Thursday, September 25, 2014

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings ~ Week 3 (2014)

Creative Misfortune Power Rankings are based on a complicated formula that takes into account, among other things, a team's projected ability to score an Offensive Fumble Recovery TD. All power rankings guaranteed to be less accurate than real NFL team abilities on any given Sunday and are subject to change on a weekly basis.

When it comes to Creative Misfortune Power Rankings, production is combined with potential to determine a team's true strength compared to the rest of the league. Winning isn't the only factor, but it is one of the most important components of the rating. I don't believe teams can be powerful if they consistently lose, even to other great teams.

The Forked Few~
     Abandon hope and fortune all ye who rank here

     # 32 - Jacksonville Jaguars (previous: 32)
                    The Jaguars show no signs of winning games any time soon.

     # 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (previous: 29)
                    I don't know what happened to the Buccaneers in Atlanta last Thursday night.

     # 30 - Oakland Raiders (previous: 31)
                    The Raiders are playing scrappy football, just not winning football.

     # 29 - St. Louis Rams (previous: 27)
                    St. Louis has shown a lot of spirit of late, but giving up a 21-point lead to the Cowboys at home hurts.

     # 28 - Green Bay Packers (previous: 24)
                    The Packers are in trouble. They are not playing like they belong in the same discussion as the Bears and the Lions at this point.



The Creatively Challenged~
     Folly remains ever their mistress

     # 27 - Tennessee Titans (previous: 16)
                    After a strong opening week win, the Titans have done nothing.

     # 26 - Miami Dolphins (previous: 21)
                    Does anybody even remember their week one victory over the New England Patriots?

     # 25 - New York Jets (previous: 25)
                    Geno Smith does not appear to be the answer in New York. How long before we see Michael Vick take the field?

     # 24 - New York Giants (previous: 30)
                    The Giants finally put together four solid quarters of football.

     # 23 - San Francisco 49ers (previous: 13)
                    The 49ers do not look like a team that played for the NFC Championship last season.

     # 22 - Minnesota Vikings (previous: 18)
                    Sure, let the kid play. The Vikings have nothing to lose in what has quickly become an unexpected rebuilding year.

     # 21 - Cleveland Browns (previous: 19)
                    Like the Raiders, the Browns are playing tough football, but unlike Oakland, Cleveland should actually win more than a few games this season.



The Remarkably Average~
     Dancing the fine line between misfortune and glory

     # 20 - Kansas City Chiefs (previous: 28)
                    The Chiefs now have a chance to even their record with a big win against the Patriots on Monday night. If they can do so, they will be a legitimate playoff-contending team.

     # 19 - New Orleans Saints (previous: 20)
                    The Saints have not proven anything yet and will need more than a big win on the road against Dallas for people to start believing they are for real again.

     # 18 - Washington Redskins (previous: 14)
                    Cousins is doing everything RGIII could not and gives the Redskins their best shot, right now, to win football games.

     # 17 - Pittsburgh Steelers (previous: 22)
                    After how poorly they performed against the Ravens a week ago, nobody saw the dismantling of the Panthers coming.

     # 16 - Carolina Panthers (previous: 1)
                    Injuries, poor execution, and mental mistakes cost the Panthers last week. Great teams correct those mistakes. I still believe the Panthers can be a great team.

     # 15 - Dallas Cowboys (previous: 15)
                    The defense is actually playing better than I expected this year. Now if the offense could just stop the turnovers deep in their own territory or the ones on the way into their opponent's end zone, Dallas could become a playoff-caliber team.

     # 14 - Houston Texans (previous: 5)
                    Just three games into the season and injuries are already starting to take their toll on the Texans.

     # 13 - Indianapolis Colts (previous: 26)
                    Andrew Luck had a career day against the Jaguars. That may have been just what the Colts needed after starting the season with two losses.



The Fortunate Seven~
     The best of those not yet elite

     # 12 - Denver Broncos (previous: 3)
                    Manning did what Manning does at the end of the game to force overtime, but where were the rest of the Broncos the first three-and-a-half quarters of the game?

     # 11 - Buffalo Bills (previous: 6)
                    A misstep against the Chargers has Buffalo reeling a bit, but they should recover quickly. The Bills are probably not better than a .500 team this year, but they are fun to watch and have tons of potential to surprise people.

     # 10 - Chicago Bears (previous: 17)
                    Looks like the Bears may have started to figure things out. We'll see if that holds true when they host the Packers at home this week.

     # 9 - Baltimore Ravens (previous: 10)
                    After a rough start to the season, the Ravens are back above .500, but still chasing the Bengals for the division.

     # 8 - Detroit Lions (previous: 12)
                    The Lions have played two great games and one stinker of a game so far. Are they the NFL's version of Jekyll and Hyde?

     # 7 - New England Patriots (previous: 9)
                    If the Patriots couldn't light up the Raiders at home, how good can they really be?

     # 6 - Atlanta Falcons (previous: 23)
                    One of the surprise teams of the season, Atlanta has become the favorite in the NFC South's three-team race.



The Creative Elite~
     Wielding misfortune at its finest

     # 5 - Seattle Seahawks (previous: 8)
                    Huge win at home against the Broncos, but the fourth quarter collapse has to concern you. That game never should have gone to overtime, regardless of who was playing quarterback for the other team.

     # 4 - San Diego Chargers (previous: 11)
                    The Chargers are very close to being an undefeated team, with their only loss being handed to them by the undefeated Arizona Cardinals.

     # 3 - Arizona Cardinals (previous: 7)
                    The Cardinals are playing all-around, solid team football.

     # 2 - Philadelphia Eagles (previous: 4)
                    Philadelphia certainly has a flair for the dramatic. I wonder if the Eagles can play a game with a lead from start to finish.

     # 1 - Cincinnati Bengals (previous: 2)
                    Cincinnati heads into their early bye week with all the potential in the world. Could this be the year the Bengals finally end their drought and win a playoff game?



Week 3 Power Ranking Awards:

The Free Fallers - Carolina Panthers (-15), Tennessee Titans (-11), San Francisco 49ers (-10), Denver Broncos (-9), Houston Texans (-9)

The Biggest Movers - Atlanta Falcons (+17), Indianapolis Colts (+13), Kansas City Chiefs (+8), San Diego Chargers (+7), Chicago Bears (+7)

Maintaining The Status Quo - Dallas Cowboys (15), New York Jets (25), Jacksonville Jaguars (32)


Creative Misfortune Super Bowl XLIX Favorite ~ After Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals

Check back tomorrow for week 4 predictions.

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