With the Monday Night game remaining in week 7, the seventh week of predictions showed the following results for our systems...
Best overall picks of the week went to Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY and the blind Home Team Wins formulas. Both systems exceeded the 70% accuracy mark by hitting 10 out of 14 games correctly (71.4%)
Almost all other systems picked a solid 9 out of 14 games correctly, for a very respectable 64.3% accuracy.
The blind Best Record Wins formula finished with the worst predictions of the week, only predicting 8 out of 14 games correctly for 57.1% accuracy, the traditional success rate for just picking the home team to win.
The prediction systems are split on tonight's matchup between Pittsburgh and Houston. Both Creative Misfortune's PPY formulas and the Pythagorean Theorem formula favor the Texans to win on the road. The Vegas Lines, Fantasy Projections, and the two blind pick systems favor the Steelers to prevail at home. It should be a good game that could go either way.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers by 3, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 5. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.556 - 0.433
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 5. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-63
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Both teams at 3-3, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Week 7 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
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