Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 13 (2014)

The fantasy playoffs have started around the country as the real NFL teams make their final push for the playoffs. Hope everybody is enjoying their long holiday weekend!

Sunday Game Predictions:

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills by 2.5, Over/Under 41
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.582 - 0.559
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 66-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Washington Redskins at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 10. Colts by 9.5, Over/Under 51
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 11. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.367
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 14. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 100-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 6. Texans by 6, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 11. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.540 - 0.269
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 4. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-61
     Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at 5-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3

New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 8
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 7. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.366 - 0.180
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 8. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Giants better at 3-8
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings by 3, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.390 - 0.312
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 68-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 4-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5. Steelers by 4.5, Over/Under 53.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.554 - 0.504
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-82
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3

Oakland Raiders at St. Louis Rams
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: St. Louis Rams by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis Rams by 7. Rams by 7, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.324 - 0.242
     Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 4. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Rams better at 4-7
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3

San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Ravens by 5.5, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 5. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.696 - 0.574
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Both teams at 7-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 4. Bengals by 4, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 10. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.530 - 0.293
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 79-70
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 7-3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals by 2.5, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 7. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.621 - 0.459
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 1. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a fantasy score of 68-64
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 9-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3

New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers by 3, Over/Under 58
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 2. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.745 - 0.703
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 1. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-83
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 9-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Broncos by 2, Over/Under 49.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.641
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 76-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 8-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3

Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 13 (2014)

Happy Thanksgiving! May your team not play like turkeys today!

Thanksgiving Day Game Predictions:

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Lions by 7, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.521 - 0.356
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-61
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 7-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys by 3, Over/Under 55
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.626 - 0.614
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-86
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Both teams at 8-3, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1. 49ers by 1, Over/Under 39.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.642 - 0.508
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 63-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. Both teams at 7-4, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3

Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 13 slate...

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 12 (2014)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 31)
                    The Jaguars played the Colts tough for a half, but that's about all they could do.

     # 31 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
                    Yay! The Raiders finally won a game. Now they can coast to a 1-15 finish with pride.

     # 30 - New York Jets (previous: 30)
                    I don't see how Rex Ryan is still coaching the Jets once the season ends, especially after yet another pointless quarterback change.

     # 29 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 26)
                    Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay… is terrible. Can barely score against the woeful Bears.

     # 28 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
                    Tennessee is much better than their record would indicate. At least they are getting their young quarterback valuable experience for the future.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 27)
                    The Panthers are not what anybody expected this year.

     # 26 - Washington Redskins (previous: 29)
                    Why bench RGIII now? Are the Redskins going to the playoffs and they need Colt McCoy to finish out the season?

     # 25 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 23)
                    The Rams are playing great defense, but still will finish the season under .500 and out of the playoff picture.

     # 24 - New York Giants (previous: 25)
                    The Giants had the Cowboys, then Eli Manning made a terrible pass to a wide open receiver near the goal line and the entire game shifted in the Cowboys' favor. This just isn't Little Brother's year.

     # 23 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 22)
                    Hard to believe that the Atlanta Falcons, at 4-7, are currently in first place in their division.

     # 22 - Chicago Bears (previous: 21)
                    Without a defense, the Bears don't scare anybody.

     # 21 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 24)
                    Can all seven losses be considered "moral" victories? The Vikings would be undefeated then.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
                    4-7 and in a tie for first place in their division. Not much else to be said, really.

     # 19 - Houston Texans (previous: 15)
                    Once again injuries are taking their toll on a Texans team.

     # 18 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 19)
                    Playing a "home" game in Detroit? No problem. Sure, it helps when the Jets are on the other sideline.

     # 17 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 17)
                    The 49ers just aren't dominating teams like they have in recent years.

     # 16 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 16)
                    The Chargers are starting to string together some wins.

     # 15 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 18)
                    Back in first place in the AFC North, but the Bengals may be the weakest of the teams in their division.

