Friday, October 10, 2014

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 6 (2014)

The NFL has a number of games that could go either way in Week 6. Can the Vegas Lines, Best Record Wins and Home Team Wins formulas exceed the 70% accuracy mark for two weeks in a row? Time to find out.

Sunday Game Predictions:

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons by 3, Over/Under 53.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 4. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.532 - 0.428
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 1. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-81
     Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Both teams at 2-3, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots by 3, Over/Under 45
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 2. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.582 - 0.545
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 1. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 64-62
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Both teams at 3-2, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 8
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 16
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 7. Bengals by 7, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.641 - 0.416
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cleveland Browns by 2. Browns by 2, Over/Under 47
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.532 - 0.489
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-71
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 3-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3

Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers by 3, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Green Bay Packers by 6. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.635 - 0.494
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 1. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 73-71
     Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3. Packers better at 3-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 2. Lions by 1.5, Over/Under 45
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.631 - 0.372
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 9. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 72-47
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 3-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

Denver Broncos at New York Jets
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 17
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 9. Broncos by 9, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 17. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.664 - 0.245
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 17. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 99-50
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Tennessee Titans by 6. Titans by 6, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tennessee Titans by 6. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.253 - 0.100
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Tennessee Titans by 17. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a fantasy score of 92-45
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3. Titans better at 1-4
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 17
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens by 3, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 17. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.707 - 0.272
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 13. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-53
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 3-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 27
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 12
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 7. Chargers by 7, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 28. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.855 - 0.159
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 21. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 91-32
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 4-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3

Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 4. Cardinals by 3.5, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 5. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.500 - 0.387
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Washington Redskins by 2. Washington Redskins projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-70
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3

Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 8. Seahawks by 8, Over/Under 47
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.661 - 0.655
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 80-71
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 4-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles by 3, Over/Under 50
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Giants by 1. New York Giants projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.606 - 0.598
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New York Giants by 2. New York Giants projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-81
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 4-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3

Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

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