Friday, November 26, 2010

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 12

Three games are in the books and only picking the home team failed to get all Thanksgiving Day games correctly. Hopefully all other systems will continue their perfect runs as our focus turns to the remaining week 12 games.

Thanksgiving Game Results:

New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (Actual ~ New England, 45-24)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 27-21. The Patriots efficiency on offense will make up for their defense allowing multiple Touchdowns to Calvin Johnson.
     Scottie V's Pick: New England, 27-17. The Lions get their annual Thanksgiving-Day helping of defeat at the hands of the red-hot Patriots.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 30-21. New England by 7, Over/Under 50.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New England, 28-9. New England 78% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New England, 28-17. New England won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 8-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17

     The Turkey Day woes continue for the Detroit Lions as they get blown out again at home. Tom Brady lights up the scoreboard with 4 touchdowns, 2 to the shifty Wes Welker, and New England improves to an NFL best 9-2 record on the season. All systems, except blindly picking the home team, get this game correct, though no system expected a combined score of 69 points.


New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (Actual ~ New Orleans, 30-27)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 27-17. Dallas won last year in a game they had to have against a Saints team that didn't need the figure. The roles are reversed this week and if the Cowboys had enough pride to win this game, they wouldn't be sitting at 3-7 now.
     Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-21. Jason Garrett gets his first loss as the Saints roll into town.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-24. New Orleans by 3.5, Over/Under 50.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 24-13. New Orleans 66% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 23-21. New Orleans won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 7-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas, 20-17

     New Orleans jumped out to an early 17 point lead and the rout was on, but Dallas fought back and made the game by far the most entertaining of the Thanksgiving Day offerings. After the Saints offense ground to a halt and Reggie Bush and Jimmy Graham each made key mistakes, Dallas took the lead late and had a chance to put the game. Then Roy Williams made the mistake of the game when he had the ball stripped away from him after a near game-clinching 47-yard reception. All systems, except picking the home team, barely walk away with a victory.


Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets (Actual ~ New York, 26-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 35-21. The Jets should be able to put this game away long before the fourth quarter starts, but the Bengals' vaunted gaarbage time offense will make the final score closer than it should be.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-13. Stupid Jets. It pained me to see them sneak away with wins the last two weeks... This one should come easier for them.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 27-17. New York by 8.5, Over/Under 43.5.
     Accuscore Pick: NY Jets, 27-10. NY Jets 74% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: NY Jets, 20-9. NY Jets won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 8-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

     The second half woes for Cincinnati continue as they turn a solid 7-3 halftime lead into a terrible 26-10 loss after the break. The Jets roar back with two scintillating touchdowns by Brad Smith - one on an end around, the other on a kickoff return - to keep pace with the New England Patriots in the standings. All systems get this game correctly, with Accuscore receiving honorable mention for having Cincinnati's final total picked perfectly.


Sunday Game Score Predictions:

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-21. In a battle of two Creative Elite teams, I think the team with the best record will win at home this week.
     Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-24. Could be an exciting game, but I think Green Bay has too many weapons.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 26-23. Atlanta by 2, Over/Under 47.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 21-17. Green Bay 56% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 20-17. Green Bay won 2 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 8-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 28-17. The Bills are flying high, but it's easy to fly high against the Lions and Bengals. The Steelers are a different animal altogether.
     Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-17. Just my luck that the Steelers draw the Bills at their high point in the season... That being said, I think the Steelers' D will overwhelm.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-20. Pittsburgh by 6.5, Over/Under 43.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 28-10. Pittsburgh 76% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-14. Pittsburgh won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 7-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo, 20-17

