With the Monday Night game remaining in week 4, the fourth week of predictions showed the following results for our systems...
It was a rough week for predictions. The Vegas Lines formula won the week by picking 8 out of 12 games correctly over the weekend (66.7%). This is the first time all season the Vegas Lines formula has bested all the other prediction systems.
The Pythagorean Theorem, Best Record Wins and Home Team Wins systems all tied for second place by picking 7 out of 12 games correctly (58.3%).
Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula, after exceeeding the 70% accuracy mark last week, dropped off significantly this week and only predicted 5 out of 12 games correctly for a very disappointing 41.7% accuracy for the week.
The worst prediction performances of the week were turned in by Creative Misfortune's Home/Away PPY formula and the Fantasy Projections system. Both prediction systems only managed to pick 4 out of 12 games correctly for a season-low accuracy of 33.3%.
All systems, except the Home Team Wins system, favor the New England Patriots to win on the road tonight.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 11
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 4. Patriots by 3.5, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 8. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.669 - 0.462
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 7. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 79-58
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Week 4 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Monday, September 29, 2014
Friday, September 26, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 4 (2014)
All systems look to get back to their accurate ways following New York's complete thrashing of the Washington Redskins on Thursday Night as the full slate of Week 4 games get underway. Can Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the Fantasy Projections formula exceed the 70% accuracy mark two weeks in a row? They will have to be about perfect on Sunday's games in order to do so after all systems started the week 0-1.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 7
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 2. Packers by 1.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 13. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.611 - 0.289
Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 6. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 87-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Bears better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 8. Colts by 7.5, Over/Under 46
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 15. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.615 - 0.246
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-65
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Both teams at 1-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 2. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.642 - 0.603
Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 66-56
Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Both teams at 2-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3
Detroit Lions at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 2. Lions by 1.5, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.673 - 0.412
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 74-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 23
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 7. Steelers by 7, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 15. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.508 - 0.145
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 12. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Miami Dolphins at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Dolphins by 4, Over/Under 41
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.300 - 0.208
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 1-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.549
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-59
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Both teams at 2-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 27
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 17
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 13. Chargers by 13, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 24. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.692 - 0.086
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 24. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 110-42
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons by 2.5, Over/Under 47
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 11. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.700 - 0.433
Fantasy Projection Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 7. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a fantasy score of 87-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 6. 49ers by 5.5, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 8. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.648 - 0.445
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 80-77
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 3-0
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3
New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 53
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.565 - 0.547
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 7
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 2. Packers by 1.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 13. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.611 - 0.289
Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 6. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 87-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3. Bears better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago Bears by 3
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 8. Colts by 7.5, Over/Under 46
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 15. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.615 - 0.246
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 4. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-65
Best Record Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Both teams at 1-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 2. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.642 - 0.603
Fantasy Projection Pick: Buffalo Bills by 4. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a fantasy score of 66-56
Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Both teams at 2-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3
Detroit Lions at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 2. Lions by 1.5, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 10. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.673 - 0.412
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 74-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 23
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 7. Steelers by 7, Over/Under 45
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 15. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.508 - 0.145
Fantasy Projection Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 12. Pittsburgh Steelers projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-51
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3. Steelers better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3
Miami Dolphins at Oakland Raiders
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Dolphins by 4, Over/Under 41
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.300 - 0.208
Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 1-2
Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3
Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Ravens by 3, Over/Under 40.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.651 - 0.549
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 65-59
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3. Both teams at 2-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 3
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 27
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Diego Chargers by 17
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego Chargers by 13. Chargers by 13, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Diego Chargers by 24. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.692 - 0.086
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 24. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 110-42
Best Record Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3. Chargers better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 6
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons by 2.5, Over/Under 47
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 11. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.700 - 0.433
Fantasy Projection Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 7. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a fantasy score of 87-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 9
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 6. 49ers by 5.5, Over/Under 50.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 8. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.648 - 0.445
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 1. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 80-77
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 3-0
Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3
New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3. Saints by 3, Over/Under 53
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.565 - 0.547
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 6. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 89-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Cowboys better at 2-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, September 25, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 4 (2014)
The Redskins have renewed life under the direction of Kirk Cousins and the Giants finally won a game. Looks like we're up for a high-scoring NFC East matchup!
All systems favor the Redskins to come away with a victory in tonight's contest.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
New York Giants at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 26
Vegas Lines Pick: Washington Redskins by 4. Redskins by 3.5, Over/Under 46
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Washington Redskins by 12. Washington Redskins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.636 - 0.338
Fantasy Projection Pick: Washington Redskins by 6. Washington Redskins projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3. Both teams at 1-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 4 slate...
All systems favor the Redskins to come away with a victory in tonight's contest.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
New York Giants at Washington Redskins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 26
Vegas Lines Pick: Washington Redskins by 4. Redskins by 3.5, Over/Under 46
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Washington Redskins by 12. Washington Redskins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.636 - 0.338
Fantasy Projection Pick: Washington Redskins by 6. Washington Redskins projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-67
Best Record Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3. Both teams at 1-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 4 slate...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 3 (2014)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars show no signs of winning games any time soon.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
I don't know what happened to the Buccaneers in Atlanta last Thursday night.
# 30 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 31)
The Raiders are playing scrappy football, just not winning football.
# 29 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 27)
St. Louis has shown a lot of spirit of late, but giving up a 21-point lead to the Cowboys at home hurts.
# 28 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 24)
The Packers are in trouble. They are not playing like they belong in the same discussion as the Bears and the Lions at this point.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
After a strong opening week win, the Titans have done nothing.
# 26 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 21)
Does anybody even remember their week one victory over the New England Patriots?
# 25 - New York Jets (previous: 25)
Geno Smith does not appear to be the answer in New York. How long before we see Michael Vick take the field?
# 24 - New York Giants (previous: 30)
The Giants finally put together four solid quarters of football.
# 23 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 13)
The 49ers do not look like a team that played for the NFC Championship last season.
# 22 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 18)
Sure, let the kid play. The Vikings have nothing to lose in what has quickly become an unexpected rebuilding year.
# 21 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
Like the Raiders, the Browns are playing tough football, but unlike Oakland, Cleveland should actually win more than a few games this season.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 28)
The Chiefs now have a chance to even their record with a big win against the Patriots on Monday night. If they can do so, they will be a legitimate playoff-contending team.
# 19 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
The Saints have not proven anything yet and will need more than a big win on the road against Dallas for people to start believing they are for real again.
# 18 - Washington Redskins (previous: 14)
Cousins is doing everything RGIII could not and gives the Redskins their best shot, right now, to win football games.
# 17 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 22)
After how poorly they performed against the Ravens a week ago, nobody saw the dismantling of the Panthers coming.
# 16 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 1)
Injuries, poor execution, and mental mistakes cost the Panthers last week. Great teams correct those mistakes. I still believe the Panthers can be a great team.
# 15 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 15)
The defense is actually playing better than I expected this year. Now if the offense could just stop the turnovers deep in their own territory or the ones on the way into their opponent's end zone, Dallas could become a playoff-caliber team.
# 14 - Houston Texans (previous: 5)
Just three games into the season and injuries are already starting to take their toll on the Texans.
# 13 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 26)
Andrew Luck had a career day against the Jaguars. That may have been just what the Colts needed after starting the season with two losses.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
Manning did what Manning does at the end of the game to force overtime, but where were the rest of the Broncos the first three-and-a-half quarters of the game?
