Monday, December 23, 2013

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 16 (2013)

With one game remaining in week 16, the sixteenth week of predictions ended up being an average week of predictions for most systems, despite the inclement weather and teams fighting xtra hard for playoff positioning.\.

The blind Best record Wins system won this week by picking an above-average 10 out of 15 games correctly for a 66.7% accuracy.

Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the Vegas Lines formula did almost as well, picking 9 out of 15 games correctly for an average 60% accuracy.

Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the blind Home Team Wins system fell short of the other formulas, with the Home/Away PPY formula picking 8 of the 15 games correctly (53.3%) and the Home Team Wins formula picking 7 of the 15 games correctly for a below average 46.7% accuracy.

All systems favor the 49ers in tonight's Monday Night matchup.

Monday Night Game Prediction:

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 15
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 13. 49ers by 12.5, Over/Under 45
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 10-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3


Creative Misfortune's "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." champion will be declared on Christmas Day. Will the Chicago Bears or the New England Patriots emerge victorious?

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