Monday, November 4, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 9 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 9, the ninth week of predictions showed average results for most systems.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula won the week, picking 9 out of 12 games correctly over the weekend for a very solid 75% accuracy.

The blind Home Team Wins formula finished second, picking 8 out of 12 games correctly for an above average 66.7% accuracy.

All other systems (Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY, the Vegas Lines and the blind Best Record Wins formulas) finished the week only picking 7 out of 12 games correctly for a very average 58.3%accuracy.

All systems have the Green Bay Packers winning tonight's game easily over the Chicago Bears.


Monday Night Game Prediction:

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 12. Packers by 12, Over/Under 50
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 5-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3


Week 9 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?

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