# 11 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 6)
A misstep against the Chargers has Buffalo reeling a bit, but they should recover quickly. The Bills are probably not better than a .500 team this year, but they are fun to watch and have tons of potential to surprise people.
# 10 - Chicago Bears (previous: 17)
Looks like the Bears may have started to figure things out. We'll see if that holds true when they host the Packers at home this week.
# 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 10)
After a rough start to the season, the Ravens are back above .500, but still chasing the Bengals for the division.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 12)
The Lions have played two great games and one stinker of a game so far. Are they the NFL's version of Jekyll and Hyde?
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 9)
If the Patriots couldn't light up the Raiders at home, how good can they really be?
# 6 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
One of the surprise teams of the season, Atlanta has become the favorite in the NFC South's three-team race.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 8)
Huge win at home against the Broncos, but the fourth quarter collapse has to concern you. That game never should have gone to overtime, regardless of who was playing quarterback for the other team.
# 4 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
The Chargers are very close to being an undefeated team, with their only loss being handed to them by the undefeated Arizona Cardinals.
# 3 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 7)
The Cardinals are playing all-around, solid team football.
# 2 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
Philadelphia certainly has a flair for the dramatic. I wonder if the Eagles can play a game with a lead from start to finish.
# 1 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 2)
Cincinnati heads into their early bye week with all the potential in the world. Could this be the year the Bengals finally end their drought and win a playoff game?
Week 3 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Carolina Panthers (-15), Tennessee Titans (-11), San Francisco 49ers (-10), Denver Broncos (-9), Houston Texans (-9)
The Biggest Movers - Atlanta Falcons (+17), Indianapolis Colts (+13), Kansas City Chiefs (+8), San Diego Chargers (+7), Chicago Bears (+7)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Dallas Cowboys (15), New York Jets (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorite ~ After Week 3
Cincinnati Bengals
Check back tomorrow for week 4 predictions.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
The Jaguars show no signs of winning games any time soon.
# 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
I don't know what happened to the Buccaneers in Atlanta last Thursday night.
# 30 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 31)
The Raiders are playing scrappy football, just not winning football.
# 29 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 27)
St. Louis has shown a lot of spirit of late, but giving up a 21-point lead to the Cowboys at home hurts.
# 28 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 24)
The Packers are in trouble. They are not playing like they belong in the same discussion as the Bears and the Lions at this point.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
After a strong opening week win, the Titans have done nothing.
# 26 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 21)
Does anybody even remember their week one victory over the New England Patriots?
# 25 - New York Jets (previous: 25)
Geno Smith does not appear to be the answer in New York. How long before we see Michael Vick take the field?
# 24 - New York Giants (previous: 30)
The Giants finally put together four solid quarters of football.
# 23 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 13)
The 49ers do not look like a team that played for the NFC Championship last season.
# 22 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 18)
Sure, let the kid play. The Vikings have nothing to lose in what has quickly become an unexpected rebuilding year.
# 21 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
Like the Raiders, the Browns are playing tough football, but unlike Oakland, Cleveland should actually win more than a few games this season.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 28)
The Chiefs now have a chance to even their record with a big win against the Patriots on Monday night. If they can do so, they will be a legitimate playoff-contending team.
# 19 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
The Saints have not proven anything yet and will need more than a big win on the road against Dallas for people to start believing they are for real again.
# 18 - Washington Redskins (previous: 14)
Cousins is doing everything RGIII could not and gives the Redskins their best shot, right now, to win football games.
# 17 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 22)
After how poorly they performed against the Ravens a week ago, nobody saw the dismantling of the Panthers coming.
# 16 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 1)
Injuries, poor execution, and mental mistakes cost the Panthers last week. Great teams correct those mistakes. I still believe the Panthers can be a great team.
# 15 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 15)
The defense is actually playing better than I expected this year. Now if the offense could just stop the turnovers deep in their own territory or the ones on the way into their opponent's end zone, Dallas could become a playoff-caliber team.
# 14 - Houston Texans (previous: 5)
Just three games into the season and injuries are already starting to take their toll on the Texans.
# 13 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 26)
Andrew Luck had a career day against the Jaguars. That may have been just what the Colts needed after starting the season with two losses.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
Manning did what Manning does at the end of the game to force overtime, but where were the rest of the Broncos the first three-and-a-half quarters of the game?
# 11 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 6)
A misstep against the Chargers has Buffalo reeling a bit, but they should recover quickly. The Bills are probably not better than a .500 team this year, but they are fun to watch and have tons of potential to surprise people.
# 10 - Chicago Bears (previous: 17)
Looks like the Bears may have started to figure things out. We'll see if that holds true when they host the Packers at home this week.
# 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 10)
After a rough start to the season, the Ravens are back above .500, but still chasing the Bengals for the division.
# 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 12)
The Lions have played two great games and one stinker of a game so far. Are they the NFL's version of Jekyll and Hyde?
# 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 9)
If the Patriots couldn't light up the Raiders at home, how good can they really be?
# 6 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
One of the surprise teams of the season, Atlanta has become the favorite in the NFC South's three-team race.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 8)
Huge win at home against the Broncos, but the fourth quarter collapse has to concern you. That game never should have gone to overtime, regardless of who was playing quarterback for the other team.
# 4 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
The Chargers are very close to being an undefeated team, with their only loss being handed to them by the undefeated Arizona Cardinals.
# 3 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 7)
The Cardinals are playing all-around, solid team football.
# 2 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
Philadelphia certainly has a flair for the dramatic. I wonder if the Eagles can play a game with a lead from start to finish.
# 1 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 2)
Cincinnati heads into their early bye week with all the potential in the world. Could this be the year the Bengals finally end their drought and win a playoff game?
Week 3 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Carolina Panthers (-15), Tennessee Titans (-11), San Francisco 49ers (-10), Denver Broncos (-9), Houston Texans (-9)
The Biggest Movers - Atlanta Falcons (+17), Indianapolis Colts (+13), Kansas City Chiefs (+8), San Diego Chargers (+7), Chicago Bears (+7)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Dallas Cowboys (15), New York Jets (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorite ~ After Week 3
Check back tomorrow for week 4 predictions.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Week 3 Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
A wild week of action in the NFL has produced quite a difference in the standings of Creative Misfortune's "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." league when compared with the current NFL standings. Some teams you expect to see undefeated have been defeated, and others you expect to see with a loss on their record have yet to lose in the fantasy world.
In week 3, the Cleveland Browns, Washington Redskins, and the St. Louis Rams all managed to win fantasy games they lost in real life.
High score of the week goes to the Atlanta Falcons, who scored 121 points when they completely obliterated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Thursday night. The Indianapolis Colts (119) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (105) also broke the century mark en route to fantasy football victories.
Low score of the week falls to the Tennessee Titans at 33 points, who were unable to score more fantasy points than the real 33 points the Cincinnati Bengals scored against them. Both the Jacksonville Jaguars (39 fantasy points, Colts scored 44 real points against them) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (37 fantasy points, the Falcons scored 56 against them) could not score more fantasy points than the real number of points scored against them, although they both outscored the Tennessee Titans in fantasy points this week.
