Friday, December 3, 2010

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 13

All systems look to continue their accurate ways following Thursday Night's result as the full slate of Week 13 games gets underway on Sunday. Which systems will achieve that magical 70% accuracy mark after starting the weekend a perfect 1 for 1?

Thursday Night Score Prediction:

Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles (Actual ~ Philadelphia, 34-24)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Philadelphia, 37-28. Michael Vick and the Eagles will get their offensive groove back against one of the worst defenses in the league, but Houston will put up some points of their own to make the game interesting.
     Scottie V's Pick: Philadelphia, 23-21. Fanatical Eagles' fans get the best of Texans on Thursday night.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 31-20. Philadelphia by 8.5, Over/Under 51.
     Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 30-7. Philadelphia 81% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 24-20. Philadelphia won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Philadelphia better at 7-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17

     The Eagles resumed their soaring ways by knocking off the Texans on a short week to take a half-game lead in the division standings over the New York Giants. Michael Vick plays lights out again and leads Philadelphia to a fourth quarter comeback after Houston took the lead in the third quarter. For the Texans, Arian Foster continued to shine, but their playoff hopes took another solid hit on Thursday. With only four games remaining and a 5-7 record, Houston's best chance at making the playoffs is to capture the division title. With the four juggernaut teams in the AFC's North and East, they have no chance at a Wild Card spot. All systems come away with a victory as Houston is unable to upset the Eagles at home.

Sunday Game Score Predictions:

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 24-10. The Bengals have nothing to play for and the Saints are finally starting to get back to their championship form.
     Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 30-17. The Saints D comes after Carson Palmer.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 28-20. New Orleans by 7, Over/Under 46.
     Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 27-10. New Orleans 74% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Cincinnati, 21-17. Cincinnati won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 8-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Chicago, 24-14. The Lions are better than their record. The Bears may actually be, too.
     Scottie V's Pick: Detroit, 24-17. Still not buying Chicago.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 26-20. Chicago by 3.5, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 24-10. Chicago 69% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 13-10. Chicago won 2 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 8-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 31-17. The Packers are still smarting from their loss in Atlanta next week and the 49ers, regardless of how good they looked on Monday, are still a 4-7 team.
     Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 31-14. In spite of San Fran's success last Monday night, the Packers are the anti-Cardinals.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 27-16. Green Bay by 10, Over/Under 41.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 30-7. Green Bay 81% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 20-16. Green Bay won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17. Green Bay better at 7-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Jacksonville, 20-10. The Titans are done and the Jaguars are the only team in the AFC South not struggling to find itself.
     Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 24-20. The Jags roll into Nashville and get a big win over their divisional rival.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Tennessee, 24-20. Tennessee by 3.5, Over/Under 43.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Tennessee, 23-16. Tennessee 61% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 31-16. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville better at 6-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 35-24. The chiefs have to win in order to stay ahead of San Diego. The Broncos, with all their problems, won't be able to stay with them.
     Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 31-13. The Chiefs avenge their unexpected thrashing in Denver by returning the favor at Arrowhead.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 30-20. Kansas City by 9.5, Over/Under 48.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 24-13. Kansas City 66% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 28-13. Kansas City won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 7-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Miami, 21-17. If this game were in Cleveland, Miami would be the run away favorite, but the Dolphins have shown an absurd inability to win at home. They reverse that trend with a nail-biter win in South Florida.
     Scottie V's Pick: Cleveland, 21-17. Who thought this would actually be an interesting game 3 months ago?
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami, 24-17. Miami by 4.5, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Miami, 24-10. Miami 69% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Miami, 17-16. Miami won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17. Miami better at 6-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Buffalo, 24-20. Buffalo has played everybody strong lately and the Vikings are anything but a strong team these days.
     Scottie V's Pick: Buffalo, 27-17. The topsy turvy nature of the NFL is on full display in this game... Up is down! Black is white!! Buffalo is good!!! Minnesota is bad!!!!
     Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota, 26-20. Minnesota by 5.5, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Minnesota, 28-9. Minnesota 77% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 23-12. Minnesota won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota better at 4-7.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17

Washington Redskins at New York Giants
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 24-17. The Giants' win last week, combined with the Eagles' loss, reminds New York the division is still theirs for the taking if they can just execute.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 27-13. The Giants need a victory to keep the pace in the NFC East.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 27-17. New York by 7, Over/Under 43.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New York, 28-7. NY Giants 79% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 28-13. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 7-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 27-14. The best team in the NFC shows no signs of slowing down and Tampa Bay can't beat anybody with a winning record.
     Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 24-17. Not the "World's Largest Cocktail Party", but this game has big-time implications... Matt Ryan will be the difference.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 26-20. Atlanta by 3, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 21-16. Atlanta 59% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Atlanta, 24-14. Atlanta won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 9-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 41-17. The Raiders are shell-shocked and facing the Chargers - in December, in San Diego - will not be the cure they are looking for.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Diego, 35-21. Who's going to stop the Super-Chargers? Not the Raiders.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 30-16. San Diego by 13, Over/Under 45.
     Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 31-7. San Diego 82% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 26-21. San Diego won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17. San Diego better at 6-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Seattle, 21-20. Meh.
     Scottie V's Pick: Seattle, 27-13. Just what Seattle needs to stay in the hunt in the feeble NFC West, the Carolina Panthers at Qwest Field.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle, 24-17. Seattle by 6, Over/Under 40.
     Accuscore Pick: Seattle, 21-16. Seattle 60% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Carolina, 17-7. Carolina won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17. Seattle better at 5-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: St. Louis, 28-13. The Cardinals are the worst team in the NFC West. When you're the worst of the worst, how can you be expected to win any game?
     Scottie V's Pick: St. Louis, 24-14. Don't look now, but the Rams are playing some pretty good football... The Cardinals, not so much.
     Vegas Lines Pick: St. Louis, 24-20. St. Louis by 3.5, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: St. Louis, 21-16. St. Louis 59% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 21-17. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17. St. Louis better at 5-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 30-27. The Cowboys make too many mental mistakes to win in Indianapolis, but the Colts are mortal enough these days to allow for a close, entertaining game.
     Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-23. The Colts get a much-needed victory and the shine starts to wear off in the Jason Garrett era.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 27-21. Indianapolis by 5.5, Over/Under 48.
     Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 23-16. Indianapolis 61% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Indianapolis, 24-17. Indianapolis won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 6-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-16. Act I of the AFC's greatest Week 13 matchups. 4 Field goals and a touchdown vs 3 field goals and a touchdown sounds about right to me.
     Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-20. The Steelers knock off their hated rival in Baltimore thanks to some timely turnovers.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 23-17. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 40.
     Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore 55% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 30-13. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Both teams at 8-3, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17

Monday Night Score Prediction:

New York Jets at New England Patriots
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 21-17. Act II of the AFC's greatest Week 13 matchups. The Patriots even the score with the Jets and take control of the division.
     Scottie V's Pick: New England, 27-17. The Jets are still not in the same class as a red-hot Patriot team.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 26-21. New England by 3.5, Over/Under 45.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New England, 24-13. New England 66% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 24-14. New York won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. Both teams at 9-2, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17


Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and game recaps for all week 13 Sunday games.

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