     # 14 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 13)
                    Great comeback win by Hoyer after struggling early. Nice to see Manziel is having trouble adapting to his role as a backup quarterback. I can't understand why this kid can't just grow up now that he's playing with the big boys.

     # 13 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 11)
                    Tough loss on the road to Denver, but the Dolphins offense has definitely shown it can score some points.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 12)
                    The bye week allowed all the other AFC north teams to catch up to them. How will Pittsburgh respond as the season winds down?

     # 11 - Detroit Lions (previous: 10)
                    The Lions simply look terrible against the elite teams in the league.

     # 10 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 8)
                    The Chiefs fell to the lowly Raiders and may have hurt their playoff hopes in the process.

     # 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 9)
                    The Ravens could be the best all-around team in the extremely competitive AFC North.

     # 8 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 6)
                    It's always fun to play the Jaguars after you get pummeled by a better team.

     # 7 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 2)
                    The Cardinals stumbled in Seattle, but they still are very much in control of their own destiny as the regular season winds down.

     # 6 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 14)
                    Seattle dominates the Cardinals at home to claw their way back into the division race.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 4)
                    Another huge comeback win by the Cowboys on the road. Time to feast on Eagles for Thanksgiving dinner!

     # 4 - Denver Broncos (previous: 7)
                    The Broncos are looking very mortal these days.

     # 3 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 5)
                    Philadelphia continues to win with defense and special teams. A huge Thanksgiving day tilt against the Cowboys should show us exactly how good they really are.

     # 2 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 3)
                    The Packers fell off their 50-point streak a bit against the Vikings, but they are still playing scary good football.

     # 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
                    The Patriots have the tiebreaker advantage now over the Colts and the Broncos. Plus they have the best record in the AFC. Can anybody stop them?



Week 12 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Arizona Cardinals (-5), Houston Texans (-4), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3), Indianapolis Colts (-2), Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

The Biggest Movers - Seattle Seahawks (+8), Denver Broncos (+3), Cincinnati Bengals (+3), Minnesota Vikings (+3), Washington Redskins (+3)

Maintaining The Status Quo - New England Patriots (1), Baltimore Ravens (9), Pittsburgh Steelers (12), San Diego Chargers (16), San Francisco 49ers (17), New Orleans Saints (20), Carolina Panthers (27), Tennessee Titans (28), New York Jets (30)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 12

AFC Favorite:



New England Patriots




NFC Favorite:

Philadelphia Eagles




Check back later today for Thanksgiving Day game predictions.

Week 12 Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."

The fantasy football regular season has come to end! After a lot of close games over the weekend, the playoff schedule has been set.

In week 12, only the New Orleans Saints managed to win a fantasy game they lost in real life. The Saints head into the playoffs now with a 7-4 fantasy record, despite only being 4-7 in real life.

High score of the week goes to the Denver Broncos, who scored 104 points against the Miami Dolphins. Other teams hitting the century mark this week were the Philadelphia Eagles (101), who clinched the NFC East title with their victory, and the Buffalo Bills (101), who had already been eliminated from playoff contention.

Low score falls to the New York Jets at 19 points. Already long gone from the fantasy playoff picture, the Jets certainly played like their season was over.

Closest Game of the Week: New Orleans Saints 93, Baltimore Ravens 92. The Saints struggle mightily in real-life, but in the fantasy world they are solid division champions and a full three games above .500. They once again steal a fantasy victory, despite falling short in real life this week.

Fantasy Star of the Week: Justin Forsett, 30 points. Forsett ran all over the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night, but despite his strong effort, the Saints emerged victorious in the fantasy universe.

