There were a few surprising upsets in the NFL this week. Only two systems hit the 70% accuracy mark and no perfect picks were made.
See below to find out how all the systems compared to each other on a game-by-game basis.
Sunday Game Results:
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (Actual ~ Atlanta, 39-32)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Atlanta, 24-14. The Dirty Birds will be fired up after being embarrassed last week and will make up for it at home against the Bengals
Scottie V's Pick: Atlanta, 27-17. Cincy starts their drama-filled decline
Vegas Lines Pick: Atlanta, 24-20. Atlanta by 3.5, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Atlanta, 23-16. Atlanta 61% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Cincinnati, 23-21. Cincinnati won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17. Atlanta better at 4-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Atlanta, 20-17
The Falcons nearly let the Bengals steal one from them, but stay strong and pull away for the victory at home. Almost all systems get this pick correct, with only What If Sports giving Cincinnati the slight edge after five simulations.
Washington Redskins at Chicago Bears (Actual ~ Washington, 17-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Washington, 23-17. The Redskins break through with a win on the road over the struggling Bears.
Scottie V's Pick: Washington, 28-13. The Bears offense continues to be exposed
Vegas Lines Pick: Chicago, 23-19. Chicago by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago 55% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Washington, 24-15. Washington won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17. Chicago better at 4-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Chicago, 20-17
It's not so much that the Redskins look good, it's that the Bears look so woefully bad. Mike Martz and Jay Cutler are proving to be a self-destructive combination in Chicago. How can Lovie Smith, a defense-minded, pound the ball kind of coach, be happy about the offensive offense? Accuscore and the blind pick systems nailed Washington's score, but failed to give them the edge in the game.
St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Actual ~ Tampa Bay, 18-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Tampa Bay, 17-14. The Rams don't travel well and Tampa Bay is young enough to believe they can win this one.
Scottie V's Pick: Tampa Bay, 17-3. Tampa stops the one-dimensional Rams.
Vegas Lines Pick: Tampa Bay, 21-17. Tampa Bay by 2.5, Over/Under 38
Accuscore Pick: TampaBay, 20-17. Tampa Bay 54% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: St. Louis, 21-17. St. Louis won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17. Tampa Bay better at 3-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17
Tampa Bay rallies from 14 down to derail St. Louis' best attempt to move above a .500 record since The Greatest Show on Turf disbanded. Four separate systems picked the Rams' score perfectly, but the Buccaneers needed to convert their attempted two-point conversion in order for three of those picks to be truly perfect.
San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers (Actual ~ Carolina, 23-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Francisco, 28-20. The 49ers now know they can win. Carolina has yet to figure that out.
Scottie V's Pick: Carolina, 20-9. Matt Moore reclaims his starting job leading the Panthers to victory.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 20-16. San Francisco by 3, Over/Under 35.5.
Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 17-14. San Francisco 52% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 23-17. San Francisco won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: San Francisco, 20-17. San Francisco better at 1-5.
Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina, 20-17
Ok. I think it's time to clean house in San Francisco and start over. Rebuilding with Mike Singletary isn't going anywhere and nobody expected them to be this bad. The Panthers find their legs and break-through with a big game from Matt Moore, but beating the Niners these days is nothing to brag about. Only Scottie V on the human side of the systems gets this game correct.
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (Actual ~ Baltimore, 37-34 (OT))
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 34-16. Buffalo can't even begin to compete with the Ravens, especially on the road.
Scottie V's Pick: Baltimore, 24-3. The Bills are out of their league.
Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 27-13. Baltimore by 13.5, Over/Under 40.
Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 31-7. Baltimore 83% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 30-10. Baltimore won all 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17. Baltimore better at 4-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17
When I looked for a bye week fill-in for Peyton Manning this past weekend for my fantasy team, Ryan Fitzpatrick came up as a possible option, but I dismissed him simply because he faced a strong Ravens defense on the road. Big mistake on my part. Fitzpatrick has been playing lights out and Baltimore needs extra time to get away with a victory in this one. All systems are correct, but none expected this game to be this close except for the blind picks.
Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans (Actual ~ Tennessee, 37-19)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Philadelphia, 24-21. The high-flying Eagles continue to soar in Tennessee.
Scottie V's Pick: Tennessee, 23-21. The Eagles come up short in a great game.
Vegas Lines Pick: Tennessee, 24-20. Tennessee by 3, Over/Under 43.
Accuscore Pick: Tennessee, 21-16. Tennessee 58% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 24-14. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17. Both records at 4-2, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Tennessee, 20-17
The Titans are stronger than any team in the NFC right now and they still may only be the sixth or seventh best team in the AFC. Another dominating win over the NFC East puts Tennessee in the driver seat of the AFC South and in perfect position to keep pace with both Indy and Houston. Only What If Sports and Creative Misfortune whiff on this pick.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Kansas City, 42-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Kansas City, 24-13. The Chiefs get back on the winning track and take advantage of Jacksonville's offensive inefficiencies.
Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 24-10. Kansas City continues to gain confidence.
Vegas Lines Pick: Kansas City, 24-14. Kansas City by 9, Over/Under 37.5.
Accuscore Pick: Kansas City, 24-10. Kansas City 68% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Kansas City, 27-14. Kansas City won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 3-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17
The Chiefs dominate another weak opponent and prove all systems correct. Could Kansas City be for real? Survey says no, but in the AFC West, you don't have to be for real to win it all.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 23-22)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 21-17. The Steelers are too strong on defense for the Dolphins to be able to move the ball consistently.
Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-16. The Steelers D helps Big Ben as he is still working out the kinks.
Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 23-20. Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Pittsburgh, 20-17. Pittsburgh better at 4-1.
Home Team Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17
Another weird final score, another controversary and another squeaker win for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Only blindly picking the home team ended up to be the wrong answer, but only because of the confusion the refs created by not verifying who recovered the loose ball following Big Ben's fumble into the end zone.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (Actual ~ Cleveland, 30-17)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 31-13. New Orleans is getting back to their championship form and the Browns are not even close.
Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 31-17. The Browns don't have enough firepower to stay with the Saints.
Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 30-14. New Orleans by 13.5, Over/Under 43.5.
Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 31-3. New Orleans 87% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 24-17. New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17. New Orleans better at 4-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17
WHAT IN THE WORLD, SAINTS? I mean, c'mon. You give two pick-6 touchdowns to the Browns and a allow their punter to run up the gut for 68 yards from deep in his own territory. Everybody thought the Saints were back last week. I guess everybody was wrong. With the Steelers coming to town on Sunday night, New Orleans better find its championship form and quick, otherwise they will end up losing by some absurd score, like 22-18.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 22-10)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Seattle, 24-17. Up in Seattle, things are going right for a change. Not so much down in Arizona.
Scottie V's Pick: Seattle, 20-10. The Cardinals are in serious trouble.
Vegas Lines Pick: Seattle, 24-17. Seattle by 6, Over/Under 40.5.
Accuscore Pick: Seattle, 24-13. Seattle 66% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Seattle, 16-10. Seattle 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17. Both records at 3-2, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17
Seattle takes the lead in the NFC West and looks to be the dominate team, but even by NFC standards, the west is terrible. All picks had this game pegged.
New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (Actual ~ New England, 23-20)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 24-20. San Diego has been thoroughly underwhelming so far this season and the Patriots can see an opportunity to vanquish a potential AFC playoff foe for good.
Scottie V's Pick: San Diego, 24-21. The Chargers get a big win at home.
Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 26-23. San Diego by 2, Over/Under 47.
Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 21-17. San Diego 57% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 30-17. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17. New England better at 4-1.
Home Team Wins Pick: San Diego, 20-17
The tombstone of the 2010 San Diego Chargers it will read - "Here lies a talented team. They made mistakes." Only Creative Misfortune, with another near-perfect New England pick, and the Best Record system had faith in the Chargers failing. Again.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ Oakland, 59-14)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Denver, 34-24. Orten should tear up the Raiders secondary and Denver's defense can contain Oakland's injury riddled offense.
Scottie V's Pick: Denver, 27-24. Orton and Co. beat the mistake-prone Raiders.
