With the Monday Night game remaining in week 5, the fifth week of predictions showed the following results for our systems...
Three systems picked games brilliantly this weekend. The Vegas Lines formula picked 12 out of 14 games correctly for an amazing 85.7% accuracy - the best all season. Both the Home Team Wins formula (11/14 78.6%) and the Best Record Wins formula (10/14 71.4%) exceeded the 70% accuracy mark as well.
Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula picked 9 out of 14 games correctly, for a solid 64.3% accuracy.
The Fantasy Projections formula picked 8 out of 14 games accurately for a typical Home Team Wins success rate of 57.1%.
Both Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY and the Pythagorean Theorem formulas struggled again in week 5, only predicting 6 out of 14 game winners correctly for a terrible 42.9% accuracy.
Most systems, except Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the Home Team Wins formula, favor the Seattle Seahawks to win on the road in tonight's matchup.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8. Seahawks by 7.5, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 9. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.633 - 0.419
Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
Week 5 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. With so many close overtime games, there's a good chance at least a couple teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life.
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