The following teams have clinched Creative Misfortune playoff spots (weeks 13-16):

AFC Seeds

Division Champions ~
1. New England Patriots (9-2, 975 pts)
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 924 pts)
3. Denver Broncos (7-4, 1,029 pts)
4. Indianapolis Colts (7-4, 990 pts)

Wild Cards ~
5. Cleveland Browns (8-3, 775 pts)
6. Cincinnati Bengals (8-3, 748 pts)

NFC Seeds

Division Champions ~
1. Seattle Seahawks (9-2, 801 pts)
2. Green Bay Packers (8-3, 995 pts)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (7-4, 949 pts)
4. New Orleans Saints (7-4, 864 points)

Wild Cards ~
5. Arizona Cardinals (8-3, 782 pts)
6. Dallas Cowboys (7-4, 882 pts)


Creative Misfortune Playoff Schedule:
Week 13 - Wild Card Games; Top Seeded teams play for "bye-week" advantage*
Week 14 - Divisional Games
Week 15 - Championship Games
Week 16 - Creative Misfortune Fantasy Bowl IV


Wild Card Game Matchups - Week 13
AFC #6 Cincinnati Bengals (playing at Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at
     AFC #3 Denver Broncos (playing at Kansas City Chiefs)

AFC #5 Cleveland Browns (playing at Buffalo Bills) at
     AFC #4 Indianapolis Colts (playing vs Washington Redskins)

NFC #6 Dallas Cowboys (playing vs Philadelphia Eagles) at
     NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles (playing at Dallas Cowboys)

NFC #5 Arizona Cardinals (playing at Atlanta Falcons) at
     NFC #4 New Orleans Saints (playing at Pittsburgh Steelers)

Top Seeds Playing for Bye-Week Advantage*
AFC #1 - New England Patriots (playing at Green Bay Packers)
AFC #2 - Pittsburgh Steelers (playing vs New Orleans Saints)
NFC #1 - Seattle Seahawks (playing at San Francisco 49ers)
NFC #2 - Green Bay Packers (playing vs New England Patriots)

*Bye-week Advantage - To reflect the benefit gained by the top 2 seeds in each conference getting a bye week before they host Divisional Playoff games, the four teams who earn these bye weeks in the fantasy standings will play Week 13 to gain bonus points that will be added to their score in the Divisional Playoff round. For every 4 points they score in their Week 13 game, they will receive 1 bonus point in their Divisional round matchup.

For example, if the New England Patriots scored 80 fantasy points in Week 13 against Green Bay, they would receive 20 bonus points (80/4) for their Divisional matchup. Conversely, if they had an off week and scored 42 fantasy points, they would only receive 10 bonus points (42/4, any fractional points rounded down).

Since there are no bye weeks between the Divisional games and the Championship games, bonus points will only be a factor in the Divisional playoff games.


Week 12 Game Results:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
     Fantasy Score: Oakland Raiders 63, Kansas City Chiefs 61
     Kansas City's Key Performers: Jamaal Charles (18), Alex Smith (17), Anthony Fasano (9)
     Oakland's Key Performers: Latavius Murray (23), James Jones (10), Derek Carr (10)

Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons
     Fantasy Score: Cleveland Browns 81, Atlanta Falcons 73
     Cleveland's Key Performers: Isaiah Crowell (20), Billy Cundiff (13), Josh Gordan (12)
     Atlanta's Key Performers: Matt Ryan (14), Julio Jones (12), Steven Jackson (10)

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
     Fantasy Score: Buffalo Bills 101, New York Jets 19
     New York's Key Performers: Eric Decker (6), Chris Johnson (6), Jeremy Kerley (6)
     Buffalo's Key Performers: Defense (24), Kyle Orton (18), Robert Woods (17)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears
     Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 63, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60
     Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Josh McCown (12), Louis Murphy (11), Mike Evans (10)
     Chicago's Key Performers: Matt Forte (22), Defense (17), Alshon Jeffrey (8)

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
     Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 83, Jacksonville Jaguars 32
     Jacksonville's Key Performers: Defense (10), Blake Bortles (5), Marqise Lee (5)
     Indianapolis' Key Performers: T.Y. Hilton (19), Defense (15), Andrew Luck (14)

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans
     Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 74, Houston Texans 41
     Cincinnati's Key Performers: Jeremy Hill (14), A.J. Green (12), Andy Dalton (11)
     Houston's Key Performers: Defense (7), Randy Bullock (7), Alfred Blue (6)