Closest Game of the Week: Cleveland Browns 66, Baltimore Ravens 64. For the second straight week, the Cleveland Browns emerge victorious in the closest fantasy game of the week. Sure, this week they lost by 2 points to the Ravens, whereas last week they defeated the Saints by 2 points in real life, but a win's a win no matter how you slice it and the Cleveland Browns are winners this week in the alternate fantasy universe.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Andrew Luck, 31 points. Luck had a career day against the inept Jacksonville Jaguars and propelled not only his real team, but thousands of fantasy teams around the globe, to victory with his performance on Sunday.
Week 3 Game Results:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Fantasy Score: Atlanta Falcons 121, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Mike Glennon (9), Vincent Jackson (7), Bobby Rainey (6)
Atlanta's Key Performers: Julio Jones (28), Defense (26), Matt Ryan (23)
San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 77, Buffalo Bills 50
San Diego's Key Performers: Philip Rivers (19), Eddie Royal (16), Defense (9)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Fred Jackson (16), EJ Manuel (15), Scott Chandler (7)
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 74, Tennessee Titans 33
Tennessee's Key Performers: Shonne Greene (9), Jake Locker (8), Bishop Sankey (6)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Giovani Bernard (16), Defense (12), Andy Dalton (11)
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Cleveland Browns 66, Baltimore Ravens 64
Baltimore's Key Performers: Lorenzo Taliaferro (15), Josh Tucker (11), Kyle Juszczyk (11)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Brian Hoyer (15), Miles Austin (11), Isaiah Crowell (11)
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 59, Green Bay Packers 41
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (10), Andrew Quarless (10), Defense (8)
Detroit's Key Performers: Defense (16), Reggie Bush (15), Calvin Johnson (8)
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 119, Jacksonville Jaguars 39
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (31), Defense (17), Adam Vinatieri (16)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Allen Hurns (12), Cecil Shorts (9), allen Robinson (7)
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 72, Minnesota Vikings 36
Minnesota's Key Performers: Blair Walsh (10), Greg Jennings (7), Cordarelle Patterson (6)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (19), Pierre Thomas (11), Josh Hill (10)
Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 60, Oakland Raiders 34
Oakland's Key Performers: Sebastian Janikowski (11), Darren McFadden (5), James Jones (4)
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (13), Stephan Gostkowski (10), Rob Gronkowski (10)
Houston Texans at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 93, Houston Texans 61
Houston's Key Performers: Ryan Fitzpatrick (18), DeAndre Hopkins (11), Damaris Johnson (11)
New York's Key Performers: Rashad Jennings (23), Eli Manning (17), Victor Cruz (16)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 96, Philadelphia Eagles 92
Washington's Key Performers: Kirk Cousins (27), Pierre Garcon (19), DeSean Jackson (17)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Nick Foles (26), Jeremy Maclin (21), Jordan Matthews (17)
Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 81, Dallas Cowboys 78
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Tony Romo (15), Dez Bryant (14)
St. Louis' Key Performers: Austin Davis (21), Brian Quick (12), Zac Stacy (11)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 74, San Francisco 49ers 57
San Francisco's Key Performers: Colin Kaepernick (18), Michael Crabtree (14), Stevie Johnson (10)
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (18), John Brown (17), Chandler Catanzaro (13)
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 76, Miami Dolphins 62
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex smith (18), Joe McKnight (18), Knile Davis (17)
Miami's Key Performers: Lamar Miller (12), Ryan Tannehill (12), Mike Wallace (8)
Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 77, Denver Broncos 64
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (20), Emmanuel Sanders (14), Jacob Tamme (8)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (24), Russell Wilson (21), Ricardo Lockette (9)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 105, Carolina Panthers 56
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Antonio Brown (21), LeGarrette Blount (17), Le'Veon Bell (15)
Carolina's Key Performers: Kelvin Benjamin (17), Greg Olsen (12), Cam Newton (12)
Chicago Bears at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 76, New York Jets 71
Chicago's Key Performers: Michael Bennett (17), Jay Cutler (16), Defense (15)
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (15), Geno Smith (14), Jeremy Kerley (14)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
In week 3, the Cleveland Browns, Washington Redskins, and the St. Louis Rams all managed to win fantasy games they lost in real life.
High score of the week goes to the Atlanta Falcons, who scored 121 points when they completely obliterated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Thursday night. The Indianapolis Colts (119) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (105) also broke the century mark en route to fantasy football victories.
Low score of the week falls to the Tennessee Titans at 33 points, who were unable to score more fantasy points than the real 33 points the Cincinnati Bengals scored against them. Both the Jacksonville Jaguars (39 fantasy points, Colts scored 44 real points against them) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (37 fantasy points, the Falcons scored 56 against them) could not score more fantasy points than the real number of points scored against them, although they both outscored the Tennessee Titans in fantasy points this week.
Closest Game of the Week: Cleveland Browns 66, Baltimore Ravens 64. For the second straight week, the Cleveland Browns emerge victorious in the closest fantasy game of the week. Sure, this week they lost by 2 points to the Ravens, whereas last week they defeated the Saints by 2 points in real life, but a win's a win no matter how you slice it and the Cleveland Browns are winners this week in the alternate fantasy universe.
Fantasy Star of the Week: Andrew Luck, 31 points. Luck had a career day against the inept Jacksonville Jaguars and propelled not only his real team, but thousands of fantasy teams around the globe, to victory with his performance on Sunday.
