Monday, September 27, 2010

Week 3 - Roundup of Creative Misfortune - Sunday Games

Week 3 proved another .500 or so week of predictions as several favorites fell and others, who obviously should no longer be favored, lost as they were not expected to do. I won't mention any names, but their initials are the San Francisco 49ers! 


Sunday Game Prediction Results:

San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs (Actual ~ Kansas City, 31-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Francisco, 21-16. San Francisco remembered how to play last week against the Saints and will win this week in Kansas City.
     Scottie V's Pick: Kansas City, 24-23. Alex Smith continues his solid play from last week, but the Arrowhead crowd overwhelms in the end.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Francisco, 21-17San Francisco by 3, Over/Under 37.
     Accuscore Pick: San Francisco, 21-16San Francisco 58% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Francisco, 23-17. San Francisco won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17. Kansas City better at 2-0.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Kansas City, 20-17

     San Francisco continues to disappoint. I haven't seen a team so highly touted to start a season fall so completely flat on their face. Meanwhile, Kansas City continues on their undefeated roll. Youthful exuberance, key special teams plays, outstanding defense and a willingness to pull some tricks out of their offesnive playbook makes the Chiefs the surprise team of the 2010 season. With San Diego's stumble in Seattle and Denver and Oakland both losing again today, the Chiefs already have a solid 2 game lead in the AFC West. Go figure.


Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (Actual ~ Minnesota, 24-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Minnesota, 20-14. Minnesota prevails in a close game over their division rivals.
     Scottie V's Pick: Minnesota, 27-14. Detroit, like San Fran, is much improved this season but both are still 0-3 after Week 3... Minnie gets off the schneid.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Minnesota, 28-16. Minnesota by 11.5, Over/Under 43.
     Accuscore Pick: Minnesota, 31-7. Minnesota 82% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Minnesota, 28-16Minnesota won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17. Both records at 0-2, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Minnesota, 20-17

     The Vikings finally break into the win column with a chippy win over the feisty Detroit Lions. Minnesota rubes everywhere rejoice! While Favre is still throwing interceptions, the defense continues to play strong. The Lions fall to 0-3 for the first time since 2009 and will be a full three games behind the winner of the Green Bay-Chicago game later tonight.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (Actual ~ New England, 38-30)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New England, 31-13. The Patriots, angry over their embarassing loss in New York last week, will come back with a vengeance and kick the Buffalo Bills while they are down.
     Scottie V's Pick: New England, 28-9. The Pats bounce back against the AFC East's favorite whipping boy.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New England, 30-14New England by 14.5, Over/Under 42.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New England, 31-7New England 83% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New England, 23-13New England won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New England, 20-17New England better at 1-1.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New England, 20-17

     New England gets it done, but not before allowing the Bills to score more points than they have scored in two prior games this season. With the Jets victory over Miami on Sunday night, The Patriots find themselves in a dogfight for first place in the AFC East. Buffalo has all but fallen out of the division race after starting 0-3.


Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (Actual ~ Atlanta, 27-24 (OT))
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New Orleans, 23-17. The Saints remain undefeated with a tough victory at home against the Falcons.
     Scottie V's Pick: New Orleans, 28-24. The Falcons put up a fight, but New Orleans continues their hot streak.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New Orleans, 27-23New Orleans by 3.5, Over/Under 49.
     Accuscore Pick: New Orleans, 24-10New Orleans 69% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New Orleans, 26-14New Orleans won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17New Orleans better at 2-0.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New Orleans, 20-17

     NO, Hartley! New Orleans collectively groans when your game-winning chip shot field goal sails wide left. Atlanta takes advantage of the error and leaves the Bayou with a well-earned victory over the defending champions. The Falcons, Saint and Buccaneers now find themselves locked in a three-way division tie.


Tennessee Titans at New York Giants (Actual ~ Tennessee, 29-10)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: New York, 24-20. After both teams suffered humiliating defeats last weekend, New York is the team that bounces back with a solid victory.
     Scottie V's Pick: Tennessee, 23-14. Vince Young gets it done in the Big Apple.
     Vegas Lines Pick: New York, 24-20. New York by 3, Over/Under 42.5.
     Accuscore Pick: New York, 23-14New York 62% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 27-21New York won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: New York, 20-17. Both records at 1-1, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: New York, 20-17

     The Titans run wild and Vince Young shows few ill effects from his benching one week ago. The Giants drop their second straight game and look to be in a freefall.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Actual ~ Pittsburgh, 38-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Pittsburgh, 14-10. The Steelers win their third in a row with strong defensive play. The Buccaneers, fat on the likes of Cleveland and Carolina, won't be able to move the ball in this low-scoring affair.
     Scottie V's Pick: Pittsburgh, 31-13. Proving that not all 2-0 teams are equal, the Steelers demonstrate their defensive dominance
     Vegas Lines Pick: Pittsburgh, 19-14Pittsburgh by 3, Over/Under 33.
     Accuscore Pick: Pittsburgh, 17-14Pittsburgh 52% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Pittsburgh, 16-9Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17. Both records at 2-0, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Tampa Bay, 20-17

     Pittsburgh's defense scores again and Charlie Batch lights up the Buccaneers secondary for three TDs. The Steelers, now 3-0 without Big Ben, may become the scariest team in the league when he gets back from his suspension. Tampa Bay falls to 2-1, but has already shown great improvement from a year ago, despite the thrashing they took yesterday.


Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers (Actual ~ Cincinnati, 20-7)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Cincinnati, 21-17. The Bengals passing attack proves too much for the Panthers rushing attack.
     Scottie V's Pick: Carolina, 17-14. The Panthers play ball control, while Clausen has only minimal miscues.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Cincinnati, 21-17. Cincinnati by 3, Over/Under 37.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Cincinnati, 21-17Cincinnati 56% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Carolina, 21-20. Carolina won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Cincinnati, 20-17Cincinnati better at 1-1.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Carolina, 20-17

     Cincinnati wins in the rain on the strength of Cedric Benson's legs, not the receiving duo of Ochocinco and Owens. Carolina continues to struggle. Clausen does not end up being the answer at quarterback, but with a team this young, answers may be few and far between in 2010.


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (Actual ~ Baltimore, 24-17)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Baltimore, 17-10. Despite the low score, this game won't be close.
     Scottie V's Pick: Baltimore, 16-13. The Browns keep it close with the help of some timely Raven turnovers.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Baltimore, 24-13Baltimore by 10.5, Over/Under 36.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Baltimore, 31-7Baltimore 82% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Baltimore, 21-13. Baltimore won all 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17Baltimore better at 1-1.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Baltimore, 20-17

     The Ravens come from behind to win this game at home. Vegas lines had their score predicted perfectly, but Baltimore didn't cover the spread. Cleveland loses for the third straight week after having led in the second half.


Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (Actual ~ Dallas, 27-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Houston, 35-31. As much as I hate to say it, Dallas looks primed to fall to 0-3 heading into the bye. If they don't come out with the desperation they showed last year against New Orleans, Houston will win this old-style shoot-out for Texas supremacy.
     Scottie V's Pick: Houston, 31-17. The Texans play with a chip on their shoulder... They are no longer the "other team in Texas"... Wade Phillips' seat is getting hotter.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Houston, 26-21. Houston by 3, Over/Under 47.
     Accuscore Pick: Houston, 21-16. Houston 58% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Dallas, 23-21. Dallas won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17Houston better at 2-0.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Houston, 20-17

     The Cowboys save their season with a huge victory on the road and go into the bye week feeling good about themselves instead of trying to figure out how to recover from a devastating 0-3 start. The Texans still have work to do, but remain a force to be reckoned with in the AFC.

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars (Actual ~ Philadelphia, 28-3)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Philadelphia, 21-14. The Jaguars defense won't have an answer for the Eagles multi-pronged attack and the Jaguars running game will once again disappoint.
     Scottie V's Pick: Jacksonville, 23-16. The Jags keep Michael Vick at bay, Kolb says "I told you so".
     Vegas Lines Pick: Philadelphia, 24-20. Philadelphia by 3, Over/Under 45.
     Accuscore Pick: Philadelphia, 23-14. Philadelphia 63% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Philadelphia, 20-7. Philadelphia won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17. Both records at 1-1, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Jacksonville, 20-17

     Vick continues to play stellar, like a man on a mission, and the Eagles look like the best team in the NFC East right now. Jacksonville fails at home again before their two dozen fans and with little mojo from MoJo, their season is already over.


Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams (Actual ~ St. Louis, 30-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Washington, 21-17. These woeful teams have battled each other to low-scoring pathetic games in recent years, but McNabb and Shanahan will lead Washington to more points and a victory.
     Scottie V's Pick: Washington, 20-13. The 'Skins load up against Steven Jackson and the Rams have no answer.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Washington, 21-17. Washington by 3.5, Over/Under 39.
     Accuscore Pick: Washington, 24-13. Washington 66% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Washington, 20-17. Washington won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Washington, 20-17Washington better at 1-1.
     Home Team Wins Pick: St. Louis, 20-17

     A year ago the Rams nearly won this game. This year, revenge is sweet. St. Louis upsets the favored Redskins with all facets of their game - offense, defense and special teams. Bradford looks like a true NFL quarterback and the Rams still have a chance to do something this year - even if it is just to avoid drafting #1 overall in 2011. Washington fails miserably after two straight solid games against the Texans and Cowboys. How long before Dan Snyder gets ansy and starts demanding changes?


Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (Actual ~ Indianapolis, 27-13)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Indianapolis, 28-21. The Colts continue their aerial attack and run the ball enough to keep Denver's defense honest. The Broncos, will play strong initially before their tragic, emotional week catches up to them.
     Scottie V's Pick: Indianapolis, 27-20. Peyton puts on a clinic, Mile High crowd gives a standing ovation at end of game (well, probably not, but that would be kind of cool).
     Vegas Lines Pick: Indianapolis, 27-21. Indianapolis by 5.5, Over/Under 48.
     Accuscore Pick: Indianapolis, 24-13. Indianapolis 65% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Denver, 19-16. Denver won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17. Both records at 1-1, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Denver, 20-17

    The Colts win again and play most of the game on cruise control, easily taking care of Denver in the Mile High city. Both Scottie V and Vegas had the Colts number right, while Accuscore gets the Broncos score perfect. Denver, after an emotional week, falls to 1-2.


Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (Actual ~ Arizona, 24-23)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Arizona, 23-13. The Cardinals recover from their wounds after be thrashed by Atlant and thrash the Raiders in the desert.
     Scottie V's Pick: Arizona, 28-17Derek Anderson and his offense start to click... Al Davis flies to St. Louis to watch his team take on the Cardinals... He watches the entire game and wonders whether his team is the one wearing maroon and gold or navy and gold... After the game, he fires everyone in the front office for changing the team's colors without consulting him... Front office members try in vain to explain to him that the Cardinals are now located in Arizona and he was at the wrong game.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Arizona, 23-17. Arizona by 4.5, Over/Under 39.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Arizona, 23-16. Arizona 61% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: Arizona, 16-10. Arizona won 3 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17. Both records at 1-1, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Arizona, 20-17

     NO, Janikowski! A 32 yard field goal, no good, and Arizona survives a terrible scare at home. Oakland shows some moxy rallying behind Gradkowski and McFadden. The Cardinals continue to make it look difficult and still have not found any consistency following the retirement of Kurt Warner.


San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (Actual ~ Seattle, 27-20)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: San Diego, 30-17. The Chargers are feeling good and have put their week 1 loss behind them. Seattle is coming down off their week 1 high and won't be a match for one of the best AFC teams.
     Scottie V's Pick: San Diego, 31-27. The Chargers win by scoring a touchdown in the closing minutes... The shootout game of the week.
     Vegas Lines Pick: San Diego, 26-20. San Diego by 5.5, Over/Under 44.5.
     Accuscore Pick: San Diego, 27-10. San Diego 74% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: San Diego, 30-20. San Diego won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17. Both records at 1-1, advantage home.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Seattle, 20-17

     Seattle special teams shock San Diego with two kickoff return touchdowns in the second half. The Chargers fail once again on the road despite getting nearly 500 yards in passing from Rivers. Seattle improves to an unexpected 2-1 while the favored Chargers fall to a disappointing 1-2, a full 2 games behind the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West.


New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (Actual ~ New York, 31-23)
     Creative Misfortune's Pick: Miami, 16-14. Sanchez struggles away from the friendly confines of New York and Miami's ball control offense takes advantage of the Jets defensive secondary now missing Revis Island.
     Scottie V's Pick: Miami, 17-16. A wildcat big-gainer ends up making the difference in this defense-dominated game of the week.
     Vegas Lines Pick: Miami, 20-17. Miami by 2, Over/Under 35.5.
     Accuscore Pick: Miami, 21-16. Miami 58% win confidence
     What If Sports Pick: New York, 17-14. New York won 4 of 5 simulations.
     Best Record Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17. Miami better at 2-0.
     Home Team Wins Pick: Miami, 20-17

     A seesaw battle in South Florida ends up going in New York's favor after a late fourth quarter TD puts the Jets up for good. Mark Sanchez plays lights out for the second straight week and New York creates a three way tie for first in the highly competitive AFC East. Miami falters, but still will have plenty to say about the division race as the season progresses.
     Rex Ryan should be embarrassed about his decision to bench Braylon Edwards for just one quarter - only one quarter! - for his DUI arrest earlier this week. Yes, Edwards scored a game-breaking touchdown during the game, but life is far more important than football and his poor decision put other people's lives at risk. The NFL should treat DUI's as no tolerance, automatic 4-game suspensions. Unlike a player taking steroids, where they only put themselves at risk, driving under the influence can destroy the lives of innocent people and should not be tolerated.

Week 3 Prediction scoreboard through Sunday night...
     Scottie V's: 8-7 (season overall: 28-19)
     Vegas Picks: 8-7 (season overall: 28-19)
     Accuscore: 8-7 (season overall: 28-19)
     What If Sports: 8-7 (season overall: 25-22)
     Creative Misfortune: 8-7 (season overall: 24-23)
     Home Team Wins Pick: 7-8 (season overall: 27-20)
     Best Record Wins Pick: 7-8 (season overall: 27-20)
    
               

Check back tomorrow for the prediction roundup of the Monday Night Football game, the final prediction systems standings and the Week 3 "If Real Football Used Fantasy Scoring..." results. 

No comments:

Post a Comment