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
     Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 73, Minnesota Vikings 64
     Green Bay's Key Performers: Eddie Lacy (25), Aaron Rodgers (19), Mason Crosby (7)
     Minnesota's Key Performers: Teddy Bridgewater (19), Charles Johnson (13), Greg Jennings (9)

Detroit Lions at New England Patriots
     Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 94, Detroit Lions 46
     Detroit's Key Performers: Golden Tate (10), Matt Prater (10), Mathew Stafford (9)
     New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (19), LeGarrette Blount (19), Tim Wright (15)

Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles
     Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 101, Tennessee Titans 73
     Tennessee's Key Performers: Zach Mettenberger (19), Delanie Walker (15), Justin Hunter (12)
     Philadelphia's Key Performers: Cody Parkey (20), LeSean McCoy (19), Defense (16)

St. Louis Rams at San Diego Chargers
     Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 79, St. Louis Rams 62
     St. Louis' Key Performers: Defense (14), Stedman Bailey (14), Tavon Austin (9)
     San Diego's Key Performers: Ryan Mathews (16), Defense (14), Philip Rivers 13)

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
     Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 70, Arizona Cardinals 32
     Arizona's Key Performers: Defense (9), John Brown (6), Andre Ellington (5)
     Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (19), Steven Hauschka (15), Defense (14)

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos
     Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 104, Miami Dolphins 73
     Miami's Key Performers: Ryan Tannehill (26), Jarvis Landry (17), Mike Wallace (9)
     Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (28), Demaryius Thomas (26), C.J. Anderson (24)

Washington Redskins at San Francisco 49ers
     Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 65, Washington Redskins 45
     Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (18), Defense (9), Kai Forbath (8)
     San Francisco's Key Performers: Anquan Boldin (19), Colin Kaepernick (13), Defense (11)

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
     Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 90, New York Giants 84
     Dallas' Key Performers: Tony Romo (25), Dez Bryant (20), DeMarco Murray (14)
     New York's Key Performers: Odell Beckham Jr. (26), Eli Manning (23), Rashad Jennings (11)

Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints
     Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 93, Baltimore Ravens 92
     Baltimore's Key Performers: Justin Forsett (30), Steve Smith (14), Joe Flacco (13)
     New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (27), Jimmy Graham (16), Marques Colston (14)

Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 12 (2014)

Almost all systems hit the 70% accuracy mark in week 12 as NFL teams stayed truer to form than most weeks of the season so far.

The Fantasy Projections and the Best Record Wins formulas both picked 11 out of 13 games correctly for an outstanding 84.6% accuracy.

The Vegas Lines system came in third place this week by picking 10 out of 13 games correctly for 76.9% accuracy.

All other systems picked 9 out of 13 games correctly for 69.2% accuracy.

All systems favor the Buffalo Bills to win tonight in their "home" makeup game on the road in Detroit. In the normally scheduled Monday Night game, most systems favor the Ravens to defeat the Saints tonight.


Monday Night Game Predictions:

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4. Bills by 4, Over/Under 39
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.270
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 11. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 5-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 50
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.704 - 0.521
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-78
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3


Week 12 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams punched their ticket to the fantasy fopotball playoffs?

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 12 (2014)

It's cold out there this weekend. Snow, wind chills, temps below freezing... in other words, perfect football weather!


Sunday Game Predictions:

Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons by 3, Over/Under 47
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 4. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.560 - 0.459
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cleveland Browns by 2. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4. Bills by 4, Over/Under 39
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.270
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 11. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 5-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago Bears by 6. Bears by 5.5, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 1. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.330 - 0.297
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 8. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Bears better at 4-6
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 19
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 14. Colts by 14, Over/Under 50.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 17. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.618 - 0.202
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 20. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 113-57
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 1. Texans by 1, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 2. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.568 - 0.508
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 1. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 6-3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 14
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 10. Packers by 9.5, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 13. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.713 - 0.386
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 12. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 92-58
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 7-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

