Monday, November 24, 2014

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 12 (2014)

Almost all systems hit the 70% accuracy mark in week 12 as NFL teams stayed truer to form than most weeks of the season so far.

The Fantasy Projections and the Best Record Wins formulas both picked 11 out of 13 games correctly for an outstanding 84.6% accuracy.

The Vegas Lines system came in third place this week by picking 10 out of 13 games correctly for 76.9% accuracy.

All other systems picked 9 out of 13 games correctly for 69.2% accuracy.

All systems favor the Buffalo Bills to win tonight in their "home" makeup game on the road in Detroit. In the normally scheduled Monday Night game, most systems favor the Ravens to defeat the Saints tonight.


Monday Night Game Predictions:

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4. Bills by 4, Over/Under 39
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 9. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.270
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 11. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 5-5
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 50
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 7. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.704 - 0.521
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-78
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 6-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3


Week 12 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams punched their ticket to the fantasy fopotball playoffs?

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