Week 3 Game Results:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Fantasy Score: Atlanta Falcons 121, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Mike Glennon (9), Vincent Jackson (7), Bobby Rainey (6)
Atlanta's Key Performers: Julio Jones (28), Defense (26), Matt Ryan (23)
San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 77, Buffalo Bills 50
San Diego's Key Performers: Philip Rivers (19), Eddie Royal (16), Defense (9)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Fred Jackson (16), EJ Manuel (15), Scott Chandler (7)
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 74, Tennessee Titans 33
Tennessee's Key Performers: Shonne Greene (9), Jake Locker (8), Bishop Sankey (6)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Giovani Bernard (16), Defense (12), Andy Dalton (11)
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Cleveland Browns 66, Baltimore Ravens 64
Baltimore's Key Performers: Lorenzo Taliaferro (15), Josh Tucker (11), Kyle Juszczyk (11)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Brian Hoyer (15), Miles Austin (11), Isaiah Crowell (11)
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Fantasy Score: Detroit Lions 59, Green Bay Packers 41
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (10), Andrew Quarless (10), Defense (8)
Detroit's Key Performers: Defense (16), Reggie Bush (15), Calvin Johnson (8)
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fantasy Score: Indianapolis Colts 119, Jacksonville Jaguars 39
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Andrew Luck (31), Defense (17), Adam Vinatieri (16)
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Allen Hurns (12), Cecil Shorts (9), allen Robinson (7)
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Fantasy Score: New Orleans Saints 72, Minnesota Vikings 36
Minnesota's Key Performers: Blair Walsh (10), Greg Jennings (7), Cordarelle Patterson (6)
New Orleans' Key Performers: Drew Brees (19), Pierre Thomas (11), Josh Hill (10)
Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 60, Oakland Raiders 34
Oakland's Key Performers: Sebastian Janikowski (11), Darren McFadden (5), James Jones (4)
New England's Key Performers: Tom Brady (13), Stephan Gostkowski (10), Rob Gronkowski (10)
Houston Texans at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: New York Giants 93, Houston Texans 61
Houston's Key Performers: Ryan Fitzpatrick (18), DeAndre Hopkins (11), Damaris Johnson (11)
New York's Key Performers: Rashad Jennings (23), Eli Manning (17), Victor Cruz (16)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 96, Philadelphia Eagles 92
Washington's Key Performers: Kirk Cousins (27), Pierre Garcon (19), DeSean Jackson (17)
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Nick Foles (26), Jeremy Maclin (21), Jordan Matthews (17)
Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 81, Dallas Cowboys 78
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (17), Tony Romo (15), Dez Bryant (14)
St. Louis' Key Performers: Austin Davis (21), Brian Quick (12), Zac Stacy (11)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 74, San Francisco 49ers 57
San Francisco's Key Performers: Colin Kaepernick (18), Michael Crabtree (14), Stevie Johnson (10)
Arizona's Key Performers: Drew Stanton (18), John Brown (17), Chandler Catanzaro (13)
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
Fantasy Score: Kansas City Chiefs 76, Miami Dolphins 62
Kansas City's Key Performers: Alex smith (18), Joe McKnight (18), Knile Davis (17)
Miami's Key Performers: Lamar Miller (12), Ryan Tannehill (12), Mike Wallace (8)
Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks
Fantasy Score: Seattle Seahawks 77, Denver Broncos 64
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (20), Emmanuel Sanders (14), Jacob Tamme (8)
Seattle's Key Performers: Marshawn Lynch (24), Russell Wilson (21), Ricardo Lockette (9)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 105, Carolina Panthers 56
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Antonio Brown (21), LeGarrette Blount (17), Le'Veon Bell (15)
Carolina's Key Performers: Kelvin Benjamin (17), Greg Olsen (12), Cam Newton (12)
Chicago Bears at New York Jets
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 76, New York Jets 71
Chicago's Key Performers: Michael Bennett (17), Jay Cutler (16), Defense (15)
New York's Key Performers: Nick Folk (15), Geno Smith (14), Jeremy Kerley (14)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
Monday, September 22, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 3 (2014)
With the Monday Night game remaining in week 3, the third week of predictions showed the following results for our systems...
Both Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the Fantasy Projections formula exceeded the magical 70% accuracy mark by picking 11 out of 15 games correctly over the weekend (73.3%). They will both stay above the 70% success rate for the week if Chicago prevails in tonight's game.
The Vegas Lines system came in at third place, picking 10 out of 15 games correctly for 66.7% accuracy.
The Home Team Wins formula predicted 9 out of 15 games correctly (60% accuracy, slightly above average). The Pythagorean Theorem formula struggled again this week as it continues to find balance early in the season schedule, only hitting 8 out of 15 games correctly (53.3% accuracy).
The worst prediction performance of the week was turned in by the Best Record Wins formula as a host of 0-2 teams scrambled to break into the win column for the first time all season. As a result, the Best Record Wins formula only predicted 6 out of 15 games correctly for a terrible 40% accuracy mark, by far the worst weekly result of the season.
The systems are divided once again on the Monday Night Football matchup with four system favoring the Bears (Overall PPY, Home/Away PPY, Pythagorean Theorem, and Fantasy Projections) and three systems favoring the Jets to win at home (Vegas Lines, Best Record Wins, and Home Team Wins). Either way, I suspect a slow-moving game with few big plays where the first team to score two touchdowns wins.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Chicago Bears at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Jets by 3. Jets by 2.5, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 4. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.565 - 0.473
Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 5. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 79-66
Best Record Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Week 3 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Both Creative Misfortune's Overall PPY formula and the Fantasy Projections formula exceeded the magical 70% accuracy mark by picking 11 out of 15 games correctly over the weekend (73.3%). They will both stay above the 70% success rate for the week if Chicago prevails in tonight's game.
The Vegas Lines system came in at third place, picking 10 out of 15 games correctly for 66.7% accuracy.
The Home Team Wins formula predicted 9 out of 15 games correctly (60% accuracy, slightly above average). The Pythagorean Theorem formula struggled again this week as it continues to find balance early in the season schedule, only hitting 8 out of 15 games correctly (53.3% accuracy).
The worst prediction performance of the week was turned in by the Best Record Wins formula as a host of 0-2 teams scrambled to break into the win column for the first time all season. As a result, the Best Record Wins formula only predicted 6 out of 15 games correctly for a terrible 40% accuracy mark, by far the worst weekly result of the season.
The systems are divided once again on the Monday Night Football matchup with four system favoring the Bears (Overall PPY, Home/Away PPY, Pythagorean Theorem, and Fantasy Projections) and three systems favoring the Jets to win at home (Vegas Lines, Best Record Wins, and Home Team Wins). Either way, I suspect a slow-moving game with few big plays where the first team to score two touchdowns wins.
Monday Night Game Prediction:
Chicago Bears at New York Jets
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 4
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Chicago Bears by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: New York Jets by 3. Jets by 2.5, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Chicago Bears by 4. Chicago Bears projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.565 - 0.473
Fantasy Projection Pick: Chicago Bears by 5. Chicago Bears projected to win by a fantasy score of 79-66
Best Record Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3
Week 3 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?
Friday, September 19, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 3 (2014)
Following the Atlanta Falcons' demolition of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday, all systems look to continue their accurate ways as the full slate of week 3 games gets underway. Which systems will finally achieve that magical 70% accuracy mark after starting the week a perfect 1 for 1?
