Friday, October 3, 2014

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 5 (2014)

Week 5 in the NFL features tons of games that could go either way and after Pittsburgh's collapse last week at home against Tampa Bay I wouldn't be surprised if we are in for a couple upsets this week as well.

Sunday Game Predictions:

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 6
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 2.5, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 4. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.451 - 0.343
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Game projected to be a tie by the fantasy score of 70-70. Panthers given a 1-point edge at home.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Both teams at 2-2, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4. Colts by 3.5, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.783 - 0.701
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 80-79
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3

Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 6. Cowboys by 6, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.666 - 0.650
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 1. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-67
     Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Both teams at 3-1, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3

Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 9
     Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 7. Lions by 7, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 6. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.679 - 0.531
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 9. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 73-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 23
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 12
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 6. Steelers by 6, Over/Under 46.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 16. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.488 - 0.093
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 18. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 98-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 2-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 15
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10. Saints by 10, Over/Under 48
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 7. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.414 - 0.233
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 13. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-53
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Both teams at 1-3, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3

Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York Giants by 4. Giants by 4, Over/Under 50.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.587 - 0.573
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a fantasy score of 82-80
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3. Both teams at 2-2, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cleveland Browns by 2. Browns by 1.5, Over/Under 44
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cleveland Browns by 11. Cleveland Browns projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.476 - 0.192
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Tennessee Titans by 4. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-61
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Browns better at 1-2
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3

St. Louis Rams at Philadelphia Eagles
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 14
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Eagles by 7, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.593 - 0.271
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 83-75
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3

Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 7. Broncos by 7, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.713 - 0.566
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 4. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 78-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 3-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

New York Jets at San Diego Chargers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 14
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 6. Chargers by 6, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 15. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.758 - 0.387
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 11. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-55
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 3-1
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 5
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 6. 49ers by 6, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 6. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.647 - 0.493
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 2. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 68-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. Both teams at 2-2, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3

Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 17
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 1. Bengals by 1, Over/Under 45.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 18. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.891 - 0.431
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 10. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 3-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3


Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

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