Thursday, November 20, 2014

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 11 (2014)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 32)
                    Eventually the Raiders will break through with a win this season, but one is all they will get.

     # 31 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 31)
                    Best part about their bye week, the Jaguars didn't lose.

     # 30 - New York Jets (previous: 29)
                    It's snowing in Buffalo. Wonder how that will ground the Jets?

     # 29 - Washington Redskins (previous: 22)
                    It's Robert Griffin III's fault… and the fault of every other player on the roster and the coaching staff. Chalk up one more lost season in Washington D.C.

     # 28 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 28)
                    The Titans showed some spirit Monday night, but they just are overmatched by most of the other teams in the league.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 25)
                    The Panthers, despite being four games below .500, still control their own playoff destiny. Crazy.

     # 26 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 30)
                    I'd say the Bucs are for real, but we all know beating Washington is not too exciting.

     # 25 - New York Giants (previous: 23)
                    Eli Manning is such a special player. Somebody could tell you he threw 5 touchdowns or 5 interceptions and you wouldn't be shocked by either statement.

     # 24 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 21)
                    Adrian Peterson is truly gone for the rest of the season (pending appeal). Not sure that it matters at this point, since the Vikings won't be making the playoffs.

     # 23 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 27)
                    I doubt the Rams can turn things around enough to finish the season 10-6, but a huge victory over the Broncos has to give them confidence going forward.

     # 22 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 24)
                    Are the Atlanta Falcons seriously in first place in their division? Just how pathetic is the NFC South this year when the best team is a full two games below .500.

     # 21 - Chicago Bears (previous: 26)
                    The Bears can beat the Vikings. Now who else can they beat?



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 17)
                    The Saints constantly find ways to underachieve this season.

     # 19 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 18)
                    As if taking a critical hit to their playoff hopes wasn't bad enough, now the Bills have to deal with 10 feet of snow!

     # 18 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 20)
                    Where have these Bengals been the last month?

     # 17 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 15)
                    The 49ers are a good team, but I don't know what it will take for them to reestablish themselves as a great team this season.

     # 16 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 16)
                    The Chargers barely got by the winless Raiders. Not exactly the most inspiring way to break a losing streak coming out of your bye.

     # 15 - Houston Texans (previous: 19)
                    Too little, too late for the Texans? At least the Colts stumbled, opening the door a bit for Houston.

     # 14 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 10)
                    Seattle just can't seem to string wins together this season like they did a year ago.

     # 13 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 9)
                    The Texans came to play and the Browns could not handle them.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 13)
                    Still a half-game out of first place, Pittsburgh heads into their bye week. When week 12 starts, they could be all alone in first place, or fall into a tie for last place in the division.

     # 11 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 14)
                    In a make-or-break game against the Bills, Miami kept their playoff hopes alive.

     # 10 - Detroit Lions (previous: 6)
                    The Lions have the record to be a playoff team, but they just can't compete with the upper echelon teams in the league.

     # 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 11)
                    Surprisingly, the Ravens are still the odd team out in the competitive AFC North.

     # 8 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 12)
                    A power running game and a solid defense have the Chiefs back in playoff contention.

     # 7 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
                    Even Peyton Manning can have a bad game. Losing to the Rams in St. Louis does not inspire a lot of confidence in Denver's Super Bowl aspirations.

     # 6 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 5)
                    The Colts will have to figure out a way to run the ball if they hope to do anything in the playoffs.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
                    The Eagles have less than two weeks to prepare for their division-critical game against the Cowboys. We'll know by then if Mark Sanchez can rally from a bad game

     # 4 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 8)
                    Nothing like moving in to first place on your bye week. With their next two games against the Giants and the Eagles, Dallas could seal the division title with two solid wins over their rivals.

     # 3 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 7)
                    Two straight games with 50+ points. The Green Bay offense is scary good.

     # 2 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 2)
                    Doesn't matter who is playing quarterback for them, the Arizona Cardinals are a solid team, from top to bottom. It's time to stop doubting them.

     # 1 - New England Patriots (previous: 1)
                    Home-field advantage throughout the playoffs is now firmly in New England's hands after they knocked off the Colts in Indianapolis.



Week 11 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Washington Redskins (-7), Denver Broncos (-4), Detroit Lions (-4), Cleveland Browns (-4), Seattle Seahawks (-4)

The Biggest Movers - Chicago Bears (+5), Green Bay Packers (+4), Dallas Cowboys (+4), Kansas City Chiefs (+4), Houston Texans (+4)

Maintaining The Status Quo - New England Patriots (1), Arizona Cardinals (2), San Diego Chargers (16), Tennessee Titans (28), Jacksonville Jaguars (31), Oakland Raiders (32)

Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorites ~ After Week 11

AFC Favorite:


New England Patriots




NFC Favorite:

Arizona Cardinals




Check back tomorrow for week 12 predictions.

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