Sunday Game Predictions:
San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 11
Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills by 3.5, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 7. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.786 - 0.609
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 2. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 7. Bengals by 6.5, Over/Under 43
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 12. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.803 - 0.500
Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 6. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-53
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 2. Ravens by 1.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 9. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.706 - 0.489
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 20
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 2.5, Over/Under 53
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.559 - 0.359
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 5. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 17
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 8
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7. Colts by 7, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 13. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.395 - 0.082
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 16. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-44
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Both teams at 0-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10. Saints by 10, Over/Under 49
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 5. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.576 - 0.451
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 15. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 102-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 14. Patriots by 14, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 17. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.629 - 0.210
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-51
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
Houston Texans at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 14
Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans by 2.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 30. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.883 - 0.141
Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 64-56
Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Eagles by 6.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Washington Redskins by 3. Washington Redskins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.788 - 0.708
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 22
Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Cowboys by 1, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 17. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.573 - 0.156
Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-70
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers by 2.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.685 - 0.538
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 63-55
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Dolphins by 4, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 9. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.423 - 0.188
Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seahawks by 4.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.667 - 0.624
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-76
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 19
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 3, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Carolina Panthers by 23. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.852 - 0.286
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 8. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-52
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Sunday Game Predictions:
San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 11
Vegas Lines Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills by 3.5, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Buffalo Bills by 7. Buffalo Bills projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.786 - 0.609
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Diego Chargers by 2. San Diego Chargers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-69
Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Bills better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 9
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 1
Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 7. Bengals by 6.5, Over/Under 43
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 12. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.803 - 0.500
Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 6. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-53
Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Bengals better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 2
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 2. Ravens by 1.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 9. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.706 - 0.489
Fantasy Projection Pick: Baltimore Ravens by 4. Baltimore Ravens projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-58
Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 5
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Detroit Lions by 20
Vegas Lines Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Lions by 2.5, Over/Under 53
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.559 - 0.359
Fantasy Projection Pick: Detroit Lions by 5. Detroit Lions projected to win by a fantasy score of 86-72
Best Record Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Detroit Lions by 3
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 17
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 8
Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 7. Colts by 7, Over/Under 45.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 13. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.395 - 0.082
Fantasy Projection Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 16. Indianapolis Colts projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-44
Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Both teams at 0-2, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 15
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 10. Saints by 10, Over/Under 49
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 5. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.576 - 0.451
Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 15. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 102-60
Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans Saints by 3
Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 15
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 14. Patriots by 14, Over/Under 46.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New England Patriots by 17. New England Patriots projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.629 - 0.210
Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 6. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-51
Best Record Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: New England Patriots by 3
Houston Texans at New York Giants
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 12
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 14
Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans by 2.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 30. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.883 - 0.141
Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 64-56
Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at
Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 13
Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7. Eagles by 6.5, Over/Under 50
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Washington Redskins by 3. Washington Redskins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.788 - 0.708
Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 6. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-71
Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3
Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 8
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 22
Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 1. Cowboys by 1, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 17. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.573 - 0.156
Fantasy Projection Pick: Dallas Cowboys by 3. Dallas Cowboys projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-70
Best Record Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3. Both teams at 1-1, home team wins
Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis Rams by 3
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 5
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers by 2.5, Over/Under 41.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 6. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.685 - 0.538
Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 63-55
Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3
Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 10
Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4. Dolphins by 4, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 9. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.423 - 0.188
Fantasy Projection Pick: Kansas City Chiefs by 1. Kansas City Chiefs projected to win by a fantasy score of 70-68
Best Record Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3. Dolphins better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami Dolphins by 3
Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 5. Seahawks by 4.5, Over/Under 48.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.667 - 0.624
Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 2. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 81-76
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3
Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 13
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 19
Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 3, Over/Under 42
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Carolina Panthers by 23. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.852 - 0.286
Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 8. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-52
Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers better at 2-0
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3
Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.
Thursday, September 18, 2014
Predictions of Creative Misfortune - TNF - Week 3 (2014)
Unfortunately this is one of those games on Thursday Night that seems better to read about on Friday than actually watch. Still, football is football. Maybe the Falcons and Buccaneers are closely enough matched this game will actually be interesting.
All systems favor the Falcons to come away with a single-digit victory.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 7. Falcons by 6.5, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.378 - 0.367
Fantasy Projection Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 8. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-55
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 3 slate...
All systems favor the Falcons to come away with a single-digit victory.
Thursday Night Game Prediction:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1
Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 4
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 7. Falcons by 6.5, Over/Under 44.5
Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 1. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.378 - 0.367
Fantasy Projection Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 8. Atlanta Falcons projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-55
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3. Falcons better at 1-1
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta Falcons by 3
Check back tomorrow morning for predictions of the rest of the NFL's week 3 slate...
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 2 (2014)
Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
At least the Jaguars gave us one really good half to start the year. Since going up 17-0 on the Eagles early in the season opener, Jacksonville has been outscored 75-10. That's not very conducive to a productive, winning season.
# 31 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 27)
The Raiders continue to struggle on both sides of the ball. James Jones provided a nice highlight reel special for NFL fans everywhere with his rare "Double Fumble" on the same play. Too bad this one play will define Oakland's 2014 season.
# 30 - New York Giants (previous: 28)
Just when you think the Giants almost have it, Eli throws another interception.
# 29 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 26)
The offense showed a lot of promise in the preseason, but that promise has not panned out so far. The Buccaneers aren't terrible, but if they don't win a few games sooner rather than later, this team will completely fall apart.
# 28 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 25)
The Chiefs battled the Broncos hard in the second half last week, but just don't have the firepower to compete with them. The injury to Jamaal Charles hurts, even if Knile Davis is a capable backup.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 31)
St. Louis was destroyed by the Vikings and barely escaped Tampa Bay with a victory. With their next four games against Dallas, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Seattle, the Rams will have to play near-perfect football if they hope to come out of that stretch with anything better than a 1-5 record.
# 26 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 19)
The Colts couldn't come back against the Broncos and they allowed the Eagles to steal a game away from them last week. Already two full games behind the resurgent Texans, Indianapolis needs to start winning right now if they hope to be anything more than a Wild Card team in January. A date with the Jaguars should be the perfect chance for them to finally notch a mark in the win column.
# 25 - New York Jets (previous: 16)
Errant timeout aside, the Jets came to play last week and nearly took the Packers out in Lambeau. New York will be hit or miss all season, and while that normally would translate into an 8-8 finish, the AFC East is finally a wide-open division and New York's manic style could lead to big things for them, if they can hold everything together and avoid the mistakes that cost them a victory in Green Bay.
# 24 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 29)
The Packers have only played about three good quarters so far this year and are extremely lucky to have a win under their belt. They will be in a fight with Detroit and Chicago all season long for the division title and, the way things are shaping up, only the NFC North division champion will make the playoffs.
# 23 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 15)
So good in week 1, so terrible in week 2. A short week and a weak opponent should get Atlanta back on track.
# 22 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 11)
The Steelers were completely manhandled by the Ravens. That does not bode well for Pittsburgh with how well Cincinnati, Baltimore and Cleveland are playing right now.
# 21 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 10)
The Dolphins dominated the Patriots and were dominated by the Bills. I have no idea where Miami fits in the grand scheme of things this season. 10-6 or 6-10? Neither would surprise me.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 17)
Two close losses to open the season have the Saints on the ropes, but they are definitely not out of it. If they lose this week, at home, against the Vikings, then it will be time to push the panic button.
# 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 24)
The best part about the Browns playing so well is that Johnny Football has not had anything to do with it. Hopefully Brian Hoyer can keep Cleveland competitive enough each week that Manziel will stay on the bench until he has matured enough to step into the spotlight and take the reigns as a true franchise quarterback.
# 18 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 7)
The Vikings have deactivated Adrian Peterson indefinitely, pending the results of ongoing child abuse investigations. The Vikings did the right thing by deactivating Peterson last weekend, then made a bad choice activating him after additional allegations came up regarding Peterson's discipline techniques. It's too bad the only reason the Vikings have deactivated Peterson again is because of backlash from corporate sponsors. The NFL must not chase the dollars in these situations if they ever hope to restore their image.
# 17 - Chicago Bears (previous: 22)
Chicago's never give up attitude could lead to great things down the road, but they have to get better on defense before the Bears will truly be considered a solid playoff contender.
# 16 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 5)
The Titans looked so good against Kansas City on the road, then came home and were shellacked by the Dallas Cowboys. Tennessee is still trying to find their identity after Chris Johnson's departure, but things definitely look positive going forward.
# 15 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 21)
A nice win on the road after a tough, mistake-filled loss at home. The Dallas Cowboys have a great opportunity against the Rams this week to gain some momentum before they head back home for a tough, two-game homestand against the Saints and the Texans.
# 14 - Washington Redskins (previous: 30)
It's never good for a starting quarterback when he goes down with an injury and the backup comes in and leads the team to a 41-10 blowout victory. This is Kirk Cousins' team now. I don't know if it will ever be RGIII's team again.
