Thursday, November 14, 2013

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 10 (2013)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
                    The Jaguars WON!!!

     # 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 31)
                    The Buccaneers WON!!!

     # 30 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 26)
                    Atlanta continues their freefall from near NFL glory to the cellar.

     # 29 - Houston Texans (previous: 27)
                    Statiscally, the Texans aren't nearly as bad as their 2-7 record indicates. Losing Foster for the season, however, could change all of that.

     # 28 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 30)
                    A great win at home, Minnesota still has to figure out who will be their starting quarterback in 2014. I don't think the right man for the job is currently on the roster today.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 22)
                    The Bills almost seemed like they were going somewhere a few weeks ago, but instead they are going nowhere, just like every other season the last ten years.

     # 26 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 25)
                    The potential is there, but youthful mistakes and injuries keep slowing the Raiders down.

     # 25 - Washington Redskins (previous: 23)
                    With the NFC East up for grabs, the Redskins can't afford to blow two-touchdown leads against inferior opponents.

     # 24 - New York Giants (previous: 29)
                    The Giants, despite their terrible start, are still viable contenders in the weak NFC East.

     # 23 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 28)
                    Pittsburgh rebounds with a win after one of their worst defensive performances in franchise history.

     # 22 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 18)
                    The off-field issues have impacted Miami's on-field ability to win games.

     # 21 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 15)
                    How on earth can the Titans lose to the Jacksonville Jaguars?



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 24)
                    Holy cow, St. Louis! Where the heck did that game come from?

     # 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
                    The Browns sat idle last week, and readied themselves for an unlikely run towards a wild card spot.

     # 18 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 16)
                    Overwhelmed by the Broncos at home, San Diego has little chance to steal the division title, but still is very viable for a wild card spot.

     # 17 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 21)
                    The Ravens of old never would have let that game get into overtime. KNOCK THE BALL DOWN!

     # 16 - New York Jets (previous: 14)
                    A winning record coming out of the bye week? Few predicted that for the Jets.

     # 15 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 13)
                    Injuries have ruined Green Bay's season. Will Aaron Rodgers return before the damage is too much for the Packers to overcome?

     # 14 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 17)
                    A surging team in the NFC, they have a nice shot at stealing a wild card spot.

     # 13 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 20)
                    Nick Foles has righted the ship in Philadelphia and now they may just be the team to beat in the weak NFC East.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 11)
                    If Coach Garrett and his staff cannot get this talented, underachieving football team to win the division title this year, of all years, then he should be fired.

     # 11 - Chicago Bears (previous: 12)
                    Like the Packers, injuries have slowed the Bears.

     # 10 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 8)
                    Still in control of the division, the Bengals can't let games against their division rivals slip away.

     # 9 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
                    Ye gods, Indianapolis! What the heck happened?

     # 8 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
                    Just when you think everything is starting to go San Francisco's way, the 49ers get schooled at home after a bye week.

     # 7 - Detroit Lions (previous: 10)
                    The Lions are suddenly the team to beat in the NFC North and are far healthier than their division foes.

     # 6 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 9)
                    Could the Panthers have the best defense in the NFL? Probably not, but they will need them to be as strong as possible if they hope to compete with the high-powered offenses sure to be in the NFC playoffs.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - New England Patriots (previous: 4)
                    The Patriots gained ground in the division during their bye week, but lost ground in the race for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

     # 4 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 7)
                    The scariest part about the Saints win over Dallas on Sunday night was not that Drew Brees threw for nearly 400 yards and 4 touchdowns, it was that Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram and Darren Sproles combined for 244 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns.

     # 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
                    The Broncos can reclaim their spot as the top-ranked team in the AFC with a win over the Chiefs next Sunday night.

     # 2 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 2)
                    The class of the NFC, Seattle now has a two-game lead in the race for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

     # 1 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 1)
                    It doesn't matter how good the defense has played up to this point, or how solid and mistake-free the offense has played, if the Chiefs get blown out in Denver this weekend, everybody will call them "pretenders" and write them off as one of the rare 9-0 flukes in NFL history.



Week 10 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Tennessee Titans (-6), Buffalo Bills (-5), Indianapolis Colts (-4), Miami Dolphins (-4), Atlanta Falcons (-4)

The Biggest Movers - Philadelphia Eagles (+7), Pittsburgh Steelers (+5), New York Giants (+5), Baltimore Ravens (+4), St. Louis Rams (+4)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Kansas City Chiefs (1), Seattle Seahawks (2), Denver Broncos (3), Cleveland Browns (19), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLVIII Favorite ~ After Week 10

 Denver Broncos

Check back later tonight for Thursday Night game predictions.

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