Monday, December 16, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 15 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 15, the fifteenth week of predictions ended up being a solid week of predictions for most systems, despite the inclement weather that played havoc with so many games over the weekend.

The Creative Misfortune Home/Away PPY system led the way this week by picking an above-average 10 out of 15 games correctly for a 66.7% accuracy.

Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the Vegas Lines formula did almost as well, picking 9 out of 15 games correctly for an average 60% accuracy.

Both blind pick systems fell short of the other formulas, with the Best Record Wins formula picking 8 of the 15 games correctly (53.3%) and the Home Team Wins formula picking 7 of the 15 games correctly for a below average 46.7% accuracy.

All systems favor the lions in tonight's Monday Night matchup. We'll see what the defending champion Baltimore Ravens have to say about that.

Monday Night Game Prediction:

Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Lions by 6, Over/Under 48.5
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 7-6, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3

"If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." Championship Playoff results will be posted on Wednesday. Who advanced and will be representing the AFC and NFC in Misfortune Bowl III?

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