Monday, November 18, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 11 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 11, the eleventh week of predictions showed solid results for most systems.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula won the week again, picking 11 out of 14 games correctly over the weekend for an impressive 78.6% accuracy. The blind Home Team Wins formula also picked 11 out of 14 games correctly.

The Vegas Lines formula finished second, picking 10 out of 14 games correctly for a solid 71.4% accuracy.

All other systems (Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY and the blind Best Record Wins formulas) finished the week picking an above average 9 out of 14 games correctly for 64.3% accuracy.

Almost all systems have the Carolina Panthers upsetting the New England Patriots in tonight's game.


Monday Night Game Prediction:

New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 10
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 2.5, Over/Under 46.5
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 7-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3


Week 11 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records and clinched a spot in the playoffs this week, despite losing in real life?

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