# 13 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
Great teams don't collapse in the fourth quarter like the 49ers did last Sunday night. Too many penalties, too many turnovers, and too many mistakes doomed San Francisco. In a tough division, the 49ers cannot afford to give away games they have won when so many games they'll play this year will be hotly contested with victory always in question.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Detroit Lions (previous: 2)
Did the Lions just have a bad day or did Carolina expose them for what they really are? After a few more weeks we'll know what kind of team the 2014 Lions are.
# 11 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 18)
Huge win over the Seahawks! Victories like these can propel teams on to great things.
# 10 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 23)
After all the off-field drama, the Ravens got back to playing football and dominated their division rivals. Still second-best in the division, the Ravens have some storms to weather before we consider them a strong playoff team.
# 9 - New England Patriots (previous: 20)
What is up with Brady and the passing game? The deep strike of yesteryear does not seem to be an option any more. The Patriots can certainly survive with a dink-and-dunk approach, but that won't inspire great fear in opponents. Perhaps a home date with the Oakland Raiders will get the offense back in the gear we expect them to be in.
# 8 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 1)
A complete letdown by the Seahawks last week in San Diego. Now Seattle looks vulnerable right before a huge game against the Broncos. The Seahawks are lucky the game will be played in Seattle. The 12th Man should hinder Manning's ability to call plays at the line and give the defense an advantage they might need after being hammered by the Chargers.
# 7 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 12)
All alone at the top of the division, but the Cardinals are not taking their early season division lead lightly. "There's still a lot of work to do," says star wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald.
# 6 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 14)
The surprise team of the AFC, Buffalo is on a roll. If they can make it to their bye week in week 9 with a .500 record or better, they'll be in great position to push for a playoff spot.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Houston Texans (previous: 13)
This is the Texans team everybody expected to see last season before Houston collapsed and completely fell apart. If their offensive stars can avoid the injury bug, the Texans can become a true powerhouse.
# 4 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
Just think how scary the Eagles would be if they didn't insist on spotting their opponents two and three touchdown leads early in the game?
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
A solid, if unspectacular, victory over the Chiefs last week. Only Peyton Manning could make a three-touchdown performance seem uninspiring. The Broncos will have to play much better this week in Seattle if they hope to gain some small measure of revenge for their embarassing loss in the Super Bowl.
# 2 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 8)
The Bengals have started fast out of the gate, but injuries will slow down their passing attack. If Dalton can avoid the big mistake and the running game can stay consistent, Cincinnati will remain the team to beat in the AFC North.
# 1 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 9)
The defense has not missed a beat since last season and with Cam Newton back in the lineup and healthy, the offense is playing well enough to keep pace with almost anyone. If the defense can continue to hold opponents to 20 points or less a game, Carolina will become a very scary team.
Week 2 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Tennessee Titans (-11), Minnesota Vikings (-11), Miami Dolphins (-11), Pittsburgh Steelers (-11), Detroit Lions (-10)
The Biggest Movers - Washington Redskins (+16), Baltimore Ravens (+13), New England Patriots (+11), Carolina Panthers (+8), Houston Texans (+8)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Denver Broncos (3), Philadelphia Eagles (4), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorite ~ After Week 2
Carolina Panthers
Check back tomorrow for week 3 predictions.
When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.
The Forked Few~
Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here
# 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
At least the Jaguars gave us one really good half to start the year. Since going up 17-0 on the Eagles early in the season opener, Jacksonville has been outscored 75-10. That's not very conducive to a productive, winning season.
# 31 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 27)
The Raiders continue to struggle on both sides of the ball. James Jones provided a nice highlight reel special for NFL fans everywhere with his rare "Double Fumble" on the same play. Too bad this one play will define Oakland's 2014 season.
# 30 - New York Giants (previous: 28)
Just when you think the Giants almost have it, Eli throws another interception.
# 29 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 26)
The offense showed a lot of promise in the preseason, but that promise has not panned out so far. The Buccaneers aren't terrible, but if they don't win a few games sooner rather than later, this team will completely fall apart.
# 28 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 25)
The Chiefs battled the Broncos hard in the second half last week, but just don't have the firepower to compete with them. The injury to Jamaal Charles hurts, even if Knile Davis is a capable backup.
The Creatively Challenged~
Folly remains ever their mistress
# 27 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 31)
St. Louis was destroyed by the Vikings and barely escaped Tampa Bay with a victory. With their next four games against Dallas, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Seattle, the Rams will have to play near-perfect football if they hope to come out of that stretch with anything better than a 1-5 record.
# 26 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 19)
The Colts couldn't come back against the Broncos and they allowed the Eagles to steal a game away from them last week. Already two full games behind the resurgent Texans, Indianapolis needs to start winning right now if they hope to be anything more than a Wild Card team in January. A date with the Jaguars should be the perfect chance for them to finally notch a mark in the win column.
# 25 - New York Jets (previous: 16)
Errant timeout aside, the Jets came to play last week and nearly took the Packers out in Lambeau. New York will be hit or miss all season, and while that normally would translate into an 8-8 finish, the AFC East is finally a wide-open division and New York's manic style could lead to big things for them, if they can hold everything together and avoid the mistakes that cost them a victory in Green Bay.
# 24 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 29)
The Packers have only played about three good quarters so far this year and are extremely lucky to have a win under their belt. They will be in a fight with Detroit and Chicago all season long for the division title and, the way things are shaping up, only the NFC North division champion will make the playoffs.
# 23 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 15)
So good in week 1, so terrible in week 2. A short week and a weak opponent should get Atlanta back on track.
# 22 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 11)
The Steelers were completely manhandled by the Ravens. That does not bode well for Pittsburgh with how well Cincinnati, Baltimore and Cleveland are playing right now.
# 21 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 10)
The Dolphins dominated the Patriots and were dominated by the Bills. I have no idea where Miami fits in the grand scheme of things this season. 10-6 or 6-10? Neither would surprise me.
The Remarkably Average~
Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory
# 20 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 17)
Two close losses to open the season have the Saints on the ropes, but they are definitely not out of it. If they lose this week, at home, against the Vikings, then it will be time to push the panic button.
# 19 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 24)
The best part about the Browns playing so well is that Johnny Football has not had anything to do with it. Hopefully Brian Hoyer can keep Cleveland competitive enough each week that Manziel will stay on the bench until he has matured enough to step into the spotlight and take the reigns as a true franchise quarterback.
# 18 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 7)
The Vikings have deactivated Adrian Peterson indefinitely, pending the results of ongoing child abuse investigations. The Vikings did the right thing by deactivating Peterson last weekend, then made a bad choice activating him after additional allegations came up regarding Peterson's discipline techniques. It's too bad the only reason the Vikings have deactivated Peterson again is because of backlash from corporate sponsors. The NFL must not chase the dollars in these situations if they ever hope to restore their image.
# 17 - Chicago Bears (previous: 22)
Chicago's never give up attitude could lead to great things down the road, but they have to get better on defense before the Bears will truly be considered a solid playoff contender.
# 16 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 5)
The Titans looked so good against Kansas City on the road, then came home and were shellacked by the Dallas Cowboys. Tennessee is still trying to find their identity after Chris Johnson's departure, but things definitely look positive going forward.
# 15 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 21)
A nice win on the road after a tough, mistake-filled loss at home. The Dallas Cowboys have a great opportunity against the Rams this week to gain some momentum before they head back home for a tough, two-game homestand against the Saints and the Texans.
