Monday, September 15, 2014

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - MNF - Week 2 (2014)

No prediction system managed to hit the 70% accuracy mark in week two. In fact, no system managed to pick better than just picking the home team to win, which is a testament to just how wild and crazy the NFL games can be. 

The systems are divided on who will win the Monday Night Football contest, with four systems favoring the Eagles to win on the road and three systems favoring the Colts to win at home. Either way, should be a great, high-scoring game.


Monday Night Game Prediction:

Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 7
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3. Colts by 3, Over/Under 53.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 19. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.838 - 0.353
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Philadelphia Eagles projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-75
     Best Record Wins Pick: Philadelphia Eagles by 3. Eagles better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Indianapolis Colts by 3


Week 2 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results will be posted on Wednesday. How many teams improved their fantasy records this week, despite losing in real life?

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