Predictions started out solid with the early games, but after impressive wins by Denver, Dallas, New England and Seattle prediction accuracy went to hell in a hand-basket pretty quickly. See detailed results below for all systems.
Thursday Night Game Result:
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Atlanta, 26-21)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 23-17. In a tight game, home field advantage and offensive miscues by the Ravens will allow the Falcons to take this one.
Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Baltimore looks good, but I'm still not a believer in their offense.
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 23-21. Atlanta by 1, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 21-17. Baltimore 57% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Atlanta, 28-23. Atlanta won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Both teams at 6-2, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
Stingy defensive play in the first half gave way to outstanding offensive play late in the fourth quarter as both young quarterbacks worked their two-minute drills to perfection. Flacco, unfortunately, led his game-winning drive too efficiently and left just enough time for Matt Ryan to answer with his own game-winning drive. All pick systems, except Accuscore, get this game correctly, deferring to the home team on a short week, but Accuscore nailed the Ravens score perfectly.
Sunday Game Results:
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills (Actual ~ Buffalo, 14-12)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Buffalo, 21-13. If Buffalo can't win this game at home, Detroit's 0-16 record of futility may be duplicated.
Scottie V's Pick: Buffalo, 21-17. They've been knocking on the door for the last several weeks... This time they kick it down.
Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo, 24-20. Buffalo by 3, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Buffalo, 24-13. Buffalo 67% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Buffalo, 21-15. Buffalo won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17. Detroit better at 2-6.
Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo, 20-17
The Bills narrowly escape with a much-needed victory after giving up a horrible, late touchdown to the Lions. How can you not cover Calvin Johnson that late in the game? He's all Detroit has. The Lions botch the tying two-point conversion and Buffalo avoids becoming an 0-9 team, but sitting at 1-8 is not much better. Only blindly picking the team with the best record ends up being the wrong answer.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Chicago, 27-13)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 31-27. The Bears will win a wild game in Chicago after both teams commit numerous turnovers.
Scottie V's Pick: Minnesota, 24-14. The Vikes ride last week's momentum to a win over their division rival.
Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota, 23-21. Minnesota by 1, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 24-21. Minnesota won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 5-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
The Bears all but put the nail in the Vikings coffin as a bad loss on the road will just make all the drama in Minnesota worse over the next week as the Vikings gear up to play Green Bay. For their part, Chicago moved into a first-place tie with the Packers and widened their division lead over the Vikings to three games. Most human-based systems had faith in another Vikings miracle, with only Creative Misfortune showing the same brilliance as the blind pick systems.
New York Jets at Cleveland Browns (Actual ~ New York, 26-20 (OT))
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 23-20. As much as the Jets loved seeing the New England Patriots get destroyed in Cleveland last week, reality set in when they realized they would be traveling to the Dawg Pound this week.
Scottie V's Pick: Cleveland, 23-16. Not a believer in the Jets O and the Browns are riding high.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 21-17. New York by 3, Over/Under 38.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 17-16. New York 51% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 24-12. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 6-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17
Really, New York? Once again you need every last second of an overtime period to dispatch a plucky, sub-500 opponent? Regardless of how long it took them to finally close out the game, the Jets prove they can do what New England couldn't - win a game in the Dawg Pound. Only Scottie V and picking the Home Team suffered for their misplaced faith in the Browns.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Actual ~ Tampa Bay, 31-16)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Tampa Bay, 24-10. The Bucs have everything yet to play for and Carolina is just trying to survive the rest of the season.
Scottie V's Pick: Tampa Bay, 27-13. Injury-riddled Panthers are fading fast.
Vegas Lines Pick: Tampa Bay, 23-14. Tampa Bay by 7, Over/Under 37.
Accuscore Pick: Tampa Bay, 27-9. Tampa Bay 75% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Tampa Bay, 17-16. Tampa Bay won 2 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17. Tampa Bay better at 5-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17
No surprises here as Tampa Bay does what good team should do - defeat struggling teams already playing for next season.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (Actual ~ Jacksonville, 31-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Houston, 27-24. Desperation is setting in and Houston will find their confidence against the weakest of their division rivals.
Scottie V's Pick: Houston, 24-23. The Texans pull out a win to stay close in the AFC South race.
Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville, 26-24. Jacksonville by 1.5, Over/Under 49.5.
Accuscore Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville 55% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Houston, 28-27. Houston won 2 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Both teams at 4-4, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17
Note to self... Bat the ball OUT of bounds on any weird, meaningless Hail Mary plays at the end of regulation when your team has a chance to win the game. Houston fails in epic fashion and slips below .500, seriously damaging their chance of making the playoffs for the first time in franchise history. Mixed prediction results abound as Vegas, Accuscore and the blind picks get the win, while Creative Misfortune, Scottie V and What If Sports come up short.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 23-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-20. After nearly winning last week on a grass field, the Colts find their speed again at home and run roughshod over the reeling Bengals
Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 31-17. Cincy starts to unravel as their playoff hopes are dashed.
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 28-20. Indianapolis by 7, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-14. Indianapolis 64% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Indianapolis, 16-14. Indianapolis won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 5-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17
Much to the chagrin of fantasy owners everywhere, the Colts have started to establish a running game inside the red zone. Indianapolis lets Cincinnati make this game closer than it should have been, but stiff defensive play at the end finishes off Cincinnati's season. All systems get this game correct and three hit the Bengals losing number perfectly.
