Thursday, December 29, 2011

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings - Week 16 (2011)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
                    The Bucs have lost nine straight games, and have been outscored 158-64 in their last four. A final game against Atlanta will not change their fortunes any.

     # 31 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 30)
                    The Rams could be on the clock as early as 4:00pm Eastern on Sunday… if Indianapolis can get past Jacksonville.

     # 30 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 31)
                    Indy is on a two-game winning streak. One more victory and they can kiss all those Manning-Luck conversations goodbye.

     # 29 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 32)
                    That was, quite possibly, the worst ever regular season victory in franchise history.

     # 28 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 28)
                    The Browns have been whipped by every other team in the AFC North. I don’t see the Steelers letting them off easy the final week of the season when Pittsburgh has so much to play for.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 27)
                    Is the season over yet?

     # 26 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 25)
                    How sweet would Orton's revenge be if he could knock the resurgent Broncos out of the playoffs?

     # 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 23)
                    The Redskins have been rebuilding ever since Daniel Snyder took the reins of the franchise. Why is Coach Shanahan surprised rebuilding in Washington is so difficult?

     # 24 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 24)
                    The Dolphins can put an end to the Jets season once and for all. Too bad Rex Ryan will never shut up.

     # 23 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 26)
                    Buffalo has hardly been relevant the last half of the season, aside from last week's victory over the Broncos.

     # 22 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 21)
                    Kolb is back and, even if the season is lost, he has a starting job in 2012 to play for.

     # 21 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 22)
                    A Panthers victory will depend on how long Brees and the other Saints starters stay on the field.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 14)
                    7-9 was good enough to win the division title last year. This year, the Seahawks could finish one game better and miss the playoffs.

     # 19 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 13)
                    The Chargers early season failures finally caught up to them.

     # 18 - Chicago Bears (previous: 15)
                    Had injuries not derailed their season, Chicago could have been in the dance as a Wild Card.

     # 17 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 20)
                    The Eagles have finally started to play together, but it is too late for them to save their season.

     # 16 - New York Jets (previous: 12)
                    One more loss and we can be done listening to these idiots… at least for a few months.

     # 15 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
                    The Titans have the faintest of playoff hopes still left.

     # T-13 - Denver Broncos (previous: 17)
                    Tebow vs Orton? Nobody saw this coming eight weeks ago.

     # T-13 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 19)
                    I expect an ugly game from the Raiders this week, with lots of penalties and some long, booming kicks from Janikowski. I wonder, though, which will propel them to victory or send them home in bitter defeat?



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # T-11 - New York Giants (previous: 18)
                    By all rights the Giants should already be eliminated… but talk of December collapses will vanish if New York can win at home to take the NFC East crown.

     # T-11 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 10)
                    The season should not have come down to a one-game playoff just to get into the postseason tournament. The Cowboys have one more chance to prove themselves - or to continue their reign as the kings of underachievement.

     # 10 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 8)
                    A humiliating loss to a division rival is no way to charge into the playoffs. Maybe the Falcons can take out some of their frustration on the miserable Buccaneers this weekend.

     # 9 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 11)
                    C'mon, Cincinnati. Complete your Cinderella run into the playoffs by knocking off the Ravens this weekend.

     # 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 9)
                    Do they travel to New Orleans, New York or Dallas? It all depends on how much of a fight Green Bay decides to give them.

     # 7 - Houston Texans (previous: 6)
                    The Texans haven’t won since clinching a playoff spot. They better figure things out quickly otherwise they will be no better off than when they started the season - without a playoff victory in franchise history.

     # 6 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 7)
                    The only seeds the Steelers can't be are #4 and #6.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 5)
                    How sad would it be if the Ravens swept the Steelers and still lost the division title?

     # 4 - New England Patriots (previous: 2)
                    The best team in the AFC finds ways to win, but there are still a lot of holes in their defense.

     # 3 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 4)
                    A win over the hapless Rams is all the 49ers need to clinch a first-round bye.

     # 2 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 3)
                    The Saints' record-setting peformance on Monday should make a possible Wild Card rematch with Atlanta very interesting.

     # 1 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
                    With nothing substantial left to play for, having already clinched a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, the Packers just have to decide if they would prefer the Lions to go into the playoffs as the #6 seed or the #5 seed.



Week 16 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - San Diego Chargers (-6), Seattle Seahawks (-6), New York Jets (-4), Chicago Bears (-3), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

The Biggest Movers - New York Giants (+7), Oakland Raiders (+6), Denver Broncos (+4), Philadelphia Eagles (+3), Buffalo Bills (+3)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Green Bay Packers (1), Baltimore Ravens (5), Miami Dolphins (24), Jacksonville Jaguars (27), Cleveland Browns (28)


Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVI Favorite ~ After Week 16

Green Bay Packers


Check back tomorrow for week 17 predictions.

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