# 14 - Washington Redskins (previous: 30)
It's never good for a starting quarterback when he goes down with an injury and the backup comes in and leads the team to a 41-10 blowout victory. This is Kirk Cousins' team now. I don't know if it will ever be RGIII's team again.
# 13 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 6)
Great teams don't collapse in the fourth quarter like the 49ers did last Sunday night. Too many penalties, too many turnovers, and too many mistakes doomed San Francisco. In a tough division, the 49ers cannot afford to give away games they have won when so many games they'll play this year will be hotly contested with victory always in question.
The Fortunate Seven~
The best of those not yet elite
# 12 - Detroit Lions (previous: 2)
Did the Lions just have a bad day or did Carolina expose them for what they really are? After a few more weeks we'll know what kind of team the 2014 Lions are.
# 11 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 18)
Huge win over the Seahawks! Victories like these can propel teams on to great things.
# 10 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 23)
After all the off-field drama, the Ravens got back to playing football and dominated their division rivals. Still second-best in the division, the Ravens have some storms to weather before we consider them a strong playoff team.
# 9 - New England Patriots (previous: 20)
What is up with Brady and the passing game? The deep strike of yesteryear does not seem to be an option any more. The Patriots can certainly survive with a dink-and-dunk approach, but that won't inspire great fear in opponents. Perhaps a home date with the Oakland Raiders will get the offense back in the gear we expect them to be in.
# 8 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 1)
A complete letdown by the Seahawks last week in San Diego. Now Seattle looks vulnerable right before a huge game against the Broncos. The Seahawks are lucky the game will be played in Seattle. The 12th Man should hinder Manning's ability to call plays at the line and give the defense an advantage they might need after being hammered by the Chargers.
# 7 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 12)
All alone at the top of the division, but the Cardinals are not taking their early season division lead lightly. "There's still a lot of work to do," says star wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald.
# 6 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 14)
The surprise team of the AFC, Buffalo is on a roll. If they can make it to their bye week in week 9 with a .500 record or better, they'll be in great position to push for a playoff spot.
The Creative Elite~
Wielding misfortune at its finest
# 5 - Houston Texans (previous: 13)
This is the Texans team everybody expected to see last season before Houston collapsed and completely fell apart. If their offensive stars can avoid the injury bug, the Texans can become a true powerhouse.
# 4 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
Just think how scary the Eagles would be if they didn't insist on spotting their opponents two and three touchdown leads early in the game?
# 3 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
A solid, if unspectacular, victory over the Chiefs last week. Only Peyton Manning could make a three-touchdown performance seem uninspiring. The Broncos will have to play much better this week in Seattle if they hope to gain some small measure of revenge for their embarassing loss in the Super Bowl.
# 2 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 8)
The Bengals have started fast out of the gate, but injuries will slow down their passing attack. If Dalton can avoid the big mistake and the running game can stay consistent, Cincinnati will remain the team to beat in the AFC North.
# 1 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 9)
The defense has not missed a beat since last season and with Cam Newton back in the lineup and healthy, the offense is playing well enough to keep pace with almost anyone. If the defense can continue to hold opponents to 20 points or less a game, Carolina will become a very scary team.
Week 2 Power Ranking Awards:
The Free Fallers - Tennessee Titans (-11), Minnesota Vikings (-11), Miami Dolphins (-11), Pittsburgh Steelers (-11), Detroit Lions (-10)
The Biggest Movers - Washington Redskins (+16), Baltimore Ravens (+13), New England Patriots (+11), Carolina Panthers (+8), Houston Texans (+8)
Maintaining The Status Quo - Denver Broncos (3), Philadelphia Eagles (4), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)
Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorite ~ After Week 2
Check back tomorrow for week 3 predictions.
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Week 2 Results (2014) ~ "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
Defense, defense, defense. If you had it this week, you won. If you didn't have it, you lost. No teams shattered any defensive fantasy records, but almost every game featured strong defensive performances that helped their teams win or weak defensive performances that generated negative points for their team.
In week 2, no teams managed to win a fantasy game they lost in real life.
High score of the week goes to the Green Bay Packers, who scored 97 points in their come-from-behind victory over the New York J-E-T-S, JETS! JETS! JETS!
Low score falls to the Minnesota Vikings at 26 points, who were unable to score enough fantasy points to beat the real 30 points the New England Patriots scored against them. The Jacksonville Jaguars also failed to score more fantasy points (33) than the real number of points scored against them by the Washington Redskins (41), with their backup quarterback!
Closest Game of the Week: Cleveland Browns 72, New Orleans Saints 71. One fantasy point, a mere ten yards rushing or receiving, separated the Browns from the Saints. Like in real life, if Billy Cundiff misses that 29-yard field goal to end the game, the Browns would have lost this fantasy game 71-69.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Antonio Gates, 27 points. Aaron Rodgers, 27 points. We all know who Aaron Rodgers is, and seeing him tie for the most fantasy points in any given week is never surprise. But Antonio Gates? Does he even play tight end anymore? After a few seasons of lackluster production due to injuries and ineptness in San Diego, it's nice to see the big guy explode back on the fantasy football stage again, if only for one week.
Week 2 Game Results:
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Fantasy Score: Baltimore Ravens 80, Pittsburgh Steelers 35
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Antonio Brown (10), Le'Veon Bell (9), Shaun Suisham (7)
Baltimore's Key Performers: Defense (15), Owen Daniels (14), Joe Flacco (14)
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: Buffalo Bills 83, Miami Dolphins 38
Miami's Key Performers: Ryan Tannehill (12), Mike Wallace (11), Lamar Miller (4)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Defense (20), Sammy Watkins (17), Dan Carpenter (16)
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 86, Detroit Lions 44
Detroit's Key Performers: Matthew Stafford (13), Calvin Johnson (8), Joique Bell (7)
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (18), Defense (14), Graham Gano (12)
Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 93, Atlanta Falcons 41
Atlanta's Key Performers: Julio Jones (14), Matt Ryan (9), Matt Bryant (5)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Giovani Bernard (22), Mohamed Sanu (16), Jeremy Hill (15)
New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Cleveland Browns 72, New Orleans Saints 71
New Orleans' Key Performers: Jimmy Graham (23), Mark Ingram (16), Drew Brees (15)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Terrance West (14), Brian Hoyer (12), Defense (11)
New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 87, Minnesota Vikings 26
New England's Key Performers: Defense (26), Stevan Ridley (16), Stephen Gostkowski (14)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Matt Asiata (13), Matt Cassell (5), Kyle Rudolph (5)
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 68, New York Giants 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Defense (17), Chandler Catanzaro (14), Andre Ellington (10)
New York's Key Performers: Eli Manning (15), Rueben Randle (9), Rashad Jennings (8)
Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 84, Tennessee Titans 50
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (20), Dan Bailey (19), Dez Bryant (16)
Tennessee's Key Performers: Delanie Walker (20), Jake Locker (9), Ryan Succop (5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 88, Jacksonville Jaguars 33
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Marcedes Lewis (13), Chad Henne (10), Allen Robinson (7)
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (20), Defense (16), Niles Paul (15)
Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 91, Seattle Seahawks 56
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (17), Marshawn Lynch (11), Robert Turbin (9)
San Diego's Key Performers: Antonio Gates (27), Philip Rivers (24), Nick Novak (15)
St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 60, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55
St. Louis' Key Performers: Greg Zuerlein (14), Zac Stacy (11), Austin Davis (9)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Josh McCown (17), Bobby Rainey (17), Vincent Jackson (5)
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 72, Kansas City Chiefs 55
Kansas City's Key Performers: Knile Davis (21), Alex Smith (14), Travis Kelce (8)
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (21), Demaryius Thomas (12), Emmanuel Sanders (10)
New York Jets at Green Bay Packers
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 97, New York Jets 59
New York's Key Performers: Geno Smith (17), Eric Decker (12), Chris Ivory (10)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Randall Cobb (17)
Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders
Fantasy Score: Houston Texans 75, Oakland Raiders 50
Houston's Key Performers: Arian Foster (20), Ryan Fitzpatrick (13), Randy Bullock (12)
Oakland's Key Performers: James Jones (15), Derek Carr (15), Darren McFadden (12)
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 81, San Francisco 49ers 54
Chicago's Key Performers: Jay Cutler (25), Brandon Marshall (22), Defense (12)
San Francisco's Key Performers: Michael Crabtree (14), Frank Gore (13), Colin Kaepernick (11)
Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 88, Indianapolis Colts 69
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Darren Sproles (23), Nick Foles (17), LeSean McCoy (15)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Ahmad Bradshaw (21), Andrew Luck (18), Adam Vinatieri (10)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
In week 2, no teams managed to win a fantasy game they lost in real life.