Detroit Lions at New England Patriots
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 7. Patriots by 7, Over/Under 48
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 4. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.717 - 0.609
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 4. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 8-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3

Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 11. Eagles by 11, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.602 - 0.280
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 10. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 7-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3

St. Louis Rams at San Diego Chargers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 5. Chargers by 4.5, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 11. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.575 - 0.313
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 9. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-55
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 7. Seahawks by 6.5, Over/Under 42
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.669 - 0.611
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 66-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 9-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 7. Broncos by 7, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.683 - 0.654
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 6. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 85-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 7-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

Washington Redskins at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 9. 49ers by 9, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 5. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.497 - 0.369
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 5. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 76-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 11
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys by 3, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 11. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.621 - 0.357
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 7. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a fantasy score of 87-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 7-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3


Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 12 (2014)

Unfortunately, this game looks like another Thursday Night blowout, but who knows? Maybe the Raiders will rise up, surprise us, and finally win a game.

All systems, except the blind Home Team Wins formula, favor the Chiefs to win tonight by 11 points.


Thursday Night Game Prediction:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 18
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 9
     Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 7. Chiefs by 7, Over/Under 42.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 19. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.693 - 0.211
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 11. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 74-42
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3. Chiefs better at 7-3
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3


Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 12 slate...

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 11 (2014)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
                    Eventually the Raiders will break through with a win this season, but one is all they will get.

     # 31 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 31)
                    Best part about their bye week, the Jaguars didn't lose.

     # 30 - New York Jets (previous: 29)
                    It's snowing in Buffalo. Wonder how that will ground the Jets?

     # 29 - Washington Redskins (previous: 22)
                    It's Robert Griffin III's fault… and the fault of every other player on the roster and the coaching staff. Chalk up one more lost season in Washington D.C.

     # 28 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
                    The Titans showed some spirit Monday night, but they just are overmatched by most of the other teams in the league.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 25)
                    The Panthers, despite being four games below .500, still control their own playoff destiny. Crazy.

     # 26 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 30)
                    I'd say the Bucs are for real, but we all know beating Washington is not too exciting.

     # 25 - New York Giants (previous: 23)
                    Eli Manning is such a special player. Somebody could tell you he threw 5 touchdowns or 5 interceptions and you wouldn't be shocked by either statement.

     # 24 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 21)
                    Adrian Peterson is truly gone for the rest of the season (pending appeal). Not sure that it matters at this point, since the Vikings won't be making the playoffs.

     # 23 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 27)
                    I doubt the Rams can turn things around enough to finish the season 10-6, but a huge victory over the Broncos has to give them confidence going forward.

     # 22 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 24)
                    Are the Atlanta Falcons seriously in first place in their division? Just how pathetic is the NFC South this year when the best team is a full two games below .500.

     # 21 - Chicago Bears (previous: 26)
                    The Bears can beat the Vikings. Now who else can they beat?



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 17)
                    The Saints constantly find ways to underachieve this season.

     # 19 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
                    As if taking a critical hit to their playoff hopes wasn't bad enough, now the Bills have to deal with 10 feet of snow!

     # 18 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 20)
                    Where have these Bengals been the last month?

     # 17 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 15)
                    The 49ers are a good team, but I don't know what it will take for them to reestablish themselves as a great team this season.

     # 16 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 16)
                    The Chargers barely got by the winless Raiders. Not exactly the most inspiring way to break a losing streak coming out of your bye.

     # 15 - Houston Texans (previous: 19)
                    Too little, too late for the Texans? At least the Colts stumbled, opening the door a bit for Houston.

     # 14 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 10)
                    Seattle just can't seem to string wins together this season like they did a year ago.

     # 13 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 9)
                    The Texans came to play and the Browns could not handle them.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 13)
                    Still a half-game out of first place, Pittsburgh heads into their bye week. When week 12 starts, they could be all alone in first place, or fall into a tie for last place in the division.

     # 11 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 14)
                    In a make-or-break game against the Bills, Miami kept their playoff hopes alive.

