Friday, September 12, 2014

Predictions of Creative Misfortune - Week 2 (2014)

After a mixed bag of picks on the Thursday Night game, the Sunday week 2 picks are just as varied and conflicting. The Pythagorean Theorem formula, in particular, has thrown out some wild predictions this week. I expect this formula to stabilize after a couple weeks, but it will be interesting to see how it fares early in the schedule. Will any systems achieve that magical 70% accuracy mark after failing to do so in week 1? We'll find out on Sunday.

Sunday Game Predictions:

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Miami Dolphins by 4
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Buffalo Bills by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1. Dolphins by 1, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Miami Dolphins by 7. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.766 - 0.582
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Miami Dolphins by 1. Miami Dolphins projected to win by a fantasy score of 63-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3. Both teams at 1-0, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Buffalo Bills by 3

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Carolina Panthers by 7
     Vegas Lines Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Panthers by 2.5, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Detroit Lions by 8. Detroit Lions projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.898 - 0.700
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Carolina Panthers by 1. Carolina Panthers projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-66
     Best Record Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3. Both teams at 1-0, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina Panthers by 3

Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 11
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 5. Bengals by 5, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 6. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.703 - 0.550
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 13. Cincinnati Bengals projected to win by a fantasy score of 96-58
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3. Both teams at 1-0, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cincinnati Bengals by 3

New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New Orleans Saints by 9
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Cleveland Browns by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans Saints by 7. Saints by 6.5, Over/Under 47.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New Orleans Saints by 1. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.450 - 0.438
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New Orleans Saints by 14. New Orleans Saints projected to win by a fantasy score of 88-48
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3. Both teams at 0-1, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Cleveland Browns by 3

New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New England Patriots by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England Patriots by 3. Patriots by 3, Over/Under 49
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 30. Minnesota Vikings projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.984 - 0.234
     Fantasy Projection Pick: New England Patriots by 8. New England Patriots projected to win by a fantasy score of 91-68
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3. Vikings better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota Vikings by 3

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 12
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: New York Giants by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 2. Cardinals by 2, Over/Under 43
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 17. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.534 - 0.102
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 4. Arizona Cardinals projected to win by a fantasy score of 71-59
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona Cardinals by 3. Cardinals better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York Giants by 3

Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 6
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3
     Vegas Lines Pick: Tennessee Titans by 4. Titans by 3.5, Over/Under 49.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tennessee Titans by 27. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.906 - 0.235
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Tennessee Titans by 4. Tennessee Titans projected to win by a fantasy score of 84-72
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3. Titans better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee Titans by 3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 5
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Washington Redskins by 1
     Vegas Lines Pick: Washington Redskins by 6. Redskins by 6, Over/Under 43.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3. Jacksonville Jaguars projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.162 - 0.078
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Washington Redskins by 9. Washington Redskins projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-50
     Best Record Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3. Both teams at 0-1, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Washington Redskins by 3

Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 14
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 4
     Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6. Seahawks by 6, Over/Under 44.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 16. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.872 - 0.466
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 6. Seattle Seahawks projected to win by a fantasy score of 77-61
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle Seahawks by 3. Seahawks better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego Chargers by 3

St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 6. Buccaneers by 5.5, Over/Under 37
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.300 - 0.016
     Fantasy Projection Pick: St. Louis Rams by 4. St. Louis Rams projected to win by a fantasy score of 69-57
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3. Both teams at 0-1, home team wins
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 10
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Denver Broncos by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Denver Broncos by 14. Broncos by 13.5, Over/Under 51
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Denver Broncos by 22. Denver Broncos projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.647 - 0.094
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Denver Broncos by 15. Denver Broncos projected to win by a fantasy score of 113-69
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3. Broncos better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver Broncos by 3

New York Jets at Green Bay Packers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: New York Jets by 2
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Green Bay Packers by 8
     Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay Packers by 8. Packers by 8, Over/Under 46
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: New York Jets by 22. New York Jets projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.673 - 0.128
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Green Bay Packers by 11. Green Bay Packers projected to win by a fantasy score of 90-58
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York Jets by 3. Jets better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay Packers by 3

Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: Houston Texans by 1
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: Oakland Raiders by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans by 3, Over/Under 39.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: Houston Texans by 24. Houston Texans projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.922 - 0.327
     Fantasy Projection Pick: Houston Texans by 4. Houston Texans projected to win by a fantasy score of 75-63
     Best Record Wins Pick: Houston Texans by 3. Texans better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: Oakland Raiders by 3

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
     Overall Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 11
     Home/Away Points Per Yard Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 2
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 7. 49ers by 7, Over/Under 48.5
     Pythagorean Theorem Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 14. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a 2014 Pythagorean Rating of 0.765 - 0.418
     Fantasy Projection Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 4. San Francisco 49ers projected to win by a fantasy score of 76-65
     Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3. 49ers better at 1-0
     Home Team Wins Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 3


Check back next week for Monday Night's prediction.

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