Monday, January 3, 2011

Week 17 - Roundup of Creative Misfortune

Pick system results have been highlighted below. It's so nice and sunny here, I don't have time to recap each game. Full game recaps will return next Monday following the Wild Card games. I hope everybody is enjoying the New Year!

Sunday Game Results:

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Atlanta, 31-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-13. If the Falcons can't beat the Panthers at home they deserve to lose the #1 seed in the NFC and will need to go to St. Louis or Seattle to think about what they've done.
     Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 31-13. The Falcons take it to the lowly Panthers.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 28-13. Atlanta by 14, Over/Under 41.
     Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 28-9. Atlanta 77% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Atlanta, 30-13. Atlanta won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 12-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 41-9)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-14. The Steelers have so much to gain with a victory and so much to lose with a loss. Despite being on the road, they should win in Cleveland to gain a first-round bye.
     Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. The Steelers stake their claim to the AFC North.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh by 5.5, Over/Under 47.
     Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-10. Pittsburgh 74% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-12. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 11-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17

New York Giants at Washington Redskins (Actual ~ New York, 17-14)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 28-17. For the Giants it will be too little, too late, but they will outlast the resurgent, Grossman-led Redskins in D.C.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 24-20. The Giants do their part to keep their playoff hopes alive.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 24-20. New York by 3.5, Over/Under 44.
     Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-10. New York 69% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 26-17. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 9-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (Actual ~ Baltimore, 13-7)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 20-14. The Bengals are playing better without T.Ocho, but the Ravens will still come away with the victory.
     Scottie V's Pick: Baltimore, 23-16. The Ravens take care of business, but the Steelers victory means no bye week in Baltimore.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 27-16. Baltimore by 9.5, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 28-7. Baltimore 79% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 23-7. Baltimore won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 11-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (Actual ~ Houston, 34-17)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Jacksonville, 38-31. The Jaguars still have hope... The Texans are just trying to finish the season without getting injured.
     Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 28-14. Keeping pressure on the Colts, the Jags play like they mean business.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville, 26-23. Jacksonville by 2, Over/Under 49.
     Accuscore Pick: Houston, 20-17. Houston 53% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Houston, 26-21. Houston won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville better at 8-7.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (Actual ~ Detroit, 20-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Detroit, 27-21. The Lions are eager to finish off 2010 on a high note with a four-game winning streak and they have always played the Vikings tough.
     Scottie V's Pick: Detroit, 23-13. The Lions make sure the Vikings' season ends with a thud... Brett Favre's retirement contemplation begins again.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit, 24-20. Detroit by 3, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Detroit, 21-16. Detroit 58% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota better at 6-9.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Actual ~ Green Bay, 10-3)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 28-20. A tough game to call. The Packers have to win to guarantee themselves a spot in the playoffs, but Chicago has very little desire to see Green Bay invited to the dance at their own expense.
     Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-17. Like a phoenix rising, Aaron Rodgers looks playoff-ready, destroying the Giants and Bucs playoff hopes.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 27-16. Green Bay by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 26-10. Green Bay 71% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 11-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 23-20)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. The Colts are willing themselves into the playoffs.
     Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 28-13. There is no way the Colts lose this game at home, right? Sorry, Jags.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 31-17. Indianapolis by 10, Over/Under 48.
     Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 26-10. Indianapolis 72% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 19-10. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 8-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Oakland, 31-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 17-14. The Chiefs just need to survive this game without injury, but they will still keep Oakland from getting to .500.
     Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 27-14. The Chiefs treat their fans to a playoff tune-up against the hated Raiders.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 24-20. Kansas City by 3, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City 53% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Oakland, 23-17. Oakland won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 10-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (Actual ~ New England, 38-7)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 31-21. The Patriot starters will play long enough to guarantee a victory.
     Scottie V's Pick: New England, 24-13. Though a meaningless game for the Pats, they are still better than the Dolphs.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 26-20. New England by 4, Over/Under 44.
     Accuscore Pick: New England, 24-10. New England 70% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New England, 20-17. New England won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 13-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (Actual ~ Tampa Bay, 23-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 24-14. After getting some swagger back in Atlanta on Monday, the defending champs will not fall to the Bucs at home.
     Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 30-17. The Saints head into the playoffs to defend their title with some solid momentum.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-20. New Orleans by 7.5, Over/Under 47.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 28-10. New Orleans 76% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 24-17. New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 11-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Actual ~ New York, 38-7)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 16-10. Who knows which Jets team will show up, but I'm sure they'll tell us which team has arrived once they get there.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-20. The Bills give the Jets all they can handle before a late Santonio Holmes (of course) touchdown.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 23-20. NY Jets by 1.5, Over/Under 39.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New York, 24-13. NY Jets 67% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 28-10. NY Jets won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 10-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Dallas, 14-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Dallas, 31-24. Philadelphia has nothing to play for on a short week, so I expect them to rest some starters, particularly Vick, after the way the Vikings banged him around last Tuesday.
     Scottie V's Pick: Dallas, 27-23. Philly limps into the playoffs after two straight defeats.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 27-21. Philadelphia by 4, Over/Under 48.
     Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 24-10. Philadelphia 69% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 21-17. Philadelphia won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Philadelphia better at 10-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (Actual ~ San Francisco, 38-7)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 27-17. Sorry, 49ers. Firing Singletary this late in the season was pointless. Had the move been made 3-4 weeks ago, San Francisco might already be in the playoffs as the NFC West's best.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 20-14. Does this game really need to be played? The Niners play a somewhat inspired game under their interim coach and win at home.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 23-16. San Francisco by 6, Over/Under 39.
     Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 24-13. San Francisco 65% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 23-13. San Francisco won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17. Both records at 5-10, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ San Diego, 33-28)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 38-24. So much promise for both teams, yet two completely wasted seasons. At least the Broncos are finding out how good Tim Tebow just might be.
     Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 23-17. The Broncs add insult to the injury of the Chargers dashed playoff hopes.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 26-21. San Diego by 3, Over/Under 47.
     Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 26-10. San Diego 71% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 23-16. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17. San Diego better at 8-7.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 16-6)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: St. Louis, 24-10. Traditionalists everywhere are hoping the Rams get in at 8-8. Those in favor of revamping the NFL's playoff structure should be cheering for the Seahawks to get crushed by a Wild Card team next weekend.
     Scottie V's Pick: St. Louis, 27-17. As a Pacific NW'erner I'm supposed to like the Seahawks, but how can you root for a sub-.500 team to make the playoffs??? That's ridiculous.
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis, 24-17. St. Louis by 3, Over/Under 41.
     Accuscore Pick: St. Louis, 21-17. St. Louis 57% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Seattle, 17-14. Seattle won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 7-8.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17


Week 17 Final Prediction Scoreboard...
     Accuscore: 12-4 (season overall: 161-92)
     Scottie V's11-5 (season overall: 162-94)
     Creative Misfortune: 11-5 (season overall: 151-105) *1 Perfect Pick
     Vegas Picks: 11-5 (season overall: 168-88) *2 Perfect Picks
     What If Sports: 11-5 (season overall: 137-119) *1 Perfect Pick
     Home Team Wins Pick: 10-6 (season overall: 143-113) *3 Perfect Picks    
     Best Record Wins Pick8-8 (season overall: 150-106) *3 Perfect Picks
                             

Check back on Wednesday for Creative Misfortune's Playoff Preview Power Rankings.

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