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Philadelphia, 21-17. The Eagles are more real than the Bears, but Chicago has a stout enough defense to be able to contain Vick enough to keep the score close.
     Scottie V's Pick: Philadelphia, 24-17. Vick will cool off sooner rather than later, but not this week... Cutler assures an Eagle victory by throwing 3 interceptions.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 24-20. Philadelphia by 3.5, Over/Under 42.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 24-10. Philadelphia 68% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 16-10. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Both teams at 7-3, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Cleveland, 31-10. The Browns almost won most of their recent games. They break through with another win against a Carolina team with no hope for the rest of the season.
     Scottie V's Pick: Cleveland, 27-10. The Panthers are a mess.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cleveland, 24-14. Cleveland 9, Over/Under 38.
     Accuscore Pick: Cleveland, 24-10. Cleveland 68% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Cleveland, 21-20. Cleveland won 2 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17. Cleveland better at 3-7.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Washington, 20-14. The Vikings haven't played well on the road, on grass, recently. Firing Childress won't change that.
     Scottie V's Pick: Washington, 23-20. New coach in Minny, but the same results... Oh, how Brett Favre wishes he would have ditched Coach Chilly at the airport in August!
     Vegas Lines Pick: Washington, 23-21. Washington by 1.5, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Minnesota, 21-17. Minnesota 56% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 28-23. Minnesota won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17. Washington better at 5-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 24-20. Both teams are playoff contenders, but Baltimore is not playing with house money like Tampa Bay.
     Scottie V's Pick: Tampa Bay, 23-21. Please Tampa Bay! Get this done!!!
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 26-16. Baltimore by 7.5, Over/Under 41.
     Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 28-10. Baltimore 76% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Tampa Bay, 17-16. Tampa Bay won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Both teams at 7-3, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Houston, 28-20. Both franchises are spinning out of control, but Houston has the offensive firepower to be able to outlast a Titans team embroiled in petty, locker-room politics.
     Scottie V's Pick: Houston, 30-17. Heartbreak Houston gets some good fortune and wins this one handily... Vince Young is an idiot.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston, 27-20. Houston by 6.5, Over/Under 45.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Houston, 24-13. Houston 67% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 30-23. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17. Tennessee better at 5-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 28-24. Back in New York, the Giants defeat the Jaguars, but not until after they survive some fourth quarter drama.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 27-23. Eli rights the ship and gets a much-needed victory.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 28-17. New York by 7.5, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: NY Giants, 26-10. NY Giants 72% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: NY Giants, 24-12. NY Giants won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. Both teams at 6-4, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 24-13. The Chiefs remembered how to win and Seattle will provide little more challange than Arizona did last week.
     Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 24-20. Aided by two raucous Chiefs' fans who made the trip from Vancouver, KC gets a big road win to keep its edge in the AFC West.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 24-21. Kansas City by 1.5, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 21-16. Kansas City 60% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 21-10. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 6-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17

Miami Dolphins at Oakland Raiders
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Oakland, 16-10. The Raiders were humbled in Pittsburgh last week. They get back on track against the Dolphins.
     Scottie V's Pick: Oakland, 27-14. The Dolphins will be hankering to bring their talents back to South Beach after a whoopin' in the Bay.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Oakland, 21-17. Oakland by 3, Over/Under 38.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Oakland, 14-13. Both teams tied with 50% win confidence, advantage home
     What If Sports Pick: Oakland, 21-16. Oakland won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Oakland, 20-17. Both teams at 5-5, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland, 20-17

St. Louis Rams at Denver Broncos
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Denver, 30-20. I hope Denver still isn't shell-shocked by that fake punt San Diego pulled off against them. If they are, this game could get away from them in a hurry.
     Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 20-17. Ummm... I don't know what to expect in this one...
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver, 26-20. Denver by 4, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Denver, 23-14. Denver 62% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Denver, 23-20. Denver won 1 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 4-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17

San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-24. Manning won;t be responsible for the Colts' demise two weeks in a row. In a shoot-out with Philip Rivers, Manning's no-name receivers will be better.
     Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-24. The Colts hold off a feisty Chargers team at home.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 28-24. Indianapolis by 3, Over/Under 51.5.
     Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 17-14. San Diego 52% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 28-14. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 6-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17


Monday Night Score Prediction:

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 17-14. Neither team is very good, but since they both play in the NFC West, they each still have dreams of winning the division title.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 23-17. Not exactly a prime matchup for Monday night, but what are you going to do?
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 21-19. San Francisco by 1, Over/Under 40.
     Accuscore Pick: Arizona, 14-13. Both teams tied with 50% win confidence, advantage home
     What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 21-17. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17. Both teams at 3-7, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17


Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and game recaps for all week 12 Sunday games.

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