Despite the weapons that Seattle has
at their disposal – a star quarterback, a power running game, a solid receiving
corps and a strong offensive line - the Seahawks offense will be no match for
the crafty Patriots if their defense can't slow down Brady and the interesting
array of formations New England has in store for them.
The Patriots, for their part, have
improved greatly on defense during the second half of the season. The defense
is not one that strikes fear into their opponents, since their offense often
gives them a good lead to work with, but New England has played solid defense
throughout the season, aside from a game or two. The Patriots will have to play
better than average defense if they want to slow down Seattle's power running
game so they can get Tom Brady and his charges back on the field. It's always
easier to play defense when your offense gives you a 21-point lead to work
with.
Super Bowl XLIX Statistical Matchup
*Note: None of these stats “mean”
anything, but let’s have fun with them anyway… Numbers include playoff games
Stat Keys:
Passing Points = Total Passing
Touchdowns + ½ Total Field Goal Points
Rushing Points = Total Rushing
Touchdowns + ½ Total Field Goal Points
Points per Passing Yard = Passing
Points / Total Yards Passing
Points per Rushing Yard = Rushing
Points / Total Yards Rushing
Category
|
Seahwks Offense vs
|
NE Defense Allowed
|
When They Collide…
|
Rushing Values
|
|||
Rushing Points
|
186
|
85
|
|
Rushing Yards
|
3056
|
1888
|
Each rushing yard worth
|
Points per Rushing Yard
|
0.061
|
0.045
|
0.053
|
At their Best (DEF worst)
|
350 yards
|
218 yards
|
284 yards = 15.1 pts = 15 pts
|
2014 Average
|
170 yards
|
105 yards
|
138 yards = 7.3 pts = 7 pts
|
At their Worst (DEF Best)
|
80 yards
|
19 yards
|
50 yards = 2.6 pts = 3 pts
|
Passing Values
|
|||
Passing Points
|
187
|
212
|
|
Passing Yards
|
3701
|
4255
|
Each passing yard worth
|
Points per Passing Yard
|
0.051
|
0.050
|
0.051
|
At their Best (DEF Worst)
|
329 yards
|
429 yards
|
379 yards = 19.3 pts = 19 pts
|
2014 Average
|
206 yards
|
236 yards
|
221 yards = 11.3 pts = 11 pts
|
At their Worst (DEF Best)
|
126 yards
|
126 yards
|
126 yards = 6.4 pts = 6 pts
|
Projected Score Breakdown
|
Rushing + Passing
|
Combined Points
|
|
At their Best
|
15 pts + 19 pts
|
34
|
|
2014 Average
|
7 pts + 11 pts
|
18
|
|
At their Worst
|
3 pts + 6 pts
|
9
|
Projected
Super Bowl XLIX Score for the Seattle Seahawks: 20 points
Based on the New England projections
from yesterday versus the Seattle defense -
If both offenses come out blazing
and the defenses stumble, expect Seattle to
win a very close shoot-out, 34-33.
If both teams play as they have
tended to play all season, expect the game to go into overtime with both teams
having scored 17 points. All bets
are off at that point.
If a knock-down, drag-out defensive
struggle takes place, expect the Seahawks to win on the strength of
field goals by the score of 9-7.
If Seattle comes out playing perfect and New England plays like they have in recent Super Bowls, expect the Seahawks to cruise to their second
straight Super Bowl title by a projected score of 34-7.
If New England comes out playing perfect and Seattle plays like they did the first three-and-a-half quarters
against Green Bay in the NFC Championship game, expect the Patriots to run away with their fourth Super Bowl championship by a
projected score of 33-9.
Based on these statistical
comparisons, if the Patriots hope to win, they need their offense to be on fire
or their defense to be on fire. If both units play average, expect the Seahawks
to be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy after the game.
Check back tomorrow to see how these
two Super Bowl franchises stack up to each other both in history and
intangibles…
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