimore, 23-16. The Ravens take care of business, but the Steelers victory means no bye week in Baltimore.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 27-16. Baltimore by 9.5, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 28-7. Baltimore 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 23-7. Baltimore won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (Actual ~ Houston, 34-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Jacksonville, 38-31. The Jaguars still have hope... The Texans are just trying to finish the season without getting injured.
Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 28-14. Keeping pressure on the Colts, the Jags play like they mean business.
Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville, 26-23. Jacksonville by 2, Over/Under 49.
Accuscore Pick: Houston, 20-17. Houston 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Houston, 26-21. Houston won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville better at 8-7.
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (Actual ~ Detroit, 20-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Detroit, 27-21. The Lions are eager to finish off 2010 on a high note with a four-game winning streak and they have always played the Vikings tough.
Scottie V's Pick: Detroit, 23-13. The Lions make sure the Vikings' season ends with a thud... Brett Favre's retirement contemplation begins again.
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit, 24-20. Detroit by 3, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Detroit, 21-16. Detroit 58% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota better at 6-9.
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Actual ~ Green Bay, 10-3)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-20. A tough game to call. The Packers have to win to guarantee themselves a spot in the playoffs, but Chicago has very little desire to see Green Bay invited to the dance at their own expense.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Like a phoenix rising, Aaron Rodgers looks playoff-ready, destroying the Giants and Bucs playoff hopes.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 27-16. Green Bay by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 26-10. Green Bay 71% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 23-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts are willing themselves into the playoffs.
Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 28-13. There is no way the Colts lose this game at home, right? Sorry, Jags.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 31-17. Indianapolis by 10, Over/Under 48.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 26-10. Indianapolis 72% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 19-10. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 8-6.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Oakland, 31-10)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 17-14. The Chiefs just need to survive this game without injury, but they will still keep Oakland from getting to .500.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 27-14. The Chiefs treat their fans to a playoff tune-up against the hated Raiders.
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 24-20. Kansas City by 3, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Oakland, 23-17. Oakland won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (Actual ~ New England, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 31-21. The Patriot starters will play long enough to guarantee a victory.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-13. Though a meaningless game for the Pats, they are still better than the Dolphs.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 26-20. New England by 4, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 24-10. New England 70% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New England, 20-17. New England won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 13-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (Actual ~ Tampa Bay, 23-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 24-14. After getting some swagger back in Atlanta on Monday, the defending champs will not fall to the Bucs at home.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 30-17. The Saints head into the playoffs to defend their title with some solid momentum.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-20. New Orleans by 7.5, Over/Under 47.5.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 28-10. New Orleans 76% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 24-17. New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Actual ~ New York, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 16-10. Who knows which Jets team will show up, but I'm sure they'll tell us which team has arrived once they get there.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-20. The Bills give the Jets all they can handle before a late Santonio Holmes (of course) touchdown.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 23-20. NY Jets by 1.5, Over/Under 39.5.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-13. NY Jets 67% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 28-10. NY Jets won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Dallas, 14-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Dallas, 31-24. Philadelphia has nothing to play for on a short week, so I expect them to rest some starters, particularly Vick, after the way the Vikings banged him around last Tuesday.
Scottie V's Pick: Dallas, 27-23. Philly limps into the playoffs after two straight defeats.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 27-21. Philadelphia by 4, Over/Under 48.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 24-10. Philadelphia 69% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 21-17. Philadelphia won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Philadelphia better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (Actual ~ San Francisco, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 27-17. Sorry, 49ers. Firing Singletary this late in the season was pointless. Had the move been made 3-4 weeks ago, San Francisco might already be in the playoffs as the NFC West's best.
Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 20-14. Does this game really need to be played? The Niners play a somewhat inspired game under their interim coach and win at home.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 23-16. San Francisco by 6, Over/Under 39.
Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 24-13. San Francisco 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 23-13. San Francisco won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17. Both records at 5-10, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ San Diego, 33-28)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 38-24. So much promise for both teams, yet two completely wasted seasons. At least the Broncos are finding out how good Tim Tebow just might be.
Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 23-17. The Broncs add insult to the injury of the Chargers dashed playoff hopes.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 26-21. San Diego by 3, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 26-10. San Diego 71% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 23-16. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17. San Diego better at 8-7.
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 16-6)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: St. Louis, 24-10. Traditionalists everywhere are hoping the Rams get in at 8-8. Those in favor of revamping the NFL's playoff structure should be cheering for the Seahawks to get crushed by a Wild Card team next weekend.
Scottie V's Pick: St. Louis, 27-17. As a Pacific NW'erner I'm supposed to like the Seahawks, but how can you root for a sub-.500 team to make the playoffs??? That's ridiculous.
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis, 24-17. St. Louis by 3, Over/Under 41.
Accuscore Pick: St. Louis, 21-17. St. Louis 57% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Seattle, 17-14. Seattle won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 7-8.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
Week 17 Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Accuscore: 12-4 (season overall: 161-92)
Scottie V's: 11-5 (season overall: 162-94)
Creative Misfortune: 11-5 (season overall: 151-105) *1 Perfect Pick
Vegas Picks: 11-5 (season overall: 168-88) *2 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 11-5 (season overall: 137-119) *1 Perfect Pick
Home Team Wins Pick: 10-6 (season overall: 143-113) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 8-8 (season overall: 150-106) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Preview Power Rankings.
Sunday Game Results:
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Atlanta, 31-10)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-13. If the Falcons can't beat the Panthers at home they deserve to lose the #1 seed in the NFC and will need to go to St. Louis or Seattle to think about what they've done.
Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 31-13. The Falcons take it to the lowly Panthers.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 28-13. Atlanta by 14, Over/Under 41.
Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 28-9. Atlanta 77% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Atlanta, 30-13. Atlanta won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 12-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 41-9)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-14. The Steelers have so much to gain with a victory and so much to lose with a loss. Despite being on the road, they should win in Cleveland to gain a first-round bye.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steelers stake their claim to the AFC North.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh by 5.5, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-10. Pittsburgh 74% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-12. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (Actual ~ New York, 17-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 28-17. For the Giants it will be too little, too late, but they will outlast the resurgent, Grossman-led Redskins in D.C.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 24-20. The Giants do their part to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 24-20. New York by 3.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-10. New York 69% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 26-17. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 9-6.
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (Actual ~ Baltimore, 13-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 20-14. The Bengals are playing better without T.Ocho, but the Ravens will still come away with the victory.
Scottie V's Pick: Baltimore, 23-16. The Ravens take care of business, but the Steelers victory means no bye week in Baltimore.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 27-16. Baltimore by 9.5, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 28-7. Baltimore 79% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 23-7. Baltimore won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (Actual ~ Houston, 34-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Jacksonville, 38-31. The Jaguars still have hope... The Texans are just trying to finish the season without getting injured.
Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 28-14. Keeping pressure on the Colts, the Jags play like they mean business.
Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville, 26-23. Jacksonville by 2, Over/Under 49.
Accuscore Pick: Houston, 20-17. Houston 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Houston, 26-21. Houston won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville better at 8-7.
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (Actual ~ Detroit, 20-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Detroit, 27-21. The Lions are eager to finish off 2010 on a high note with a four-game winning streak and they have always played the Vikings tough.
Scottie V's Pick: Detroit, 23-13. The Lions make sure the Vikings' season ends with a thud... Brett Favre's retirement contemplation begins again.
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit, 24-20. Detroit by 3, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Detroit, 21-16. Detroit 58% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota better at 6-9.
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Actual ~ Green Bay, 10-3)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-20. A tough game to call. The Packers have to win to guarantee themselves a spot in the playoffs, but Chicago has very little desire to see Green Bay invited to the dance at their own expense.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Like a phoenix rising, Aaron Rodgers looks playoff-ready, destroying the Giants and Bucs playoff hopes.
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 27-16. Green Bay by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 26-10. Green Bay 71% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 23-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts are willing themselves into the playoffs.
Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 28-13. There is no way the Colts lose this game at home, right? Sorry, Jags.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 31-17. Indianapolis by 10, Over/Under 48.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 26-10. Indianapolis 72% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 19-10. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 8-6.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Oakland, 31-10)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 17-14. The Chiefs just need to survive this game without injury, but they will still keep Oakland from getting to .500.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 27-14. The Chiefs treat their fans to a playoff tune-up against the hated Raiders.
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 24-20. Kansas City by 3, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Oakland, 23-17. Oakland won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (Actual ~ New England, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 31-21. The Patriot starters will play long enough to guarantee a victory.
Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-13. Though a meaningless game for the Pats, they are still better than the Dolphs.
Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 26-20. New England by 4, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: New England, 24-10. New England 70% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New England, 20-17. New England won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 13-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (Actual ~ Tampa Bay, 23-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 24-14. After getting some swagger back in Atlanta on Monday, the defending champs will not fall to the Bucs at home.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 30-17. The Saints head into the playoffs to defend their title with some solid momentum.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-20. New Orleans by 7.5, Over/Under 47.5.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 28-10. New Orleans 76% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 24-17. New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Actual ~ New York, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 16-10. Who knows which Jets team will show up, but I'm sure they'll tell us which team has arrived once they get there.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-20. The Bills give the Jets all they can handle before a late Santonio Holmes (of course) touchdown.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 23-20. NY Jets by 1.5, Over/Under 39.5.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-13. NY Jets 67% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 28-10. NY Jets won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Dallas, 14-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Dallas, 31-24. Philadelphia has nothing to play for on a short week, so I expect them to rest some starters, particularly Vick, after the way the Vikings banged him around last Tuesday.
Scottie V's Pick: Dallas, 27-23. Philly limps into the playoffs after two straight defeats.
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 27-21. Philadelphia by 4, Over/Under 48.
Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 24-10. Philadelphia 69% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 21-17. Philadelphia won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Philadelphia better at 10-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (Actual ~ San Francisco, 38-7)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 27-17. Sorry, 49ers. Firing Singletary this late in the season was pointless. Had the move been made 3-4 weeks ago, San Francisco might already be in the playoffs as the NFC West's best.
Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 20-14. Does this game really need to be played? The Niners play a somewhat inspired game under their interim coach and win at home.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 23-16. San Francisco by 6, Over/Under 39.
Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 24-13. San Francisco 65% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 23-13. San Francisco won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17. Both records at 5-10, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ San Diego, 33-28)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 38-24. So much promise for both teams, yet two completely wasted seasons. At least the Broncos are finding out how good Tim Tebow just might be.
Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 23-17. The Broncs add insult to the injury of the Chargers dashed playoff hopes.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 26-21. San Diego by 3, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 26-10. San Diego 71% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 23-16. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17. San Diego better at 8-7.
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 16-6)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: St. Louis, 24-10. Traditionalists everywhere are hoping the Rams get in at 8-8. Those in favor of revamping the NFL's playoff structure should be cheering for the Seahawks to get crushed by a Wild Card team next weekend.
Scottie V's Pick: St. Louis, 27-17. As a Pacific NW'erner I'm supposed to like the Seahawks, but how can you root for a sub-.500 team to make the playoffs??? That's ridiculous.
Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis, 24-17. St. Louis by 3, Over/Under 41.
Accuscore Pick: St. Louis, 21-17. St. Louis 57% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Seattle, 17-14. Seattle won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 7-8.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
Week 17 Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Accuscore: 12-4 (season overall: 161-92)
Scottie V's: 11-5 (season overall: 162-94)
Creative Misfortune: 11-5 (season overall: 151-105) *1 Perfect Pick
Vegas Picks: 11-5 (season overall: 168-88) *2 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 11-5 (season overall: 137-119) *1 Perfect Pick
Home Team Wins Pick: 10-6 (season overall: 143-113) *3 Perfect Picks
Best Record Wins Pick: 8-8 (season overall: 150-106) *3 Perfect Picks
Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Preview Power Rankings.
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