Thursday, September 26, 2013

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 3 (2013)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
                    Seriously, Jacksonville. Just bring Tebow in now. There are questions at quarterback and the only way you can energize fans to actually want to come see the Jaguars lose is if Tim Tebow is on the roster. Sure, it may be a failed experiment, but what has worked for you lately?

     # 31 - New York Giants (previous: 28)
                    Even bad teams don't look as horrible as the Giants this past Sunday. Who knows what is going on, but I'm sure this is all David Wilson's fault somehow. Or maybe it is just that the Giants aren't very good this year.

     # 30 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 30)
                    There were some bright spots on Sunday night against the Bears, but those bright spots are easily forgotten once you see the huge number of points Chicago, a historical offensive juggernaut, put up against this once proud Steel Curtain.

     # 29 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 25)
                    The defense is playing solid, but the offense just can't seem to move the ball.

     # 28 - Washington Redskins (previous: 29)
                    Maybe RGIII shouldn't have rushed his return. The Redskins may still be 0-3, but at least they wouldn't be taking as much heat as they are now.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 26)
                    How can you lose to the Browns? At home? Against a second-start quarterback?

     # 26 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 24)
                    10 points in the last two games? Nobody knows what is going on with the 49ers these days.

     # 25 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 21)
                    The Rams took a step back against Dallas this past weekend, but this is a young team full of potential.

     # 24 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 19)
                    Safety Rashad Johnson lost the tip of his finger last week against the Saints… and stayed in the game. If only heart always superceded talent on the scoreboard, the Cardinals would have been victors on Sunday.

     # 23 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 31)
                    They are not giving up on the season! Ok, so beat somebody other than the Minnesota Vikings and prove it.

     # 22 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 17)
                    In an alternate world, Janikowski attempts, and makes, that 68-yard field goal to end the first half on Monday night, changing the fortunes of the Raiders in 2013… They go on to upset the Broncos on another last-second field goal, win 10 of their remaining games to steal the division title, upset the Broncos, Bengals and Patriots in the playoffs and Terrelle Pryor scrambles for the game-winning touchdown in the Super Bowl with mere seconds left on the clock as Russell Wilson watches in dismay from the Seattle sideline!!!! But, sadly, that doesn't happen. Instead of attempting the FG, the Raiders try a lame Hail Mary attempt and their hopes for the future, much like Pryor, get sacked. More's the pity, I say.

     # 21 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
                    So close to defeating the Jets, the Bills are once again headed for the cellar of the AFC East.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 20)
                    So much for that fast-paced, blur offense. The Eagles only rank in the middle of teams when it comes to plays run per game. Their defense has to force more 3-and-outs in order for Kelly's Oregon Eagles to be as successful as they want to be.

     # 19 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
                    Either the Giants are really that bad or the Panthers took a huge step forward last weekend. They still may be the odd team out of the division race, but they certainly have some confidence now.

     # 18 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 11)
                    Ouch! That last second drive by the Dolphins really hurt the Falcons. Just three games in, they are already two full games behind the Saints in the standings.

     # 17 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 14)
                    Can't really fault them for losing a close one in Tennessee.

     # 16 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 9)
                    The Packers are quickly falling into must-win territory with the Bears still undefeated and the Lions playing strong.

     # 15 - New York Jets (previous: 22)
                    The Jets are still winning ugly, but unlike past seasons, they are winning. Looks like we have definitely seen the end of Mark Sanchez's inaccurate reign of terror.

     # 14 - Houston Texans (previous: 4)
                    The Texans have been hit or miss so far this year. That doesn't translate to another playoff appearance. That translates to a disappointing 8-8 season.

     # 13 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 23)
                    The Ravens scored 30 points without a running game. What is this world coming to?



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
                    One of the surprise teams of the early season, the Titans could easily be undefeated still if they had not allowed that late-game rally to the Texans two weeks ago.

     # 11 - Detroit Lions (previous: 15)
                    Nothing like winning for the first time in Washington since… forever.

     # 10 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 10)
                    A great, comeback win against Green Bay. The Bengals of old would have quit after the Packers rolled them during the second and third quarters, but not these 2013 Bengals.

     # 9 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 13)
                    A great win on the road over the defending NFC champions has tabled all talk of a sophomore season slump for Luck.

     # 8 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 12)
                    The best team in the NFC East! That isn't saying much, but the Cowboys have rediscovered their running game and the division looks like theirs to lose.

     # 7 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 8)
                    Huge win over Atlanta on Sunday. The defense keeps the Dolphins in games and now it looks like the offense can actually win them.

     # 6 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 7)
                    The Chiefs may not be for real, but they certainly impressed me after their solid victory over the Eagles last week.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 6)
                    If the Saints can continue to play defense - something sorely lacking last season - New Orleans should find themselves back in the playoffs come January.

     # 4 - New England Patriots (previous: 3)
                    Despite all the missing parts, the Patriots just keep on winning.

     # 3 - Chicago Bears (previous: 5)
                    The Chicago defense is generating points again and the offense is moving the ball better than they have in years.

     # 2 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 2)
                    The Seahawks are the only team playing remotely close to the level of the Broncos right now. With the rest of their division falling apart, the Seahawks are already playing for the NFC's #1 overall seed in the playoffs.

     # 1 - Denver Broncos (previous: 1)
                    Outstanding, record-breaking offense. Stout, solid defense. Great home-field advantage. Can anything stop the Broncos?



Week 3 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Houston Texans (-10), Green Bay Packers (-7), Atlanta Falcons (-7), Oakland Raiders (-5), Arizona Cardinals (-5)

The Biggest Movers - Baltimore Ravens (+10), Carolina Panthers (+8), Cleveland Browns (+8), New York Jets (+7), Dallas Cowboys (+4)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Denver Broncos (1), Seattle Seahawks (2), Cincinnati Bengals (10), Philadelphia Eagles (20), Pittsburgh Steelers (30), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 3

 Denver Broncos

Check back later today for Thursday Night Game predictions...

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