Vegas Lines Pick: Denver, 26-17. Denver by 8.5, Over/Under 41.5.
Accuscore Pick: Denver, 24-10. Denver 68% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: Denver, 24-23. Denver won 1 of 5 simulations outright.
Best Record Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17. Both teams at 2-4, advantage home.
Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17
Another WHAT IN THE WORLD game. The Raiders look like the Raiders looked back in- well, never. Oakland explodes for the most points in franchise history and absolutely destroys their division rival in Denver. The Broncos will have a difficult time recovering from this crushing defeat. No system saw this coming and no expert out there did either. What If Sports almost went the Broncos way, but almost only works with horseshoes and hand grenades.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Actual ~ Green Bay, 28-24)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Green Bay, 24-21. Despite their recent failings, the Packers will defeat the Vikings at Lambeau on Sunday night.
Scottie V's Pick: Green Bay, 24-17. The Packer faithful enjoy this one...
Vegas Lines Pick: Green Bay, 24-21. Green Bay by 2.5, Over/Under 44.
Accuscore Pick: Green Bay, 20-17. Green Bay 53% win confidence
What If Sports Pick: GreenBay, 23-17. Green Bay won 3 of 5 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17. Green Bay better at 3-3.
Home Team Wins Pick: Green Bay, 20-17
The Packers regain some stability with a big win over the Vikings and all systems thank them for not giving up a late touchdown to Favre. For his part, Old Gray Beard is looking every bit his 41 years and a broken foot won't help the Vikings turn their season around. At least they signed Moss, though. That's worked out well for them so far. Impact guys like him are once in a lifetime players that only come along every so often.
Monday Game Result:
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (Actual ~ New York, 41-35)
Creative Misfortune's Pick: Dallas, 27-21. If the Cowboys don't do it on Monday night, their 2010 season is over.
Scottie V's Pick: New York, 27-17. The Giants are starting to play better... The Cowboys are not.
Vegas Lines Pick: Dallas, 24-20. Dallas by 3, Over/Under 44.5.
Accuscore Pick: Dallas, 23-14. Dallas 63% win confidence.
What If Sports Pick: Dallas, 26-20 (OT). Dallas and New York were deadlocked after 5 simulations. After a second set of 5 simulations, Dallas emerged the overtime favorite. In all, Dallas won 7 of 10 simulations.
Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. New York better at 4-2.
Home Team Wins Pick: Dallas, 20-17
The Cowboys had the Giants on the ropes and looked to be running away with a much needed victory at home... and then the lights went out on the season. A broken clavicle for Romo and he is out indefinitely. Kitna, gun-shy off the bench, can't get the offense moving and the defense played like its spirit broke when Romo went down. New York takes charge of the NFC East by placing Dallas' season on life support. In a wide open, weak conference, the Giants may be the favorite at this point.
Teams on a bye this week -
Detroit Lions - Gained about as much ground as they could, with both the Bears and Vikings losing.
Indianapolis Colts - Fell a half game back of Tennessee and will need to defeat Houston on Monday and hope Tennessee loses at San Diego to move back into first place in the AFC South.
New York Jets - Miami and Buffalo both lost, placing them in a dog-fight with New England for supremacy in the AFC East.
Houston Texans - Fell a half game back of Tennessee and will need to defeat Indianapolis on Monday and hope Tennessee loses at San Diego to move back into first place in the AFC South.
Only Scottie V and the blind Best Record Wins system broke the magical 70% accuracy mark this week.
Week 7 Final Prediction Scoreboard...
Scottie V's: 11-3 (season overall: 64-40)
Best Record Wins Pick: 10-4 (season overall: 56-48) *2 Perfect Picks
Creative Misfortune: 9-5 (season overall: 55-49) *1 Perfect Pick
Vegas Picks: 8-6 (season overall: 61-43) *1 Perfect Pick
Accuscore: 8-6 (season overall: 61-43)
Home Team Wins Pick: 8-6 (season overall: 59-45) *2 Perfect Picks
What If Sports: 6-8 (season overall: 55-49)
Check back later today for the Week 7 results of the Creative Misfortune feature "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..."
No comments:
Post a Comment