Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Week 12 - Roundup of Creative Misfortune - Monday Game

Monday Night Result:

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (Actual ~ San Francisco, 27-6)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 17-14. Neither team is very good, but since they both play in the NFC West, they each still have dreams of winning the division title.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 23-17. Not exactly a prime matchup for Monday night, but what are you going to do?
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 21-19. San Francisco by 1, Over/Under 40.
     Accuscore Pick: Arizona, 14-13. Both teams tied with 50% win confidence, advantage home
     What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 21-17. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17. Both teams at 3-7, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17

     The San Francisco 49ers dominated the Cardinals from start to finish and looked about as good as a 3-7 team can look... when beating up another 3-7 team. At 4-7, San Francisco is only one game out of the division lead with 5 games to play (with 3 against division opponents). Arizona still has slight playoff aspirations, but is on serious life support and would have already been put out of commission if they played in a different division. Most prediction systems backed the home team. Only the masterminds in Vegas and Scottie V had the vision to pick San Francisco to win this game on the road.



     No system managed to get to the 70% mark this week, but the Vegas Picks, Accuscore and Best Record systems all came extremely close. Whereas blindly picking the team with the Best Record produced near 70% accuracy, blindly picking the Home Team finished below 50%, only getting 7 out of 16 possible games correct. Although, one of those 7 picks ended up being perfect.

Week 12 Final Prediction Scoreboard...
     Vegas Picks: 11-5 (season overall: 113-63) *2 Perfect Picks
     Accuscore: 11-5 (season overall: 110-66)
     Best Record Wins Pick11-5 (season overall: 104-72) *3 Perfect Picks
     Creative Misfortune: 10-6 (season overall: 100-76) *1 Perfect Pick
     Scottie V's: 9-7 (season overall: 107-69)
     What If Sports: 9-7 (season overall: 93-83)  
     Home Team Wins Pick: 7-9 (season overall: 100-76) *3 Perfect Picks
    
    
Check back later today for the Week 12 results of the Creative Misfortune feature "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring...". The regular season has come to an end. Who punched tickets to the fantasy playoffs?

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