High score of the week goes to the Green Bay Packers, who scored 97 points in their come-from-behind victory over the New York J-E-T-S, JETS! JETS! JETS!
Low score falls to the Minnesota Vikings at 26 points, who were unable to score enough fantasy points to beat the real 30 points the New England Patriots scored against them. The Jacksonville Jaguars also failed to score more fantasy points (33) than the real number of points scored against them by the Washington Redskins (41), with their backup quarterback!
Closest Game of the Week: Cleveland Browns 72, New Orleans Saints 71. One fantasy point, a mere ten yards rushing or receiving, separated the Browns from the Saints. Like in real life, if Billy Cundiff misses that 29-yard field goal to end the game, the Browns would have lost this fantasy game 71-69.
Fantasy Stars of the Week: Antonio Gates, 27 points. Aaron Rodgers, 27 points. We all know who Aaron Rodgers is, and seeing him tie for the most fantasy points in any given week is never surprise. But Antonio Gates? Does he even play tight end anymore? After a few seasons of lackluster production due to injuries and ineptness in San Diego, it's nice to see the big guy explode back on the fantasy football stage again, if only for one week.
Week 2 Game Results:
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Fantasy Score: Baltimore Ravens 80, Pittsburgh Steelers 35
Pittsburgh's Key Performers: Antonio Brown (10), Le'Veon Bell (9), Shaun Suisham (7)
Baltimore's Key Performers: Defense (15), Owen Daniels (14), Joe Flacco (14)
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
Fantasy Score: Buffalo Bills 83, Miami Dolphins 38
Miami's Key Performers: Ryan Tannehill (12), Mike Wallace (11), Lamar Miller (4)
Buffalo's Key Performers: Defense (20), Sammy Watkins (17), Dan Carpenter (16)
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Fantasy Score: Carolina Panthers 86, Detroit Lions 44
Detroit's Key Performers: Matthew Stafford (13), Calvin Johnson (8), Joique Bell (7)
Carolina's Key Performers: Cam Newton (18), Defense (14), Graham Gano (12)
Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals
Fantasy Score: Cincinnati Bengals 93, Atlanta Falcons 41
Atlanta's Key Performers: Julio Jones (14), Matt Ryan (9), Matt Bryant (5)
Cincinnati's Key Performers: Giovani Bernard (22), Mohamed Sanu (16), Jeremy Hill (15)
New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Score: Cleveland Browns 72, New Orleans Saints 71
New Orleans' Key Performers: Jimmy Graham (23), Mark Ingram (16), Drew Brees (15)
Cleveland's Key Performers: Terrance West (14), Brian Hoyer (12), Defense (11)
New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings
Fantasy Score: New England Patriots 87, Minnesota Vikings 26
New England's Key Performers: Defense (26), Stevan Ridley (16), Stephen Gostkowski (14)
Minnesota's Key Performers: Matt Asiata (13), Matt Cassell (5), Kyle Rudolph (5)
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
Fantasy Score: Arizona Cardinals 68, New York Giants 52
Arizona's Key Performers: Defense (17), Chandler Catanzaro (14), Andre Ellington (10)
New York's Key Performers: Eli Manning (15), Rueben Randle (9), Rashad Jennings (8)
Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans
Fantasy Score: Dallas Cowboys 84, Tennessee Titans 50
Dallas' Key Performers: DeMarco Murray (20), Dan Bailey (19), Dez Bryant (16)
Tennessee's Key Performers: Delanie Walker (20), Jake Locker (9), Ryan Succop (5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins
Fantasy Score: Washington Redskins 88, Jacksonville Jaguars 33
Jacksonville's Key Performers: Marcedes Lewis (13), Chad Henne (10), Allen Robinson (7)
Washington's Key Performers: Alfred Morris (20), Defense (16), Niles Paul (15)
Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers
Fantasy Score: San Diego Chargers 91, Seattle Seahawks 56
Seattle's Key Performers: Russell Wilson (17), Marshawn Lynch (11), Robert Turbin (9)
San Diego's Key Performers: Antonio Gates (27), Philip Rivers (24), Nick Novak (15)
St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fantasy Score: St. Louis Rams 60, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55
St. Louis' Key Performers: Greg Zuerlein (14), Zac Stacy (11), Austin Davis (9)
Tampa Bay's Key Performers: Josh McCown (17), Bobby Rainey (17), Vincent Jackson (5)
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Fantasy Score: Denver Broncos 72, Kansas City Chiefs 55
Kansas City's Key Performers: Knile Davis (21), Alex Smith (14), Travis Kelce (8)
Denver's Key Performers: Peyton Manning (21), Demaryius Thomas (12), Emmanuel Sanders (10)
New York Jets at Green Bay Packers
Fantasy Score: Green Bay Packers 97, New York Jets 59
New York's Key Performers: Geno Smith (17), Eric Decker (12), Chris Ivory (10)
Green Bay's Key Performers: Aaron Rodgers (27), Jordy Nelson (26), Randall Cobb (17)
Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders
Fantasy Score: Houston Texans 75, Oakland Raiders 50
Houston's Key Performers: Arian Foster (20), Ryan Fitzpatrick (13), Randy Bullock (12)
Oakland's Key Performers: James Jones (15), Derek Carr (15), Darren McFadden (12)
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
Fantasy Score: Chicago Bears 81, San Francisco 49ers 54
Chicago's Key Performers: Jay Cutler (25), Brandon Marshall (22), Defense (12)
San Francisco's Key Performers: Michael Crabtree (14), Frank Gore (13), Colin Kaepernick (11)
Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy Score: Philadelphia Eagles 88, Indianapolis Colts 69
Philadelphia's Key Performers: Darren Sproles (23), Nick Foles (17), LeSean McCoy (15)
Indianapolis' Key Performers: Ahmad Bradshaw (21), Andrew Luck (18), Adam Vinatieri (10)
Tomorrow, The Art of Creative Misfortune Power Rankings
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