Friday, December 10, 2010

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 14

Most systems look to continue their accurate ways following Thursday Night's result as the full slate of Week 14 games resumes on Sunday. Will the Best Record system lead all picks once again this week?

Thursday Night Result:

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 30-28)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-17. On a short week, offenses have the advantage and Manning and the Colts, despite their recent troubles, have a far superior offense than the Titans.
     Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 28-17. This is a must-win for Indy and the Titans are slumping badly
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 26-20. Indianapolis by 3, Over/Under 45.
     Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 17-14. Indianapolis 52% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Tennessee, 28-12. Tennessee won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis, 20-17. Indianapolis better at 6-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17

     Peyton Manning ended his Pick-6 streak with a solid, interception-free performance on Thursday Night. The Colts dominated the first half, then slowed down enough in the second half to allow the Titans to crawl back into the game. A touchdown pass from Collins to Scaife on the final play - meaningless, really, unless you had wagered on the outcome or had Scaife started on your fantasy team - made the game appear a lot closer than it actually was. All systems, except the Home Team Wins and What If sports, picked up their first win of the week. What If Sports did however get Tennessee's score right on the mark. Too bad they had the Colts scoring so few.

Sunday Game Score Predictions:

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Cleveland, 21-17. Cleveland is playing much better than Buffalo these days and didn't get crushed last week.
     Scottie V's Pick: Buffalo, 23-17. The Bills are the best bad team in the NFL.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo, 23-20. Buffalo by 1, Over/Under 39.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Cleveland, 21-17. Cleveland 57% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Cleveland, 23-14. Cleveland won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland, 20-17. Cleveland better at 5-7.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo, 20-17

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 28-20. The Patriots are on a roll and their defense is too opportunistic not to make Cutler pay for a few errant throws.
     Scottie V's Pick: New England, 34-17. The red-hot Pats expose the Bears.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 24-20. New England by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New England, 23-16. New England 61% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Chicago, 20-10. Chicago won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 10-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 34-17. The Packers are the best offensive team in the NFC and Detroit's defense won't be able to slow them down.
     Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 27-20. Aaron Rodgers is a stud and this team needs the win to keep up with the Bears.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 27-20. Green Bay by 6.5, Over/Under 46.
     Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 28-10. Green Bay 76% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Green Bay, 17-16. Green Bay won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17. Green Bay better at 8-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit, 20-17

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 24-20. The Vikings seem to be coming together as a team, but New York's defensive line will swarm all over Minnesota's offensive line. Favre may start, but he won't finish.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-16. It's hard to picture the Giants playing in a dome, but they'll get the big win to keep up with the Eagles.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 23-20. New York by 2, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Minnesota 54% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 24-10. New York won all of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 8-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: MInnesota, 20-17

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 27-21. Pittsburgh coasts to a win after dominating the first half, but Cincinnati's garbage-time offense will help keep the end game close.
     Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 24-13. Coming off an emotional victory over the Ravens, the Steel Curtain keeps their eye on the prize and takes care of business vs. the Bungles.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 26-16. Pittsburgh by 8.5, Over/Under 39.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 31-6. Pittsburgh 84% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 24-13. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 9-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Tampa Bay, 24-10. The Bucs don't lose to teams with losing records.
     Scottie V's Pick: Tampa Bay, 23-17. Not sure I'm really buying the Bucs, but at least they're not grossly overpaying an aging quarterback.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Tampa Bay, 23-20. Tampa Bay by 1.5, Over/Under 41.
     Accuscore Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17. Tampa Bay 54% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Washington, 23-13. Washington won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17. Tampa Bay better at 7-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 23-7. The Falcons may be tempted to mail this one in, but the charging Saints and Buccaneers will motivate them to put the Panthers away quickly.
     Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 27-10. This should be an easy victory for the Falcons... Do they have the maturity to take care of business? I think so.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 26-17. Atlanta by 7, Over/Under 42.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 24-13. Atlanta 67% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Carolina, 26-16. Carolina won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 10-2.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina, 20-17

Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Jacksonville, 23-21. Jacksonville will do just enough at home to win a close one and maintain their division lead.
     Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 24-23. The Jags are playing well... Home field puts them over the hump against the Raiders.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Jacksonville, 24-17. Jacksonville by 4, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville 54% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Oakland, 24-17. Oakland won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Jacksonville better at 7-5.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Francisco, 21-17. The 49ers prevail in another classic NFC West battle.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Francisco, 23-20. Giving the Niners the nod at Candlestick (or whatever they call it now).
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 24-17. San Francisco by 5.5, Over/Under 41.5.
     Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 23-14. San Francisco 62% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 20-14. San Francisco won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17. Seattle better at 6-6.
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17

St. Louis Rams at New Orleans Saints
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 30-23. Bradford is good, but Brees is better.
     Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-20. The Rams are improving, but the Saints have a Division race to win.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 30-17. New Orleans by 9.5, Over/Under 47.
     Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 31-7. New Orleans 82% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 14-6. New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 9-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 17-14. Miami plays tough on the road, but offensively they can't compare to the Patriots and won't be able to break through a Jets D that was embarassed last week.
     Scottie V's Pick: New York, 23-17. Still not sure I'm buying the Jets (Monday Night didn't help), but I think they'll take down the Dolph's.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 23-17. New York by 5.5, Over/Under 39.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New York, 21-16. New York 58% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 19-14. New York won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 9-3.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Denver, 27-14. Interim coaches always - ALWAYS - win their first game, if 2010 has shown us anything, especially when they play the Arizona Cardinals.
     Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 20-17. Hard to believe that the Cards have fallen this far, but I have zero confidence in them, even at home against a interimly-coached Bronc team.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver, 24-17. Denver by 5.5, Over/Under 42.
     Accuscore Pick: Denver, 23-16. Denver 61% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 24-23. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17. Both teams at 3-9, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 28-24. San Diego won't be humiliated two weeks in a row... at home... in December... by division opponents. Will they?
     Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 27-23. The Game of the Week... The Chiefs roll into San Diego and get a HUGE win against their divisional foe.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 28-20. San Diego by 7, Over/Under 47.
     Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 28-7. San Diego 79% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 24-23. San Diego won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas city, 20-17. Kansas City better at 8-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Philadelphia, 24-17. The Cowboys have been playing well lately, but the Eagles will do just enough to end Dallas' faint hopes at a playoff spot.
     Scottie V's Pick: Philadelphia, 27-21. Good game as well... Mike Vick is the difference.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 28-24. Philadelphia by 3.5, Over/Under 50.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 24-13. Philadelphia 67% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 20-17. Philadelphia won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadephia, 20-17. Philadephia better at 8-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas, 20-17


Monday Night Score Prediction:

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Houston, 27-17. The Texans are fresh and ready to go after having a few extra days off. The Ravens are coming off short rest after a physical game.
     Scottie V's Pick: Houston, 24-20. Houston gets a big win over the Ravens.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 26-21. Baltimore by 3, Over/Under 46.
     Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 23-14. Baltimore 63% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Houston, 31-23. Houston won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 8-4.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17


Come back on Monday to view the prediction roundup and game recaps for all week 14 Sunday games.

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