     # 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 6)
                    The Lions have the record to be a playoff team, but they just can't compete with the upper echelon teams in the league.

     # 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 11)
                    Surprisingly, the Ravens are still the odd team out in the competitive AFC North.

     # 8 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 12)
                    A power running game and a solid defense have the Chiefs back in playoff contention.

     # 7 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
                    Even Peyton Manning can have a bad game. Losing to the Rams in St. Louis does not inspire a lot of confidence in Denver's Super Bowl aspirations.

     # 6 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
                    The Colts will have to figure out a way to run the ball if they hope to do anything in the playoffs.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
                    The Eagles have less than two weeks to prepare for their division-critical game against the Cowboys. We'll know by then if Mark Sanchez can rally from a bad game

     # 4 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 8)
                    Nothing like moving in to first place on your bye week. With their next two games against the Giants and the Eagles, Dallas could seal the division title with two solid wins over their rivals.

     # 3 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 7)
                    Two straight games with 50+ points. The Green Bay offense is scary good.

     # 2 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 2)
                    Doesn't matter who is playing quarterback for them, the Arizona Cardinals are a solid team, from top to bottom. It's time to stop doubting them.

     # 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
                    Home-field advantage throughout the playoffs is now firmly in New England's hands after they knocked off the Colts in Indianapolis.



Week 11 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Washington Redskins (-7), Denver Broncos (-4), Detroit Lions (-4), Cleveland Browns (-4), Seattle Seahawks (-4)

The Biggest Movers - Chicago Bears (+5), Green Bay Packers (+4), Dallas Cowboys (+4), Kansas City Chiefs (+4), Houston Texans (+4)

Maintaining The Status Quo - New England Patriots (1), Arizona Cardinals (2), San Diego Chargers (16), Tennessee Titans (28), Jacksonville Jaguars (31), Oakland Raiders (32)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 11

AFC Favorite:



New England Patriots




NFC Favorite:

Arizona Cardinals




Check back tomorrow for week 12 predictions.

Week 11 Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."

With just one week remaining in the fantasy football regular season, all of the division titles in the AFC have been clinched. Only two of the NFC titles have been clinched. On the AFC side, three teams remain in the chase for the Wild Card spots - the Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals, and the Miami Dolphins. Five teams are still chasing Wild Card and Division titles spots in the NFC - Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears, Arizona Cardinals, Seattle Seahawks, and the San Francisco 49ers.

In week 11, the Carolina Panthers and the Seattle Seahawks both managed to win fantasy games they lost in real life.

High score of the week goes to the Green Bay Packers, who scored 128 points against the Philadelphia Eagles. Only one other team, the New England Patriots, managed to hit the century mark when they scored an even 100 points against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night.

Low score falls to the Oakland Raiders at 36 points.

Closest Game of the Week: Carolina Panthers 69, Atlanta Falcons 68. The Falcons may have moved into first place in their division with their real-world win over the Panthers on Sunday, but Carolina took home the prize this week in fantasy points. The game did not matter, however, as the New Orleans Saints clinched the fantasy division title last week.

Fantasy Star of the Week: Jonas Gray, 43 points. Gray became just the third running back in New England Patriots' history to rush for more than 200 yards. His four touchdowns, the first four of his career, also helped his monster breakout night.

PLAYOFF PICTURE

With one week remaining in the Creative Misfortune fantasy regular season, the following teams have clinched a fantasy playoff spot (weeks 13-16):

NFC

Green Bay Packers (clinched NFC North title)

New Orleans Saints (clinched NFC South title)

Arizona Cardinals (clinched playoff spot)

Seattle Seahawks (clinched playoff spot)

AFC

New England Patriots (clinched AFC East title and a first-round bye)

Pittsburgh Steelers (clinched AFC North title and a first-round bye)

Indianapolis Colts (clinched AFC South title)

Denver Broncos (clinched AFC West title)



The following teams have been eliminated from post-season play (weeks 13-16):

