Thursday, December 11, 2014

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 14 (2014)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
                    I keep expecting more from the Titans than I probably should. I don't know why.

     # 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
                    I think we can finally put to rest the hopes of the Buccaneers making the playoffs as a 5-11 division champion. Even the 2014 NFC South is not that bad.

     # 30 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 30)
                    The Jaguars keep playing with spirit, despite being on the short side of the stick this season.

     # 29 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
                    The Raiders just possibly embarrassed their future head coach if some of the rumors can be believed.

     # 28 - New York Jets (previous: 31)
                    If Rex Ryan survives this season, I'll be shocked.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Washington Redskins (previous: 26)
                    The Redskins are done for the year. They should give RGIII the final games of the season to prove himself, otherwise there will be too many questions for them at quarterback heading into 2015.

     # 26 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
                    The Panthers played inspired football on Sunday and showed they weren't ready to give up on the season yet. Here's hoping Cam Newton can recover from his car accident injuries quickly.

     # 25 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
                    Can the Giants win just enough games to keep Coughlin coaching for another season?

     # 24 - Chicago Bears (previous: 24)
                    Chicago needs a defense, plain and simple.

     # 23 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
                    Do the Saints even want to win the division?

     # 22 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
                    The Falcons are the only team still playing with fire in their belly in the lowly NFC South.

     # 21 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 19)
                    Maybe the 49ers would show a bit more focus if there weren't so many rumors swirling around their head coach.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 22)
                    Defense wins championships. Too bad the Rams couldn't find their groove until the season was already lost.

     # 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 18)
                    With the season on the line the Browns are going back to Johnny Football.

     # 18 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 16)
                    The Bills have to win out and get some help.

     # 17 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 10)
                    The Dolphins may have just lost a chance at making the playoffs. One more loss will most likely be the end of them.

     # 16 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 12)
                    The Chiefs just aren't doing enough to get back into the playoff chase.

     # 15 - Houston Texans (previous: 17)
                    A huge game against Indianapolis this week will let us know just how much fight the Texans have in them.

     # 14 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
                    The Chargers had a golden opportunity to upset the Patriots, but just couldn't make anything happen in the second half.

     # 13 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 14)
                    They are still in first place, but does anybody really think they are the best team in the AFC North?



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 15)
                    The Steelers crushed the Bengals on Sunday and made the AFC North more competitive than ever with just three games left in the regular season.

     # 11 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 13)
                    Baltimore may be the best all-around team in the competitive AFC North.

     # 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 7)
                    The Lions keep winning, although nobody would be surprised if they dropped a few games to close out the season and just missed getting into the playoffs.

     # 9 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 9)
                    A big win on Thursday night followed by some extra rest before a huge rematch with the Eagles. Dallas' playoff hopes will take a huge step forward or a huge step backward following that game. There is no middle ground for them.

     # 8 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 3)
                    The Eagles were completely shut down at home by the Seahawks. A division-defining matchup with the Cowboys looms on Sunday night.

     # 7 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 6)
                    Power running game and a shutdown defense. Looks like Seattle is returning to its Super Bowl champion form.

     # 6 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 21)
                    The Vikings are the first team all season to achieve the rarest of feats - score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD! Normally that would rocket a team to the top of Creative Misfortune's power rankings, but since the Vikings have struggled to a 6-7 record this year, the best I can rank them is 6th overall. For those of you scoring at home, this is what an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD looks like in the play-by-play:

2-4-NYJ 23 (2nd Qtr 13:44) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep middle to 12-Ch.Johnson to NYJ 1 for 22 yards (37-J.Jarrett) [98-Q.Coples]. FUMBLES (37-J.Jarrett), recovered by MIN-42-J.Felton at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN.




The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
                    A win is a win, but a lot more was expected out of the Colts in a game versus the Browns.

     # 4 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 8)
                    After a few dropped games, Arizona gets back into the win column to keep some separation between them and the Seahawks.

     # 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 4)
                    Uh oh, the Broncos can win a game without Peyton Manning throwing a touchdown pass. That could bode well for their playoff run.

     # 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 1)
                    Green Bay's offense is nigh unstoppable. The defense giving up almost 40 points to the Falcons is a bit concerning.

     # 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 2)
                    The Patriots struggled early, but were finally able to put away the Chargers with a big win on the road to maintain their pole position in the AFC playoff chase.



Week 14 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Miami Dolphins (-7), Philadelphia Eagles (-5), Kansas City Chiefs (-4), Tennessee Titans (-4), Detroit Lions (-3)

The Biggest Movers - Minnesota Vikings (+15), Arizona Cardinals (+4), Pittsburgh Steelers (+3), New York Jets (+3), Oakland Raiders (+3)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Indianapolis Colts (5), Dallas Cowboys (9), Chicago Bears (24), New York Giants (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (30)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 14

AFC Favorite:

New England Patriots



NFC Favorite:

Green Bay Packers



Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.

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