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (Actual ~ Miami, 29-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Tennessee, 30-20. Fully rested after the bye week, Coach Fisher will have this team - including Randy Moss - primed and ready to take another decisive step towards the playoffs.
Scottie V's Pick: Tennessee, 27-21. The Titans show their might in a big road win.
Vegas Lines Pick: Tennessee, 23-20. Tennessee by 2, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Miami, 21-17. Miami 56% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 21-10. Tennessee won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17. Tennessee better at 5-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17
A big-time unexpected result in South Florida as Chad Henne, benched prior to the game, leads Miami to a dominating 12-point victory over the Titans, who stumble out of their bye week and fall behind Indianapolis is the standings. Only What If Sports and blindly picking the Home Team scores on this unexpected result.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ Denver, 49-29)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 24-17. The Chiefs did everything right in Oakland last week, except close out the game. They correct those little mistakes this week in Denver.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 27-17. Despite last week's tough loss, KC is playing at a high level... Denver, not so much.
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 23-21. Kansas City by 1, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 17-16. Kansas City 51% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 24-20. Kansas City won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 5-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17
A shoot-out in the AFC West goes horribly wrong for the favored Chiefs as they get completely destroyed by the Broncos. Denver turns the West into a sprint to the finish with their victory. Oakland and Kansas City share the lead, with the hot San Diego Chargers just a game behind. All systems miss this pick except blindly picking the home team. A total shocker of a game, but not nearly as shocking as...
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (Actual ~ Dallas, 33-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 38-14. I shudder to think how bad Dallas will look in this game.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 24-20. The Jason Garrett era shows some promise, but the Giants are too tough.
Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 30-16. New York by 13.5, Over/Under 46.
Accuscore Pick: New York, 31-6. New York 84% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New York, 24-14. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 6-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17
All systems had the Cowboys dead and buried as they traveled to New York. The lights may have gone out at the stadium, but there is still a faint pulse in Dallas' season as they win one in dramatic fashion for new interim head coach Jason Garrett. The Giants look downright flawed and mortal as the Cowboys score early and often on them. All systems miss this pick, but at least the blind picks had New York's number right.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (Actual ~ Seattle, 36-18)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 23-20. The Seahawks won't have Brett Favre to rally them for any fourth quarter heroics.
Scottie V's Pick: Arizona, 24-23. The Cardinals showed a pulse in Minnesota last week... This week they get the W.
Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona, 24-20. Arizona by 3, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Arizona, 21-17. Arizona 57% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 24-20. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17. Seattle better at 4-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17
Nearly all systems swing and miss in the desert as Seattle, another team left for dead a week ago, doubles-up the Arizona Cardinals and knocks them further back in the standings. The return of Matt Hasselbeck does wonders for Seattle's passing game as he lights up the Cardinals for over 300 yards and 1 touchdown.
St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (Actual ~ San Francisco, 23-20 (OT))
Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Francisco, 24-20. During the bye week, the 49ers realized, "Hey, we could still win this thing..."
Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 23-21. The Niners return from across the pond and beat the improving Rams.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 23-16. San Francisco by 6, Over/Under 37.5.
Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 24-10. San Francisco 70% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 16-13. San Francisco won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 4-4.
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17
Despite rallying late to force overtime, St. Louis stumbles in their trip out west and falls out of first place after Seattle's impressive win in Arizona. San Francisco pulls closer in the standings and is still by no means out of the division race. Nearly all systems have this game correct and most have at least half the score perfect, but only blindly picking the team with the best record ends up with the short end of the stick.
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (Actual ~ New England, 39-26)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-16. If Cleveland's defense can work the Patriots over, just think what Pittsburgh's can do.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-20. The Steelers buck their recent trend and actually outplay their opponent in the 4th quarter... A solid Pats team drops their second in a row.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 26-21. Pittsburgh by 4.5, Over/Under 45.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-16. Pittsburgh 60% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 26-14. Pittsburgh won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Both teams at 6-2, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17
Tom Brady lights up Heinz Field putting the Steelers, a team he has owned during his career, and all prediction systems to shame. Who knew New England would be so angry at the new #1 Creative Elite team after their inability to defeat Cleveland knocked them out of the top spot of the power rankings. A slow, defensive game in the first half turned into a wildly entertaining shootout as both teams combined for 52 second-half points. Both Vegas and What If Sports had Pittsburgh's score perfect, but nobody - and I mean nobody - expected the New England Patriots to put up 39 points against the #1 defense in the league.
Teams on a bye this week -
Green Bay Packers ~ Fell into a tie with the Chicago Bears after the Bears knocked off the Vikings.
New Orleans Saints ~ Slipped a full game behind the Falcons after Atlanta defeated the Ravens on Thursday.
Oakland Raiders ~ Moved into a first-place tie with Kansas City after the Broncos crushed the Chiefs.
San Diego Chargers ~ Pulled within one game of the division lead after Kansas City dropped two straight divisional games.
Come back tomorrow to view the final prediction standings following the Monday Night Game and the complete week 10 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results.
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