New York Jets

Buffalo Bills

Baltimore Ravens

Houston Texans

Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars

San Diego Chargers

Kansas City Chiefs

Oakland Raiders

New York Giants

Washington Redskins

Minnesota Vikings

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons

Carolina Panthers

St. Louis Rams

Week 11 Game Results:

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
     Fantasy Score: Miami Dolphins 67, Buffalo Bills 45
     Buffalo's Key Performers: Dan Carpenter (9), Defense (8), Kyle Orton (7)
     Miami's Key Performers: Ryan Tannehill (16), Lamar Miller (9), Defense (8)

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
     Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 69, Atlanta Falcons 68
     Atlanta's Key Performers: Matt Bryant (15), Matt Ryan (14), Roddy White (13)
     Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (18), Kelvin Benjamin (16), Philly Brown (10)

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
     Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 92, Minnesota Vikings 42
     Minnesota's Key Performers: Blair Walsh (8), Teddy Bridgewater (8), Charles Johnson (8)
     Chicago's Key Performers: Jay Cutler (23), Brandon Marshall (21), Alshon Jeffery (19)

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
     Fantasy Score: Houston Texans 82, Cleveland Browns 55
     Houston's Key Performers: Alfred Blue (15), Ryan Mallett (14), Randy Bullock (13)
     Cleveland's Key Performers: Andrew Hawkins (15), Brian Hoyer (15), Taylor Gabriel (9)

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers
     Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 128, Philadelphia Eagles 68
     Philadelphia's Key Performers: Jordan Matthews (16),Jeremy Maclin (15), Mark Sanchez (13)
     Green Bay's Key Performers: Defense (29), Aaron Rodgers (28), Eddie Lacy (22)

Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs
     Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 69, Kansas City Chiefs 47
     Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (22), Marshawn Lynch (12), Doug Baldwin (10)
     Kansas City's Key Performers: Jamaal Charles (26), Knile Davis (7), Cairo Santos (6)

Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints
     Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 89, New Orleans Saints 49
     Cincinnati's Key Performers: Andy Dalton (21), A.J. Green (18), Jeremy Hill (16)
     New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (14), Mark Ingram (9), Kenny Stills (9)

San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants
     Fantasy Score: San Francisco 49ers 69, New York Giants 50
     San Francisco's Key Performers: Defense (16), Michael Crabtree (14), Colin Kaepernick (13)
     New York's Key Performers: Larry Donnell (11), Rueben Randle (11), Odell Beckham Jr. (9)

Denver Broncos at St. Louis Rams
     Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 79, Denver Broncos 60
     Denver's Key Performers: Emmanuel Sanders (16), Peyton Manning (15), Demaryius Thomas (10)
     St. Louis' Key Performers: Greg Zuerlein (20), Kenny Britt (18), Shaun Hill (12)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins
     Fantasy Score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 89, Washington Redskins 42
     Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Mike Evans (32), Defense (22), Josh McCown (19)
     Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (12), Robert Griffin III (12), Roy Helu (9)

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers
     Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 62, Oakland Raiders 36
     Oakland's Key Performers: Sebastian Janikowski (7), Defense (6), Latavius Murray (5)
     San Diego's Key Performers: Philip Rivers (11), Defense (11), Malcom Floyd (10)

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
     Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 70, Detroit Lions 42
     Detroit's Key Performers: Joique Bell (11), Matt Prater (8), Calvin Johnson (5)
     Arizona's Key Performers: Michael Floyd (17), Drew Stanton (16), Defense (13)

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts
     Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 100, Indianapolis Colts 60
     New England's Key Performers: Jonas Gray (43), Tom Brady (14), Rob Gronkowski (13)
     Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (19), Coby Fleener (14), Adam Vinatieri (10)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans
     Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 78, Tennessee Titans 72
     Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Le'Veon Bell (27), Antonio Brown (15), Ben Roethlisberger (10)
     Tennessee's Key Performers: Zach Mettenberger (16), Nate Washington (14), Bishop Sankey (9)

Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings